My blog was started when I saw Tropical Storm Debbie numerical model prediction. The models were not in agreeance even though the outlook was only hours ahead. Most times, they start to show similar trends as the possible outliers become more defined.
They couldn't have been more opposite and I loved it! It forced me to evaluate the model equations themselves and decide myself which information is pertinent and most likely.
I chose GFS although it is from 1988, has an old IBM computer inside, and will be phased out soon. The dynamic/physical properties it includes in its equation are well represented.
Next storm I will blog my predictions.
mml
