Tornado kills two in Missouri; more tornadoes on tap for today

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:53 PM GMT on October 18, 2007

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The tropical Atlantic is quiet today, and none of the reliable models are predicting tropical cyclone formation over the next five days.

At approximately 12:15 am CDT this morning, a tornado near Paris, Missouri, killed two people when it ripped apart their mobile home and tossed them 400 feet away. At least four other tornadoes hit Missouri yesterday, and two tornadoes touched down in Texas, and one each in Louisiana and Mississippi. The driver of a Petal Water & Sewer service truck was hospitalized in Mississippi after strong winds picked up his truck and tossed it across I-59.

Another severe weather outbreak is expected today in the U.S., from the Mississippi Valley northward through the Tennessee Valley and the Great Lakes. Tornado Watches have already been posted, and today's severe weather has the potential to generate a few strong, long-track tornadoes. You can follow the outbreak today on our new interactive tornado map, which will post the tornado damage reports as they are received. The new feature also allows one to plot all the historical tornado activity back to 1950 for any region in the U.S. If you take a wunderphoto of a tornadic storm or tornado damage, and click on the "tornado" type of image flag when uploading it, our software will attempt to match your photo to the storm report for that tornado. These photos will then be available when you click on a storm report on the interactive tornado page. One of the storm reports for Missouri yesterday has several wunderphotos of the thunderstorm that spawned the tornado available, thanks to wunderphotographer Paleohebrew.

Jeff Masters

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Pensacola Tornado (Mslider31)
Looking west down Cervantes from Barcelona.
Pensacola Tornado

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166. wfreeck
4:43 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Well the new update just came out. Now it has me and Dr. JeffMasters (Detroit/Ann Arbor) Southwestward in the Moderate Risk Area. This includes a 45 % chance of Damaging Winds, a 15% Chance of Hail, and a 15% chance of Tornados (very significant).
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165. PensacolaDoug
4:33 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Unreal.....I just came thru downtown Pensacola. Drove by the yacht club and Bahia Mar. Mostly light damage,some fences trees and and such. Could have been a lot worse.
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164. aubiesgirl
4:41 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
anyone know where it is? I am 1 mile south of eglin afb...my husband on eglin just got evacuated
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163. tornadofan
4:41 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Pensacola Tornado

PENSACOLA, Fla. (AP) - A tornado touched down Thursday, damaging this city's major shopping mall, as a line of violent thunderstorms made their way across the western Panhandle. There were no immediate reports of injuries.

The twister could be seen tossing debris around, and preliminary damage reports were still coming in, said Escambia County sheriff's spokesman Glenn Austin. He said the tornado struck a section of Cordova Mall, the major shopping mall in Pensacola. He said he did not know the extent of damage.

Dillard's stock manager Eddie English Jr. said he heard the wind outside the department store suddenly speed up and get louder, and noticed tree branches flying through the air as he looked through the glass doors into the parking lot. Then mall security officers came into the store and ordered employees and shoppers to evacuate to the basement.

"It was all of a sudden. It was just normal raining, then the wind started," English said.

About 200 or 300 people remained huddled in the basement while security checked the building for damage, he said.
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162. Michfan
4:26 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Ugh and im in Dale County east of Coffee. Buckle up!!
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161. aubiesgirl
4:27 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
tornado sirens eglin afb..I'm scared to death
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160. BajaALemt
11:36 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
wow...cnn has the pcola tornado video on
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159. BajaALemt
11:34 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Ok, Im hearing the warning on cnn.....NWS is just playing the chortle tone
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158. NRAamy
9:33 AM PDT on October 18, 2007
146. Floodman 9:24 AM PDT on October 18, 2007

Yep, Amy...you're an enigma! NRA member, NSA operative and classic rock enthusiast...not to mention you have a penchant for anime...


and....I lurk on weather blogs...go figure...
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157. atmoaggie
4:34 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
1130 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEASTERN SANTA ROSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 1215 PM CDT

* AT 1126 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR GULF
BREEZE...OR ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
ORIOLE BEACH BY 1140 AM CDT...
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156. BajaALemt
11:33 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Looking at the radar...looks like two warnings over Pcola way
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155. atmoaggie
4:32 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Wow, StormW is talking about vorticity and pressure level heights.

