Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Tornado kills two in Missouri; more tornadoes on tap for today
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 12:53 PM GMT on October 18, 2007 +3
The tropical Atlantic is quiet today, and none of the reliable models are predicting tropical cyclone formation over the next five days.

At approximately 12:15 am CDT this morning, a tornado near Paris, Missouri, killed two people when it ripped apart their mobile home and tossed them 400 feet away. At least four other tornadoes hit Missouri yesterday, and two tornadoes touched down in Texas, and one each in Louisiana and Mississippi. The driver of a Petal Water & Sewer service truck was hospitalized in Mississippi after strong winds picked up his truck and tossed it across I-59.

Another severe weather outbreak is expected today in the U.S., from the Mississippi Valley northward through the Tennessee Valley and the Great Lakes. Tornado Watches have already been posted, and today's severe weather has the potential to generate a few strong, long-track tornadoes. You can follow the outbreak today on our new interactive tornado map, which will post the tornado damage reports as they are received. The new feature also allows one to plot all the historical tornado activity back to 1950 for any region in the U.S. If you take a wunderphoto of a tornadic storm or tornado damage, and click on the "tornado" type of image flag when uploading it, our software will attempt to match your photo to the storm report for that tornado. These photos will then be available when you click on a storm report on the interactive tornado page. One of the storm reports for Missouri yesterday has several wunderphotos of the thunderstorm that spawned the tornado available, thanks to wunderphotographer Paleohebrew.

Jeff Masters
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Pensacola Tornado (Mslider31)
Looking west down Cervantes from Barcelona.
Pensacola Tornado
Categories: Tornado
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401. TEXASYANKEE43 7:45 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
393. ihave27windows 2:35 PM CDT on October 18, 2007
It seems that this blog has been faster at reporting these storms today than the radio...

I would imagine those in the line of fire, the panhandle of Florida, are hearing it on their radio before we see it here.

Baja said her radio went quiet while Bone was reporting a pos. nado in her area
403. SirVivor 7:47 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
Anybody see anything to be concerned about between Tally and FWB along the I10 corridor? I see lots of heavy rain and some t'strms, but not seeing anything tornadic to my eyes. Sis is in transit and I need to give her a heads up
404. ihave27windows 7:48 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
I understand TexYank, but we have to remember those at the NWS are degreed meteorologists. We here, are amatuers at best, aside from weatherguy03 (Bob).

Err on the side of caution......keep your radio on.

If you, or anyone else, are a meteorologist, I did not mean to exclude you.
Member Since: July 19, 2005 Posts: 108 Comments: 14641
405. NEwxguy 7:48 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
things are really popping in the alabama/Miss border now.warnings popping up
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 816 Comments: 13083
407. extreme236 7:50 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
Also, RAMSDIS now has a floater on that caribbean blob
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
408. pcola 7:51 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
House,
Sorry about the pain but also good news. Missed your posting, glad to see you back. Now we just need Patrap back too!!!!!!
Member Since: September 9, 2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 159
409. Miamiweather 7:51 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
The feature i am concerned about is the central carribean anybody wants to discuss there views
411. extreme236 7:53 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
409. Miamiweather 7:51 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
The feature i am concerned about is the central carribean anybody wants to discuss there views


Well, its definatly a thing of interest. And I wouldnt be surprised to see a mention of it in the TWO...conditions are favorable for some development
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
412. TEXASYANKEE43 7:54 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
404. ihave27windows 2:48 PM CDT on October 18, 2007
I understand TexYank, but we have to remember those at the NWS are degreed meteorologists. We here, are amatuers at best, aside from weatherguy03 (Bob).

Err on the side of caution......keep your radio on.

I agree about having a radio but Bone came on and blam, spotted 2 or three hooks in a matter of a very short time. Meanwhile nothing on the radios...
413. SirVivor 7:54 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
Raining like a cow peeing on a flat rock north of Dothan now. Thunder in area. Weather related migraine creeping into my head. Dadgummit!
414. extreme236 7:54 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
STL, unfortunatly people call seasons a bust when majors dont hit the US...many people feel the US is more important than other countries for some reason.
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
415. Bonedog 7:55 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
I agree listen to your radios most definatley. The blog may just give a heads up a minute or so before the radio.


Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
417. extreme236 7:56 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
Seems to be fairly well organized on infrared imagery (90w)

Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
418. extreme236 7:57 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
416. tropicsdude 7:55 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
I am asking why the media put so
much unnecessary hype though.

The media made it look like this was going
to be a very bad year and they said 17 storms
but we have barely 13...The forecast was
really hyped IMO...


Well I still believe an other named storm or two could still form....nothing has changed IMO that wouldnt make this possible
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
419. ihave27windows 7:57 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
Perhaps the hook has to be present for a certain number of frames.....and, isn't the radar that we use here 6 minutes behind?

