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Last Updated: 3:15 PM GMT on November 08, 2009
— Last Comment: 6:29 PM GMT on August 27, 2009
| Posted by: SWFLDigTek, 3:31 AM GMT on November 05, 2009 |
   

Updated 11/8/09 @ 1:00 AM EST
At 11:15 PM EST on 11/7/09 the NHC issued an update stating IDA has regained Hurricane Status in the Northern Caribbean... The 1 AM Update reported IDA with winds of 90 MPH, it is possible we may see a CAT2 storm for a short period of time before weakening begins. According to the NHC Forecast and many of the models IDA is most likely going to affect the Florida Panhandle, but the exact path of this system may be a little more complex than that. I plan to take a closer look at this during the day on Sunday, but right now I think everyone from the Mississippi coast on down to South Florida should monitor the progress of this storm. As for intensity, shear and cooler water is going to take a toll on IDA as the system moves North. Of course the stronger IDA gets over the next day or so, along with how fast the system moves are factors in how powerful a system might make landfall. Still, I do not see IDA maintaining Hurricane status until landfall, my thinking right now would be a strong TS with 60+ MPH winds. I will likely update again Sunday evening, until then - take care and stay safe.

Posted 11/4/09 @ 10:30 PM EST
The 9th named storm of the season, IDA, has formed in the SouthWest Caribbean... While too early to predict if and where this system might impact the CONUS, it is certain that flooding rains will affect San Andres Island, Nicaragua and Honduras. The official NHC forecast does call for regeneration back to TS status over the NorthWest Caribbean and the storm COULD affect Florida beyond that. On the other hand, it might dissipate during the 3 days it is expected to be over Central America. This is definitely a system to be monitored, but it is far too early to make any long term forecast regarding path or intensity. If IDA survives its journey over land and does intensify once back over water, I will update as needed, until then - take care and stay safe.

HURRICANE POLL LINK 


 SWINE FLU INFORMATION & LINKS WEATHER ABBREVIATIONS & DEFINITIONS TROPICAL WEATHER LINKS
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Updated: 3:15 PM GMT on November 08, 2009
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| Posted by: SWFLDigTek, 8:56 PM GMT on October 27, 2009 |
Posted 10/27/09 @ 4:45 PM EDTNo, not yet at least. I took this picture of a rather ominous looking cloud the other day, sure looks like it could have been the end huh... (picture taken in Cape Coral Florida)On the other hand, South Florida is expected to experience record high temperatures through to the weekend so maybe there was something to it... I am also watching some rather impressive storms in the GOM that will mainly be affecting Central and North Florid...
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| Posted by: SWFLDigTek, 5:34 PM GMT on October 21, 2009 |
Posted 10/21/09 @ 1:30 PM EDTAccording to the NOAA, El Niño conditions will continue through the winter months... As a result Florida is expected to have a cooler than normal season with above average rainfall. I am not real keen to think it might be colder than I like, but rainfall is usually a welcomed sight during the winter months so the news is not all bad. In the Tropics we have the disturbance in the SW Caribbean Sea that is being monitored by the NHC... I...
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Updated: 2:49 AM GMT on October 22, 2009
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| Posted by: SWFLDigTek, 2:27 PM GMT on October 17, 2009 |
Posted 10/17/09 @ 10:30 AM EDTThings have been quiet in the Tropical Atlantic and it looks like that trend will continue for at least the next 5 to 7 days... Still, with about 6 weeks left before the season ends I would not stick a fork in it just yet.South Florida experienced our first 'cold front' of fall during the day on Friday, ending our several week long run of afternoon heat index temperatures in the 100s. The forecast for the next week starts off with a we...
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| Posted by: SWFLDigTek, 4:36 PM GMT on October 07, 2009 |
Posted 10/7/09 @ 12:30 PM EDTThings seem to be picking up again, HENRI has formed and is holding on to Tropical Storm strength, an area of interest to the SouthEast of HENRI and a somewhat robust Tropical Wave that moved off the coast of Africa also exist, so we have a lot to monitor... On the other hand, there seems to be no model support for any of these systems to develop further. HENRI is expected to be a remnant low by the weekend and Tropical Development is n...
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Updated: 6:04 PM GMT on October 07, 2009
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