If this is only a hobby for you, Storm, you have taken it to new heights...or you are/were in the business. Which is it?
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154. BajaALemt
11:32 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
LOL atmo
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153. BajaALemt
11:31 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
My radio's playing the durned TONE!! *waits for the durned thing to stop and for them to say WHY* lol
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152. atmoaggie
4:31 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
150. BajaALemt 4:28 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
atmo..did you see the tvs offshore south of there a few ago?


No. I am not woman enough to multi-task that well.
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151. BajaALemt
11:28 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
*goes to look*
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150. BajaALemt
11:27 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
atmo..did you see the tvs offshore south of there a few ago?
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148. Floodman
11:25 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Oh, by unsettled, I mean good chance of thunderstorms...unsettled weather, wow, that was an odd thing to say in this blog, huh?
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147. atmoaggie
4:23 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Like I said, with 40k foot cloud tops building and rolling in...more to come.

Now extending further north into Covington, Houston, Geneva and Coffee coutines in AL. And east from Mobile to Calhoun county FL.
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146. Floodman
11:22 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Yep, Amy...you're an enigma! NRA member, NSA operative and classic rock enthusiast...not to mention you have a penchant for anime...
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145. atmoaggie
4:22 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN OKALOOSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FORT WALTON BEACH...

* UNTIL NOON CDT
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144. BajaALemt
11:21 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Looks like Pensacola's gonna be under the gun for awhile...line of storms extending sw...feeding in
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143. aubiesgirl
4:07 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
cousin works downtown p=cola for the state attny's office..saw tornado go right by
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142. TEXASYANKEE43
11:05 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
136. NRAamy 11:03 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
TexasYankee...I got news for you...your avatar still looks like the lil fat guy with no face...


hahahaha Sorry, no camera. that was a good one tho...:>)
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141. Michfan
4:04 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2108
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1026 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN MS/NW AL THRU WRN AND MIDDLE
TN...WRN/CNTRL KY INTO SRN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 181526Z - 181730Z

TRENDS ARE BEING CLOSELY MONITORED FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT
AND THE POSSIBILITY OF ONE OR MORE WATCHES...PERHAPS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.

IN THE WAKE OF AN INITIAL SHORT WAVE IMPULSE NOW PIVOTING NORTHWARD
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION...MID-LEVEL INHIBITION HAS BEEN WEAKENED
ABOVE A MOISTENING PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENT SOUTHERLY FLOW REGIME TO
THE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY CYCLONE. MID-LEVELS ALREADY
APPEAR TO BE WARMING FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE
WESTERN SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. HOWEVER...
LATEST RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS INHIBITION MAY REMAIN FAIRLY NEGLIGIBLE
ALONG AN AXIS FROM NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH PARTS OF NORTH
CENTRAL KENTUCKY. AND...A ZONE OF MID-LEVEL MOISTENING/ LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT IS EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY RAPIDLY APPROACHING THIS
REGION. ADDITIONALLY... BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER LIKELY WILL BE
SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW HEATING OF A BOUNDARY LAYER CHARACTERIZED BY
UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS.

THUS...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT THE RISK FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED
BOUNDARY BASED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
18-21Z TIME FRAME. AS THIS OCCURS...SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE
CORRESPONDINGLY WITHIN STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS...BETWEEN STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY POLAR AND SUBTROPICAL JET
AXES. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL SHEAR MAY ONLY BE CHARACTERIZED BY WEAK
CLOCKWISE TURNING WITH HEIGHT...HODOGRAPHS BENEATH 30-40 KT
SOUTHWESTERLY 850 MB FLOW WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES...WHICH
COULD BECOME STRONG.