It is not my intention to put anyone down....Just want all to be safe.
Member Since: July 19, 2005 Posts: 108 Comments: 14641
422. SirVivor 7:58 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
Tropicsdude...the climate and condtiions change as the season progresses. What looks to be a rough season can dissipate before the season is over with. Sometimes it gets busier, sometimes it slows down. We could have used more rain from tropical systems this year, but at the sme time, it ws a relief not to have any bad 'canes hit this neck of the woods.
423. Bonedog 7:58 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
you are correct 27 windows our frames are slightly behind.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
424. extreme236 7:59 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
Also, I still believe there is still a good chance of another hurricane forming...wont speculate on any strength, as it depends on its formation location and enviroment
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
427. Bonedog 8:00 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
SirVivor one second. I might be seeing something
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
430. Bonedog 8:01 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
verfification please.... Hook echo forming on the northern side of the line coming through PCB? I am looking do east of a line from De Funiak Springs and a little NE of a line from PCB. does anyone else see this?
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
431. TEXASYANKEE43 8:01 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
415. Bonedog 2:55 PM CDT on October 18, 2007
I agree listen to your radios most definatley. The blog may just give a heads up a minute or so before the radio.


You did a heck of a job when you came on here today tho....
I don't know how you found all those so fast?????
432. nrtiwlnvragn 8:01 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
258 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL SUMTER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LIVINGSTON...

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 256 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES SOUTH OF
LIVINGSTON...OR NEAR YORK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
LIVINGSTON BY 310 PM CDT...



BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
354 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS
HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN CLARE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MICHIGAN
NORTHEASTERN OSCEOLA COUNTY IN CENTRAL MICHIGAN

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT

* AT 351 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 4
MILES SOUTH OF MARION...OR ABOUT 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF EVART...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
TEMPLE BY 400 PM EDT
LEOTA BY 415 PM EDT
Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 8922
433. Hhunter 8:01 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
miami...i think your right. that item in the central carribean looks interesting.. will have to do some more analysis. and for those who think the season is over. I am afraid it is not. keep watching...
Member Since: August 19, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 2886
434. extreme236 8:02 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
NOAA made a good forecast for this year. They originally forecasted 13-17 named storms and we should very likely be in that range
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
435. ihave27windows 8:02 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
Nevertheless Boney, keep up the good work!
Member Since: July 19, 2005 Posts: 108 Comments: 14641
436. Floodman 8:03 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
416. tropicsdude 2:55 PM CDT on October 18, 2007
I am asking why the media put so
much unnecessary hype though.

The media made it look like this was going
to be a very bad year and they said 17 storms
but we have barely 13...The forecast was
really hyped IMO...



That forecast came from Dr. Gray...to be honest, how can you fault someone for for missing a forecast about weather 3-4 months down the road? How can you fault the media for hyping when people go out and buy the most sensational stuff the media can print? It is what it is...
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9919
437. aubiesgirl 8:03 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
Bone did a great job
438. Bonedog 8:04 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
Texas I dont look at the reflectivity radars I look at the storm relative velocity radars. Not the wunderground one but the NWS ones. I shut off the topography and the warning boxes and leave auto update on. This way I can see the structure inside the storms.

Here is my current screen for northern florida

Link
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
439. Hhunter 8:05 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
folks, I believe the 2007 hurricane season is not over yet....
Member Since: August 19, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 2886
440. Floodman 8:06 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
I see it, Bone
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9919
442. TampaSpin 8:06 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
wow what bad weather tornado showing up north of Panama City on radar....
Link
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 175 Comments: 19747
443. extreme236 8:06 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
It would be foolish and premature to say the season is over yet, and I am glad no one is saying that on here right now. Hopefully everybody has found that in reality October isnt active and that this isnt 2005
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
445. extreme236 8:07 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
Upper level shear is gradually decreasing off the southeast coast....as well as in the gomex right now
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
446. SirVivor 8:08 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
Thanks...will call sis with heads up. Can't concentrate or see well when the buggers with the pickaxes get in my brain...darned migraines
447. NRAamy 8:08 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
How can you fault the media for hyping when people go out and buy the most sensational stuff the media can print?

You mean like crotch shots of spoiled brats and bathing suit shots of saggy-bottomed pseudo-celebs?
Member Since: January 24, 2007 Posts: 315 Comments: 31937
448. Bonedog 8:08 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
thanks flood. That hook is about to cross I-10 and appears to have some grey scale seperating it from the main line of storms. Keeping a close eye on it
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
449. CosmicEvents 8:10 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
The hurricane season is over!!!!!.....on November 30.
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 5098
451. extreme236 8:10 PM GMT on October 18, 2007    
I wonder if TD 01F will become a TS in the south pacific ocean...I know there is some shear in the area though that could limit further strengthening
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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