DASH OF WINTER - BUT MODERATE TEMPERATURES & STORMY WEATHER THEME FOR NOVEMBER

By: Steve Gregory, 3:31 PM GMT on October 30, 2014


COLD AIR PLUNGE MIDWEST INTO SOUTHEAST TO BE SHORT-LIVED

A strong upper air short-wave TROF is digging rapidly southeastward across the Great Lakes region and will reach the southeastern US by Saturday morning. As the TROF digs into the SE U.S., a cut-off upper level low may form over the Carolinas, generating a surface storm system just offshore of the Carolinas which will then head rapidly northeastward. An unseasonably cold air plunge will rea...

Winter Weather

Updated: 7:37 PM GMT on October 30, 2014

CYCLONE IN ARABIAN SEA / INVEST 94L / WARM WX AHEAD

By: Steve Gregory, 10:14 PM GMT on October 25, 2014


UNUSUAL CYCLONE DEVELOPING IN ARABIAN SEA

A disturbance (INVEST IO90) in the Arabian Sea has been slowly developing into a Tropical Cyclone over the last few days, and appears very close to reaching Tropical Depression intensity. The developing storm is located about 600NM SE of the Oman coast, and remains quasi-stationary. Most models are showing intensification to a CAT 1 storm over the next 72 hours, and is forecast to move towards the OMAN c...

Hurricane Winter Weather

CYCLONE IN ARABIAN SEA / INVEST 94L / WARM WX AHEAD

By: Steve Gregory, 10:14 PM GMT on October 25, 2014


UNUSUAL CYCLONE DEVELOPING IN ARABIAN SEA

A disturbance (INVEST IO90) in the Arabian Sea has been slowly developing into a Tropical Cyclone over the last few days, and appears very close to reaching Tropical Depression intensity. The developing storm is located about 600NM SE of the Oman coast, and remains quasi-stationary. Most models are showing intensification to a CAT 1 storm over the next 72 hours, and is forecast to move towards the OMAN c...

Hurricane Winter Weather

Tropical Depression #9 Comes and Goes as Remnants of GONZALO Slam United Kingdom

By: Steve Gregory, 5:20 PM GMT on October 23, 2014


TROPICAL DEPRESSION #9 WEAKENS AS IT MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN INTO CARIBBEAN

The borderline Depression #9 that formed in the southern Bay of Campeche late TUE lost much of its convection yesterday as seasonal westerlies sheared the system apart and sent the Low Level circulation inland along the west coast of the Yucatan. Even yesterday morning when it was still classified as a Tropical Depression by RECON, most of the large scale convection / mois...

Hurricane Winter Weather tropical storm

Updated: 6:13 PM GMT on October 23, 2014

Weekly Blog Updates for Tropics & Major Winter Events

By: Steve Gregory, 2:53 PM GMT on October 22, 2014





Due to prior commitments I've not been able to provide updates on the small Depression near the Yucatan this week which poses little to no significant threat to the US.

My next Blog update will be as originally scheduled (tomorrow - THURSDAY).

I will also be providing updates for Dr. Jeff Masters 1 or 2 days per week through the end of the year In lieu of my own Blog if it happens to coincide with my normal 2-3x / wee...

Hurricane tropical storm Winter Weather

Updated: 4:49 PM GMT on October 22, 2014

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About SteveGregory

Professional Forecaster experience since 1977, concentrating in Aviation, Tropical and Long Range forecasting.

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