Professional Forecaster experience since 1977, concentrating in Aviation, Tropical and Long Range forecasting.
By: Steve Gregory, 5:43 PM GMT on September 18, 2014
INVEST 95L FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC
The tropical Low pressure center (INVEST 95L) associated with the strong Tropical Wave that emerged off the West African coast yesterday is located to the southeast of the Cape Verdes and is moving slowly westward at about 15Kts. While some of the global models show the system slowly developing during the next few days – all of them eventually dissipate the system later this weekend. At the same time – another wave up...
Updated: 7:56 PM GMT on September 18, 2014
By: Steve Gregory, 5:58 PM GMT on September 16, 2014
MAJOR CAT 3 HURRICANE EDOUARD
Major CAT 3 Hurricane EDOUARD (the first ATL Basin major hurricane since Sandy in 2012) is passing well east of Bermuda this morning with sustained winds near 100Kts. SAT imagery shows a well defined eye wall within a CDO (Central Dense Overcast) - and was 1 of several reasons that NHC upgraded EDOUARD to a Major CAT 3 Hurricane. As well projected for the past week, the storm will soon be recurving northeast and then eastwa...
Updated: 2:15 PM GMT on September 17, 2014
By: Steve Gregory, 5:25 PM GMT on September 14, 2014
RECON data as of 18:28Z for ODILE: FLIGHT LEVEL Winds of 122Kts, Surface SFMR of 102Kts - and a central pressure of 922mb! There are now 2, concentric Eye Walls. Inner eye wall 10NM across, outer 48NM across. This confirms earlier Blog entry that an ERC was under way.
922mb is 3rd lowest measured EPAC pressure. 9 other hurricanes had lower 'satellite derived' pressures.
INVESTS 92L AND 93L DEVOLVE
Updated: 2:24 PM GMT on September 15, 2014
By: Steve Gregory, 5:13 PM GMT on September 13, 2014
GOM INVEST 92L and 94L / INVEST 93L IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC
DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL FOR 92L DROPS TO NEAR ZERO
The Low pressure center (INVEST 92L) in the NE Gulf of Mexico (GOM) us located about 150NM West of Fort Myers, FL continues heading generally westward (255°) at about 10Kts. While the system location and upper level wind pattern forecast from yesterday remains ‘on track’ – a surge of drier air from along the SE coast of the US ...
Updated: 8:16 PM GMT on September 13, 2014
By: Steve Gregory, 10:53 PM GMT on September 12, 2014
FOR A MORE DETAILED POST ON THIS SYSTEM – SEE UPDATE #1 FROM
INVEST 92L MOVES OFF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA
The center of Low pressure (INVEST 92L) has just moved off the Florida coast and is located about 30NM west of Ft. Meyers, FL. As expected, there’s been no significant change to the system during the day – except for a better defined low to mid level circulation which is clearly seen in the latest VIS images.<...
Updated: 2:41 PM GMT on September 13, 2014
Light Thunderstorm Rain