bigtrucker's WunderBlog

STAT TUNED

Posted by: bigtrucker, 1:24 AM GMT on July 11, 2009

Watching TD18 with some concerns for the Northeast. Several models, including GFS AND Euro, bring this storm up the Eastern Seaboard. How strong and what type of storm remains to be seen. Several scenerios are possible. With a negative tilt to the jet expected to be in place, it is quite possible that the storm could ride the jet and make landfall in Southern New England.
Another possibility would be for the TD to be nudged out to sea with a secondary storm forming along the East coast.
I cant post no model info due to problems with my pc but I will try and resolve this issue.

Sea surface temps

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1. bigtrucker 1:46 AM GMT on July 11, 2009
On that day, we were under a severe thunderstorm watch. I was swimming in my girlfriends pool around 4:00PM and noticed off to the north and west very ominous clouds beginning to move towards me in Milford CT. about 5 miles from Hamden. I got out of the pool and asked my girlfriend if she had a camera and she didn't. It was before the days when i used computers and cell phones to get weather info. I went inside and quickly turned on the TV to find out anything, because I just knew it was going to be more than just a strong storm. Tornado warnings were already posted in the entire area of Southern New Haven County. I remember the olive-green sky and the branches on the trees getting sucked upwards. Than branches started breaking off followed by the power going off. I watched the storm passing to my north and east from underneath my girls patio. When the power came back on, a half hour later, I was stunned to see an F4 tornado had cut a path through Hamden, and although weakening moved just east of New Haven and Out to the Sound. It was very close to where my sister lived at the time, about a mile or so. We got in the car and tried to get into Hamden with no luck. They had shut off the entire area. I heard from my sister the next day and although she had no power she was able to go to a friends house about a mile away and call my mom and dad. To this day I have never seen a sky that looked like that. And living in Florida for many years, and the midwest for a year thats saying a lot Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

2. bigtrucker 7:03 PM GMT on July 11, 2009
This is how summer in the Northeast is shaping up..LOL Record Report Statement as of 04:34 PM EDT on July 10, 2009 ... Record low temperature set at Kennedy NY... a record low temperature of 58 degrees was set at Kennedy NY today. This breaks the old record of 62 set in 1991. Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

3. AuntBrooke 7:29 PM GMT on July 11, 2009
Hi Art! How are you??? Sorry I haven't called. I really haven't hardly had time to even call my parents. They're feeling very abandoned, but I am so busy I can't keep my head above water sometimes. Take care! Member Since: November 10, 2008 Posts: 47 Comments: 7304

4. bigtrucker 7:40 PM GMT on July 11, 2009
Hi Brooke. Thanks for stopping by. How is Dad doing?? Make sure you call him often. Call at your convienience, usually nights are best Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

5. bigtrucker 5:53 PM GMT on July 12, 2009
Hi to all...What a beautiful day it is today. After a night of showers and T-Storms the humidity has dropped, sunny skies and a gentile breeze. Miss everyone around here, everybody must have a life....LOL How about Mark Martin!!! Another great race yesterday. Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

6. palmettobug53 11:39 PM GMT on July 12, 2009
Hey, BigT! I'll be that was a scary storm. I've never seen a tornado or been in or near a storm that spawned one like that. Hope I never am, to tell the truth! I'll do my tornado watching on those chase shows on TV. Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 207 Comments: 21466

7. synthman19872003 2:51 AM GMT on July 14, 2009
Hey Art! How's it going! How's the weather in New England? Yeah, it does seem like everyone has been blogging less here lately, myself included, hmm... must be the lack of exciting weather! LOL I'll probably start blogging more when cane season is supposed to crank up next month :) I'm wondering though if this year will be a dud for the East Coast? I have a feeling that this year will be more of a Gulf Coast year instead, but of course I could be wrong, only time will tell... Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 4045

