Tropical Storm Alma has dissipated over the high mountains of Honduras, and thankfully did not dump enough rain to cause a major flooding disaster in Central America. At 3pm EDT yesterday, Alma became the first tropical storm since records began in 1949 to make landfall on the Pacific coast of Central America. All previous Eastern Pacific storms have hit Mexico, which is considered part of North America. Alma came ashore in Nicaragua, near the Honduras border, as a tropical storm with 65 mph winds. So far, one person has been killed in Nicaragua, due to a fallen power cable. However, Alma has not dumped enough rain to cause widespread flooding--rainfall amounts in Nicaragua the past two day have been 3-8 inches. Costa Rica has had rains of similar magnitude, which have caused isolated mudslides that have blocked roads. Additional rain from Alma's remnants should total less than two inches in Costa Rica and four inches in Nicaragua. However, Honduras, El Salvador, Belize, Guatemala, and Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula are likely to get 4-8 inches of rain over the next two days from this system, which could cause significant flooding and mud slides.
Figure 1. Current satellite image of Alma's remnants.
There is a large area of disturbed weather that has developed in the Western Caribbean between Jamaica and the Yucatan Peninsula in the past few hours, in association with a trough of low pressure extending from the center of Alma. This morning's 7:37am EDT QuikSCAT pass showed winds of up to 50 knots (58 mph) in this region, but no hint of a circulation or wind shift. It is possible that this disturbed area could start to develop on its own later today, as a westward-moving tropical wave currently near Jamaica interacts with it. This area should expand and spread into Honduras, Belize, and Mexico's Yucatan by Saturday. However, I'm not expecting a major flooding disaster with heavy loss of life anywhere in Central America from Alma's remnants. The GFS model is predicting that moisture from Alma will eventually work its way north and bring heavy rains to Florida by June 7. No models are predicting a tropical storm in the Atlantic during the coming week.
Figure 2. Doppler radar winds from the Kearney, Nebraska tornadoes of May 29, 2008. Note that a twin set of vorticies appears in this image, denoting that two adjacent tornadoes may have hit.
Tornadoes rip the Midwest again Thursday; tornadoes expected today in Illinois, Indiana, and Missouri
Numerous strong tornadoes raked the Midwest last night, adding to the extensive damage already wreaked by one of the worst months of tornado damage in U.S. history. Last night's most significant destruction occurred in Jewell, Kansas, and Kearney, Nebraska. In Jewell, numerous businesses were destroyed and the town water tower toppled. In Kearney, multiple twisters hit, and a 90-car train was knocked off of its tracks. Wunderblogger Mike Theiss caught up to the Kearney tornado, and describes his experience in his blog today. All told, there were 55 tornado reports Thursday, but no deaths or injuries.
The Storm Prediction Center is calling for a "Moderate" risk of severe weather across Illinois, Indiana, and Missouri this afternoon---one level below their "High" risk level that was posted yesterday. Expect another significant tornado outbreak today. The Weather Underground Severe Weather page and Tornado page are good places to go to follow the severe weather. Also, tune in to the chase accounts and awesome storm photos from Wunderblogger Mike Theiss. Mike is in Tornado Alley this week, performing his annual chase efforts.
Jeff Masters
Photo of the original TIV (Tornado Intercept Vehicle) driving out from underneath thunderstorm. Photo copyright Mike Theiss
Blurry photo of the Osbourne Kansas tornado taken while driving. Photo copyright Mike Theiss
Photo of Cloud 9 Tours members parked underneath some really eerie looking skies. Photo copyright Mike Theiss
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ROFLMAO
Once they stopped advisories, any remanent development in a different basin is given a new number. If they had continued advisories, it would still be 01EAlma
399. No sarcasm, Drak? LMAO
LOL ;P
I wouldn't be surprised if alma became Arthur in the Gulf of Mexico which is where all the computer models are forecasting it to go. It could be like Bret of 2005. Honestly the first invest, depression, and T.S. are exciting but we don,t see any super strong first storms like Allen, or Anita
I just looked at nearly every model and none put this in the GOM. Most have it heading toward the NNW then NW Then W toward the Pacific....has it changed in the last Hour...LMAO.
I hoped you wash ur hands after using the toilet.
Wanted to mention even if we have a named storm during the next few days it does not in any way shape or form indicate an extremely busy hurricane season in 08.All in all it should be inland sometime within the next 24hrs or so.
National Hurricane Operations Plan
Section 3.3
Alma's last position.
I know you are just giving your opinion but don't try to force it on us =P
Hi everyone =) I have been mostly in lurk mode =)
So 90L could end up going towards land? =P
wow lol why waste a name =D
But I guess if they gave it the name it means it has a chance to become something.
409 - cchs - I was wondering the same thing. By the way - go over there and look at the last position they show for Alma. It is real close to where 90L is. That is why I tend to like the name Alma again.
Since the NHC issued their last advisory on Alma, any tropical storm that would form in the Caribbean would be named Arthur.
I live in Wichita KS
:)
What was the first storm of the 1992 hurricane season ?
cch you cant update nothing if they have nothing to update....stormkat
Why did the NAVY meteorologists declare Invest 90L then? Maybe there is something to update. CCHSWeatherman
How about "Arthur ben Alma"? (Arthur son of Alma)
Trick Question
What was the first storm of the 1992 hurricane season ?
Andrew?
1992...It was TD 1. A very diffuse system that crossed central Florida from the Gulf. I want to say it was a late June system, but I'd have to double check on that.
Trick Question
What was the first storm of the 1992 hurricane season ?
Rather easy....
april 21,92 it was a sub-tropical system.
I guess after wishcasting all these years stormkat for storms to hit and be wrong now your going for downcasting and being wrong (however I'm not sure if this will develop or not...I want to hear what the NHC has to say)
Trick Question
What was the first storm of the 1992 hurricane season ?
Wasnt it a subtropical storm or something like that. Sorry I was only 4 at that time.
I shouldn't be surprised I wasn't even alive when Andrew hit
only navy has 90l up nothing on ssd site or NHC site as of yet so my guess is its a unofficial invest at the moment
Uh no this has been officical for a while now.Its basically an invest with no future.
only navy has 90l up nothing on ssd site or NHC site as of yet so my guess is its a unofficial invest at the moment
Keep in mind that the next NHC update will come shortly, so they are probably waiting until then to make anything official. Usually, the NHC follows suit with the NAVY guys.
I still think a depression is possible in the Gulf
Single layer steering showing a nice ridge to the north
Viewing: 401 - 451
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