Dr. Ricky Rood's Climate Change Blog

Definition of Climate: Average versus Accumulation
Posted by: Dr. Ricky Rood, 7:18 PM GMT on November 03, 2007 +2
Definition of Climate: Average versus Accumulation:

Climate is often defined as the “average weather.” More complete definitions include not only the average, but statistical representations of variability. Because weather is not a measurable parameter, the definition of climate ultimately relies upon a set of more basic measures of, traditionally, the state of the atmosphere – temperature, wind, and moisture. Furthermore, the quantification of the climate relies upon the definition of the averaging period.

Climate, however, encompasses much more than the weather and the atmosphere. Therefore, the definition of climate is extended beyond measures of the atmosphere to include other components of the Earth system: cryosphere, ocean, land, and their chemical state. In addition, measures of the state of the Sun and the geological state of the Earth are potentially important. The specification of the averaging period is often anchored in the quality and completeness of the observational record. The World Meteorological Organization recognizes a 30 year averaging time as a standard. The study of weather is implicit in this choice of an averaging period because of the availability of global measurements which reliably sample the spatial and temporal scales of weather. As our data record is extended, we discover important modes of variability that are longer than 30 years. Also, the time scales in the non-atmospheric components of the Earth system are longer than those in the atmosphere; hence, the average states of these components are not represented by the same average that might yield an “average weather.”

The two extensions to the definition of climate listed above are scientific in nature and any deficiencies in the definition can be accounted for with quantitative rigor. A third challenge to the definition of climate follows from the exposure of scientific investigation of the climate to society as a whole. Climate science and predicted climate change become not solely the purview of the science community. If the knowledge of climate predictions is to become the foundation for decisions in energy policy, infrastructure investments, and adaptation strategies, then the definition of climate and climate variability needs to accommodate the requirements of these communities. This will nuance and extend the definition of climate.

The scientific definition of climate as spatial and temporal averages and deviations from that average impacts the way that information from the science community is provided to other communities. It impacts the way scientists analyze the results of climate models, and the strategies to develop more accurate and robust climate models. While a powerful and useful way to organize and quantify both observational and model data, the representation of the physical state of the climate as averages weakens the ability to investigate cause and effect in climate models. For example, how the change of a model component such as the convective parameterization impacts the average spatial pattern in the inter-tropical convergence zone is difficult to isolate.

This paper explores a nuance on the definition of climate. That is, rather than climate being defined as the average weather, weather is viewed as one of the elements of the climate system. In the climate system the role of weather is, fundamentally, to carry heat from the equator to the pole; it is a transport process. Weather is not the only dynamical transport mechanism. The ocean circulation serves the same purpose – the transport of heat from low to high latitudes. Also, in the atmosphere there are other scales of motion, planetary waves and gravity waves for instance, that are important dynamical features of the climate, but they are not the core focus of the study of weather and weather forecasting.

The transport of heat from the equator to the pole is the fundamental role of weather in the climate system. This role is complicated by the importance of water and the energy associated with the phase changes of water. Indeed, our notion of climate stability is anchored in the notion of a global-scale balance of the ice, liquid, and gas phases of water. The differential heating between the equation and the pole drives a circulation to reduce the temperature gradient. The dynamical systems that develop also transport water. The range of temperatures that are common to the atmosphere cause phase changes of water, which in turn significantly impact the spatial and temporal distribution of energy.

Weather is a subset of the dynamical systems that develop to transport energy and that respond to that transport of energy. The subset of dynamical systems that comprises the weather is especially important because weather is the most immediate and important way the climate impacts people and ecosystems. The accumulation of the transport associated with weather systems is the contribution of weather to climate. This nuanced definition of the role of weather in the climate system as an accumulated transport mechanism will be investigated in this paper.


(This is the draft of introduction of a paper I’m writing.)

Here is a list of links to basic definitions used in climate.