8. AuntBrooke 3:39 AM GMT on July 14, 2009
Hi Art! How are you???? I've been busier than a bee, but hopefully soon, with break, I'll be able to slow down and actually think for a while. I have my finals next week for the Summer Term and but I have to have two book reports done by Friday. One is done and the other is going to be ready hopefully on Wednesday or so. Anyways, then we have a three week break, but I'll only get 2 off as I am going to be an RA for the dorm complex and I have to be here to greet the girls and help the guys get all moved out. It's going to be quite the week. And I have to get myself moved into an RA room. LOL... Hope you're doing good. Take care! Member Since: November 10, 2008 Posts: 47 Comments: 7304

9. shoreacres 3:14 AM GMT on July 17, 2009
Hi, BT, I always have to stop by these northern blogs to see what might be heading our way. I can't believe how cold it was - record setting? 58? Good gosh. It was in the upper 90s today and we felt like we'd really caught a break-guess we had. Hope all is going well, despite your cool weather. Interesting that you commented about slower blog traffic - I've seen that over at wordpress, too. I think it's just a time of year when people get caught up in traveling, home projects, or just flat summer laziness! Down here we don't mind being in the AC at a computer, but I'll bet if I lived up north I'd be ready to get out of the house and enjoy what summer still has to offer. Hope all's going well - have a good Friday! Member Since: October 4, 2004 Posts: 195 Comments: 14799

10. OSHNBLU 3:57 AM GMT on July 17, 2009
{{{art}}}way too busy...working a bunch...but it pays. Gald no storms are brewing, so I can still show up and earn $$$. Hope things are good in the NE...we have had our share of the sea breeze pop-ups the last few days..makes the commute a nightmare. Today was up 5:30...1.15hr commute to job1...9-4:30..off to 1.30hr home, feed the cat and dog, walk the dog, change clothes for job2...on shift at 6pm..off at 9:30... Gonna sign off now...up again tommorrow for job1. Looks like next day off will be July 29th..when I fly out to see my oldest walk for her Masters Degree... Life is Good! Member Since: July 13, 2005 Posts: 117 Comments: 5191

11. bigtrucker 8:48 PM GMT on July 17, 2009
Blu, After reading your post i need a nap...LOL Make sure you take care of yourself. Something I need to put more effort into. Congrats to your daughter, you have to be proud.!!! Im here, so call when you can!! Shore Yes, it's been a strange summer thusfar. We only hit 90 once, the rest of the time it was in the upper 70's. Some big storms last night, more on the way tonight. Brooke, yours and Matts posts took two days to post. (Weird) Good luck on your book reports and enjoy your time off. Im doing ok thanks for asking!! Matt I dont know what happened but it took two days for your post to show up. Yeah, this is usually WU's slow period, than it heats up as we enter the season. We had some strong storms last night, expecting more tonight. A few of them dumped 6 inches of rain at once!!!!! To all, Have a great weekend, have fun and stay safe (if possible) Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

12. charlesimages 1:02 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Hey bro Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 344 Comments: 29244

13. bigtrucker 1:07 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
hi Charles! whats up Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

14. charlesimages 1:15 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Not alot Art just living! Jamming! Wondering if I should eat and trying to fend off people LOL mostly women what about you? Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 344 Comments: 29244

15. bigtrucker 1:16 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Eat. It's good for you...LOL Well, depending on what you eat. Im just hanging, not doing much Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

16. bigtrucker 1:18 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Watching the thunderstorms off to my SW... Last night we got some big storms Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

17. mobal 1:20 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
RIP Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 479 Comments: 5311

18. bigtrucker 1:21 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Hi Mobal.... Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

19. mobal 1:24 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Hi BT, Man that heat pump is good! Lower bill and humidity! Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 479 Comments: 5311

20. bigtrucker 1:25 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Glad to hear that mobal...They really are coming out with some highly efficient systems Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

21. charlesimages 1:28 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Art, storms sound fun, I haven't had one of those severe ones in over 7 months now LOL Or 6?? I don't know it's been a long time. Yeah I think I'll eat some of Grandma's Own Goulash. Oh man she knows how to make that stuff!! Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 344 Comments: 29244

