Tropical Atlantic Remains Quiet - Midwest Heat on the Way

By: Steve Gregory, 9:37 PM GMT on July 06, 2015



6-JUL-15 (Next Regular WX Update THU – JULY 9)

Tropical Atlantic:

The Tropical Atlantic still shows no signs of ‘lighting up’ – with only a few small, tropical waves traversing the ATL basin. With dry and stable air dominating much of the tropics, along with strong wind shears in the CARIB and much of the MDR (Main Development Region) in the tropical Atlantic, there is close to no chance for cyclone formation for the nex...

2 WEEK FORECAST EL NINO mjo Alaska Temps TROPICS

Updated: 9:53 PM GMT on July 06, 2015

Remarkably ‘Cool’ in the East as West Roasts

By: Steve Gregory, 6:19 PM GMT on June 29, 2015



UPDATED: JUN 29, 2015

NOTE: * FULL UPDATE SCHEDULE RESUMES MONDAY, JULY 6 *

Next Regular WX Update MONDAY – JULY 6

UNSEASONABLY STRONG EASTERN US TROF - TROPICS VERY QUIET

The sub-tropical High that’ brought intense heat to the SE US last week has been suppressed southward, with the ridge line extending from the western Atlantic into the Gulf of Mexico (GOM) as an unseasonably high amplitude TRO...

2 WEEK FORECAST TROPICS EL NINO MJO

Updated: 4:18 PM GMT on July 05, 2015

COOLER IN THE EAST BUT BROILING IN THE WEST

By: Steve Gregory, 5:06 PM GMT on June 23, 2015



23-JUN-15

NOTE: ABBREVIATED / IRREGULAR BLOG UPDATE SCHEDULE THRU JULY 7
 Next Regular WX Update Expected MONDAY – JUN 29 

COOLER TEMPS AHEAD FOR EASTERN US WHILE
TROPICS REMAIN QUIET WITH STABLE / DUSTY AIR & STRONG SHEARS

The sub-tropical High continues to bring extreme heat to much of the SE US as a fairly strong cold front from the eastern Great Lakes southward to the lower Mississippi Valley...

2 WEEK FORECAST TROPICS Alaska Temps sal

Updated: 5:22 PM GMT on June 23, 2015

Tropical Disturbance Bill Still Cooking as Warm & Wet Pattern Persists

By: Steve Gregory, 6:59 PM GMT on June 18, 2015



18-JUN-15

NOTE: ABBREVIATED / IRREGULAR BLOG UPDATE SCHEDULE THRU JULY 7
 Next Regular WX Update Expected TUESDAY – JUN 232 


TROPICS: REMNANTS OF T.S. BILL TO MOVE ACROSS OHIO VALLEY

The tropical disturbance that was in the GOM MON (and which I made one of my worst forecasts for) intensified into Tropical Storm Bill prior to landfall along the central portions of the SE Texas coast, bringing gale f...

2 WEEK FORECAST TROPICS

Updated: 5:57 PM GMT on June 19, 2015

Tropical Disturbance in Gulf No Major Storm Threat

By: Steve Gregory, 7:11 PM GMT on June 15, 2015



15-JUN-15

NOTE: ABBREVIATED / IRREGULAR BLOG UPDATE SCHEDULE THRU JULY 7
- - - Next Regular WX Update Expected THU – JUN 18)


TROPICS: INVEST 91L IN GULF OF MEXICO RAINMAKER THREAT

The evolving Summer Pattern has led to a surge of deep tropical moisture from the western CARIB into the GOM where a broad and poorly organized Tropical Low has formed. While these type of systems can sometimes develop into a ...

TROPICS Tropical Storm 2 WEEK FORECAST EL NINO MJO Alaska Temps

Updated: 1:40 PM GMT on June 16, 2015

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About SteveGregory

Professional Forecaster experience since 1977, concentrating in Aviation, Tropical and Long Range forecasting.

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