Palm Harbor Tropical Forecast and Weather Center

95L continues to show signs of, and is, becoming better organized. 95L is dsiplaying excellent convection and is statrting to display banding features. I would almost look for 95L to be designated a Topical Depression within the next 12 hours. Wind shear is forecast to weaken, with an upper level anticyclone developing over it in about 24-36 hours, based on it's projected path, and current forecast shear maps.

Based partly on model consensus, and largely on steering forecast maps, 95L should move slowly westward for about 24-36 hours, then turn more to the WNW. Based on tne animation of the steering layers maps...a persistent weakness is going to lie to the NW of 95L near 30-33N; 68-70W.

If this flow does not change, I see 95L possibly coming close to the U.S., but no cigar. As it stands with the current steering forecast, 95L may make it to 70W, then the flow depicted is almost straight north, then out to sea.

I will continue to monitor this for further development, and for any changes in the steering pattern.

"Storm"