22. mobal 1:29 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
I replaced a 1978 unit.....LOL! Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 479 Comments: 5311

23. bigtrucker 1:31 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Sounds good Charles... LOL I didn't eat yet. i have to make my way to the kitchen and see what I have. Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

24. bigtrucker 1:32 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Quoting mobal: I replaced a 1978 unit.....LOL! 31 years is a good run for an ac system... Wow Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

25. mobal 1:37 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Quoting bigtrucker: 31 years is a good run for an ac system... Wow It was a lux or lex air........ Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 479 Comments: 5311

26. bigtrucker 1:38 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Luxaire is still around....I believe they were made from a company called Rheem. I just put a oil furnace in and I believe it was a Luxaire Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

27. charlesimages 1:39 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Quoting bigtrucker: Sounds good Charles... LOL I didn't eat yet. i have to make my way to the kitchen and see what I have. plays the ORIGINAL power rangers theme IT'S SUPPER TIME! Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 344 Comments: 29244

28. bigtrucker 1:40 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Enjoy Charles. i need to eat in a bit. Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

29. synthman19872003 1:44 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Hey Art! (hope this don't take days to show up LOL) I see more storms are in your area in northern NJ, man the Northeast has been stormy here lately! We could be seeing temps dropping into the upper 50Fs tomorrow night! Brrrr!!!! Time to get the coats out LOL! So far this month it's been a little on the cool side, only 80Fs and low 90Fs for highs. I'm not complaining though, this slightly cooler weather is nice! :) Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 4045

30. charlesimages 1:46 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
I will Art. Well I hope so LOL Hi Matt! Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 344 Comments: 29244

31. bigtrucker 1:49 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Hi Matt..yeah, those are pretty big storms but I think they will move off to my NW...Unless they start popping up like last night. I have not had to run my ac so im happy with this summer..$$$$$ in my pocket But on the other hand work has been slow for that very same reason....I guess I just cant win,,,LOL Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

33. synthman19872003 2:40 AM GMT on July 18, 2009
Quoting bigtrucker: Hi Matt..yeah, those are pretty big storms but I think they will move off to my NW...Unless they start popping up like last night. I have not had to run my ac so im happy with this summer..$$$$$ in my pocket But on the other hand work has been slow for that very same reason....I guess I just cant win,,,LOL Storms have popped up here too this evening, just some heavy rain showers with a few flashes of lightning. We just got the edge of one, I was outside in it :) The rain drops were cold too, it's usually warm rain this time of year, even at night the rain is usually fairly warm. Hope you get a nice balance of "saving on the power bill" and "doing AC work"! That must be a tricky situation. Hey Chuck and SSI! Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 4045

34. palmettobug53 12:09 AM GMT on July 19, 2009
Hey, BigT... I was truly saddened to hear the news last night about Uncle Walter. I wasn't too surprised, though, as there had been a few things floating around a couple of weeks or so ago, saying that he was in bad shape. There were denials, of course, but.... With his passing, it's the end of an era, IMHO. They just don't make 'em like that anymore. Everyone trusted Walter Cronkite. The anchors and reporters now? There's very few that even approach his caliber. Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 207 Comments: 21466

36. palmettobug53 5:20 PM GMT on July 26, 2009
Hope you're having a good Sunday. Nascar, huh? I've never really been able to get into that. My next door neighbors, hubby and wife, are both rabid fans. And you know Rays and Wobbie are! Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 207 Comments: 21466

37. bigtrucker 5:26 PM GMT on July 26, 2009
Hi Bug, Nascar has come a long way over the years. Never made it to a race yet, hopefully next season. Thanks, my Sunday is going good. Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

38. bigtrucker 5:27 PM GMT on July 26, 2009
Rays used to have the bomb Nascar blog, wish she would bring it back.;-) Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

39. charlesimages 6:09 PM GMT on July 26, 2009
I'm watching the race! Well the prerace anyway, can't wait until they wave the green flag Scattered showers in my area today, supposed to be a chance of storms later but I have doubts Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 344 Comments: 29244