..KERR.. 10/18/2007

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140. NRAamy
9:08 AM PDT on October 18, 2007
TexasYankee....no...you still look like the mystery man....
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139. NRAamy
9:06 AM PDT on October 18, 2007
Yeah, sure...that's me...NSA operative....spreading joy thru Moody Blues lyrics....

;)

"good chance of unsettled weather"....unsettled...like when you eat too much pizza and follow it up with a box of Twinkies and some Gatorade?

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138. TEXASYANKEE43
11:03 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
OK, now I've got a gray stripe across my post.Can anyone see me?
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137. Floodman
11:03 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
134. NRAamy 10:54 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Hey Jerry....

ok guys...I'm flying out to Miami tomorrow....how's my weekend look?



Highs in the mid to upper 80s; good chance of unsettled weather (t'storms), clearing out by Sunday.

So let me ask you: how is it that you don't have to go through security? NSA operative?
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136. NRAamy
9:01 AM PDT on October 18, 2007
TexasYankee...I got news for you...your avatar still looks like the lil fat guy with no face...

;)
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135. Michfan
3:54 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Yeah WEAR doesnt seem to have posted it yet on their site. My wife was watching it locally as we were on the phone.
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134. NRAamy
8:52 AM PDT on October 18, 2007
Hey Jerry....

ok guys...I'm flying out to Miami tomorrow....how's my weekend look?
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133. TEXASYANKEE43
10:44 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Good morning everyone. Just got caught up reading this mornings blog. LQQS busy, busy, busy.
A funny thing happened while I was reading, everyones avatar went to the lil' fat guy with no face for a while.
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132. BajaALemt
10:52 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Thanks for that update, Mich
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131. BajaALemt
10:52 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
I just went to look at WEAR's beach cam...and it's now pointing IN at the roof door
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130. Michfan
3:30 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Just got off the phone with the wife who lives in escambia county currently. My mother-in-law works at a bank in downtown Pcola and it passed right by her window since she is in a corner office. Funnel cloud was 1 mile wide at the top but very small at ground level. One house reported with its roof blown off. Tornado tracked through D St. to A st. then went into Escambia Bay. All schools south of 9 mile road have been asked to take precautionary measures for the rest of the day. There is a video of the tornado from the local TV station there. Trying to find it as we speak.
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129. NEwxguy
3:43 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
125. Floodman 3:40 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Has anyone seen Bonedog today?

nope,not yet
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127. BajaALemt
10:41 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Not yet, flood
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126. BajaALemt
10:38 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Pcola...I was a luker since DENNIS!! lol. Sorry to hear about the foot. Broke my foot, surgery..off for 4 months! UGH! I KNOW that one. Glad you found something to keep you from going stir crazy
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125. Floodman
10:40 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Has anyone seen Bonedog today?
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124. noshoes
3:38 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
We just heard by telephone that the tornado in Pensacola hit the North Hill area...just north of downtown.
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123. RJinBoyntonBeachFL
3:39 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Is this cold front coming going to make any impact on the temperatures in South Florida at all?
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122. pcola
10:31 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Thanks Baja! I use to be a lurker until I broke my foot last week. Thanks to all you guys or I would be loosing my mind sitting around with it elevated!!!!!!!!!!! This blog is just wonderful!
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121. atmoaggie
3:29 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Mobile to Panama City...non stop 40k foot clouds building and coming in from the WSW. I fear that will not be the last nado for the area, especially south of I-10.
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120. BajaALemt
10:32 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
thanks, mich
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119. pcola
10:29 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
NEwxguy,
Just as you said, more storms coming from the gulf. We got a train of storms, over and over again.
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118. Michfan
3:29 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Link

Baja
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117. BajaALemt
10:26 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
oh, and Pcola? This might give you a longer range view of what's headed in your way

Link
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116. NEwxguy
3:27 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
pcola,that doesn;t sound good
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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