IPCC Glossary


Arctic Climatology and Meteorology Glossary

Wikipedia Climate Definition

World Meteorological Organizations Climate Theme Page





Figure 1: A picture I took of the Tower of the Winds in the Roman Agora in Athens, Greece, 2004. The carvings show representations of the winds from different directions. This was a meteorological observatory a couple of millennia ago. Just thought it was a nice picture - and not irrelevant.
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2. ricderr 12:01 PM GMT on November 04, 2007    
wow.......well written..but with a little cipherin...an igno like me could figure out what you're saying.........
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 626 Comments: 18069
3. Snowfire 4:13 PM GMT on November 05, 2007    
Your remarks raise an interesting issue about variability which I think is glossed over in most weather reports distributed to the general public. Parameters such as temperature and precipitation are often reported as degrees or inches or centimeters above or below normal, or percent of normal. Yet to do this strips these numbers of the context of local variability. To say that precipitation is 50% or 200% of normal is of much different significance in Ketchikan as opposed to in Death Valley; likewise, to say that it is 20 degrees below normal means something very different in Bermuda than in Bismarck. My fantasy is that such departures be reported as standard deviations above or below normal. I think such a presentation would give a less skewed depiction of many things, including drought, heat and cold waves, and even climate change.
Member Since: June 29, 2005 Posts: 24 Comments: 300
5. cyclonebuster 3:38 AM GMT on November 06, 2007    
The key to this whole problem is to bring up cooler waters from the depths of the oceans to regulate our planets fever. There is a huge resevoir of cooler waters at depth that can be used as natural resource to regulate the climate.
I have told you how to do it if you won't believe me then that is on you scientists.
Removing my posts won't change things.
Member Since: January 2, 2006 Posts: 127 Comments: 18782
6. desertdisaster 2:17 PM GMT on November 06, 2007    
Cyclone, some scientists are trying to find solutions other than reducing the CO2 levels…
The problem is that geoengineering a sunshade, your tunnels or other ideas, is being sold as insurance long before anybody has any idea whether they would work and what the unintended consequences would be!!! It would be more like building lifeboats, but lifeboats based on a design that has never been used before which has to work more or less perfectly the first time the panicked passengers are loaded into them. The problem is that by the time we know enough to have any confidence at all in any lifeboats, CO2 may have risen to the point where the lifeboats becomes not just a backup, but a survival necessity. We are not there yet. And diverting the world's climate research funds or other funds into trying to build lifeboats instead of trying to find solutions to reduce the CO2 levels and find alternative energy sources, is not well seen at this time…
7. cyclonebuster 5:15 PM GMT on November 06, 2007    
They better jump on this life boat because the ship is already sinking.All they need to do is computer model it and this should tell them how many life boats we need.
Member Since: January 2, 2006 Posts: 127 Comments: 18782
8. cyclonebuster 10:17 PM GMT on November 07, 2007    
Better start breaking out the lifeboats in South Florida sooner than we think!

Scientist: South Florida Will Be Water by End of Century
Wednesday, November 07, 2007

Link
Member Since: January 2, 2006 Posts: 127 Comments: 18782
9. cyclonebuster 10:37 PM GMT on November 07, 2007    
Life boats world wide,also.

Climate Change Could Diminish Drinking Water More Than Expected

Link
Member Since: January 2, 2006 Posts: 127 Comments: 18782
10. cyclonebuster 10:59 PM GMT on November 07, 2007    
What is causing this cooler water near Mexico in the Pacific?

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/sst_basin/at_sst.gif
Member Since: January 2, 2006 Posts: 127 Comments: 18782
11. CycleForecasting 10:24 PM GMT on November 08, 2007    
Florida will not be underwater, the polar bears will not die, and the global warming will not end man's existence on earth.

Global warming will begin to end around 2010...just a few more years and we say goodbye to global warming for another 200-years.

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About RickyRood
I'm a professor at U Michigan and lead a course on climate change problem solving. These articles include ideas from the course. And no tuition!

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