40. mermaidlaw 6:51 PM GMT on July 26, 2009
{{{UNCLE ART}}} I am thinking of ya! Have a great Sunday my friend. Member Since: July 23, 2006 Posts: 19 Comments: 8692

42. AuntBrooke 7:47 PM GMT on July 27, 2009
Hi Art! Been a while since I have stopped in. I am not on WUground that much these days...been too busy. It's normally late at night that I am on (ask Chuck- LOL) and then I am going, going, going during the day. We're on break right now. Just finished the required summer term...now I am looking forward to the "real thing"- the fall term. Did ok, on my finals...got an A for one test and a B for another...am waiting on the grades for the last test. Anyways, how are you? I hope things are going well. Take care!!! =) Member Since: November 10, 2008 Posts: 47 Comments: 7304

43. bigtrucker 8:02 PM GMT on July 27, 2009
Hi Brooke, Glad all is well. I was beginning to worry as i have not heard from you. Congrats on the grades, keep up the good work. It WILL pay off. I'm ok, just trying to tread above water at this point in time. But each passing day is another step in the right direction. Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

44. bigtrucker 2:21 AM GMT on July 31, 2009
Public Information Statement Issued by NWS Upton, NY 000 NOUS41 KOKX 301136 CCA PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>081-311000- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 735 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2009 ...UNUSUALLY COOL JULY AND FIRST TWO MONTHS OF SUMMER FOR CENTRAL PARK... ...JUNE AND JULY 2009 ARE THE SECOND WETTEST JUNE AND JULY PERIOD ON RECORD AT CENTRAL PARK... FOR SOME PERSPECTIVE...HERE ARE THE TOP TEN COOLEST JULYS AND FIRST TWO MONTHS OF SUMMER (JUNE/JULY) ON RECORD SINCE 1869 FOR CENTRAL PARK IN NEW YORK CITY: COOLEST JULY COOLEST JUNE/JULY AVG. TEMP. YEAR AVG. TEMP. YEAR 70.7 1888 69.4 1881 71.9 1884 69.8 1903 72.1 1914 69.9 2009* 72.3 2009/2000/1871 70.3 1902 72.4 1891 70.6 1916 72.6 1895 70.7 1927 72.8 1902/1869 71.0 1915/1924/1926 72.9 1956 71.2 1888/1918 73.1 1890 71.5 1893/1920 73.2 2001 71.7 1928/1958 73.4 1996 71.8 2000 THROUGH JULY 29TH DUE TO THE UNUSUALLY COOL CONDITIONS THUS FAR IN JULY...HERE ARE SOME INTERESTING FACTS TO NOTE... WITH AN AVERAGE DAILY TEMPERATURE OF 72.3...CURRENTLY RUNNING 4.1 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...SO FAR THIS IS THE FOURTH COOLEST JULY ON RECORD AT CENTRAL PARK. THIS VALUE IS EXPECTED TO RISE AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH. DAILY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN AT OR BELOW NORMAL EVERY DAY BUT ONE THIS MONTH (THE 28TH)...FOR 46 OF 47 DAYS DATING BACK TO JUNE 13TH...AND FOR 54 OF THE 59 DAYS SINCE JUNE 1ST. CENTRAL PARK HAS ONLY REACHED ABOVE 85 DEGREES ONCE THIS SUMMER...ON THE 17TH OF JULY...AND HAS NOT YET REACHED 90 DEGREES THIS SUMMER. IF THIS CONTINUES THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH...IT WILL ONLY BE THE SECOND TIME SINCE 1869 THAT 90 DEGREES WAS NOT REACHED IN JUNE OR JULY. THE ONLY OTHER TIME THIS OCCURRED WAS 1996. FOR THE MONTHS OF JUNE AND JULY...THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE SO FAR IN 2009 IS 69.9 DEGREES...MAKING THIS THE THIRD COOLEST JUNE AND JULY ON RECORD AT CENTRAL PARK. WHILE THIS VALUE WILL INCREASE A LITTLE BIT...IT VERY LIKELY WILL END UP IN THE TOP TEN. OF NOTE IS THAT 7 OF THE 10 COOLEST JUNE AND JULY/S ON RECORD AT CENTRAL PARK WENT ON TO BEING ONE OF THE 10 COOLEST SUMMERS ON RECORD. AS FAR AS RAINFALL...HERE ARE THE TEN WETTEST JUNE/JULYS ON RECORD SINCE 1869 AT CENTRAL PARK: WETTEST JULY AMOUNT YEAR 19.35 1975 16.46 2009* 15.93 1928 14.71 2006 14.37 1922 14.28 1889 14.02 2003 13.92 1989 13.84 1972 13.70 1903 * THROUGH JULY 29 WITH 16.46 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE JUNE 1ST...THE JUNE/JULY OF 2009 IS ALREADY THE SECOND WETTEST ON RECORD INCLUDING THE SECOND WETTEST JUNE ON RECORD (10.06 INCHES - WETTEST WAS 2003 - 10.27 INCHES) AND 6.40 INCHES SO FAR THIS MONTH. WHILE THE RAINFALL THIS MONTH IS ABOVE NORMAL BY 2.08 INCHES SO FAR...IT IS NOT IN THE TOP TEN. 1.43 INCHES OF RAIN ARE NEEDED TO TIE JULY 1872 AS THE TENTH WETTEST JULY ON RECORD (WETTEST JULY - 11.89 INCHES IN 1889). ALSO OF NOTE...IS THAT ONLY 5.97 INCHES OF RAIN IS NEEDED BETWEEN NOW AND AUGUST 31ST TO MAKE THIS THE WETTEST SUMMER ON RECORD (WETTEST 1975 - 22.40 INCHES). $$ MALOIT Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

