16-yr-old weather aficionado, with primary focus on tropical cyclones. High school and college student, working towards the National Hurricane Center.
By: TropicalAnalystwx13 , 6:05 PM GMT on June 27, 2012
[Update as of 06-27/1800Z]: Debby made landfall as a 40 mph tropical storm last night, and has since weakened to a tropical depression. The center has reemerged on the other side of Florida, and should move northeast out to sea. Re-intensification is likely, and Debby may pose a threat to Bermuda eventually. For now though, rip currents remain a risk along the SE Coastline.
[Update as of 06-26/1800Z]: Yet another significant shift in the forecast track has occurred with Tropical Storm Debby. The ridge has not been as strong as previously thought, and therefore Debby has moved northeast in response to a weakness over the northeast United States. Debby likely peaked as a 60 mph last night, and should make landfall in Florida over the coming days. Torrential rainfall continues to be a huge issue. After crossing the state, Debby may restrengthen and indirectly affect the USA East Coast in the form of rip currents.
[Update as of 06-25/1200Z]: There has been a significant shift in the predicted path of Tropical Storm Debby. Many of our dynamical models have shifted towards the upper-Texas coast, and this will likely be reflected in the next NHC update at 11AM EDT. A hurricane still looks probable, although landfall should now occur in Louisiana.
[Update as of 06-24/2100Z]: An aircraft reconnaissance plane investigating Invest 96L found a well-defined center of circulation and tropical storm-force winds. Thus, advisories have been initiated on Tropical Storm Debby. The system is likely to track westward over the coming days, and should become a hurricane before making landfall in central Texas.
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