45. AuntBrooke 5:01 AM GMT on July 31, 2009
Hey Art!!!! Sorry, yes, I am not on WU that much...and then it's sporadic when I am. Mostly I'm on really late at night when no one but the owls and Chuck are awake. LOL.... Keep going!...everything will work out! =) have a good one. Member Since: November 10, 2008 Posts: 47 Comments: 7304

46. charlesimages 5:13 AM GMT on July 31, 2009
GREAT shots bro =) The beach and the sunset are my faves. =) We had rain tonight, we needed it, there was a tornado in IL though! Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 344 Comments: 29244

47. bigtrucker 8:11 PM GMT on July 31, 2009
Thanks Charles...Wow are we getting it now. One cell just entering my area with a tornado warning!!!! Lightning is intense and rain is torrential Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

48. bigtrucker 8:16 PM GMT on July 31, 2009
Severe Weather Statement SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 410 PM EDT FRI JUL 31 2009 CTC007-009-312016- /O.CAN.KOKX.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-090731T2030Z/ MIDDLESEX CT-NEW HAVEN CT- 410 PM EDT FRI JUL 31 2009 ...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHERN NEW HAVEN AND MIDDLESEX COUNTIES IS CANCELLED... ROTATION IN THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY AND A TORNADO IN NO LONGER EXPECTED. THIS LINE OF STORMS HOWEVER REMAINS DANGEROUS...AND IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND TORRENTIAL RAIN. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS LINE OF STORMS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM FRIDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

49. charlesimages 8:30 PM GMT on July 31, 2009
woooo!! tornado warning! Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 344 Comments: 29244

50. bigtrucker 8:46 PM GMT on July 31, 2009
Yes it passed and the warning had cancelled. The cell weakened, but what a storm it was. More action off to the west heading in our direction. But the last storm stablized the air somewhat so they shouldnt be as strong Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 79 Comments: 6111

51. charlesimages 8:49 PM GMT on July 31, 2009
Still man that's way cooler than what I have had LOL Glad you had a severe storm anyway =) I know how exciting those are!! Was there anything photo worthy? Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 344 Comments: 29244

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