caneswatch's Blog

Posted by: caneswatch, 1:35 AM GMT on August 22, 2011

Since my last entry, we have finally seen 97L become Tropical Storm Irene. Irene was first updated at 50 mph, and has stayed that way. However, according to the most recent DVORAK update, it has measured Irene to be a Category 1 hurricane. Irene right now is trying to get her circulation all wrapped up. As of right now, some models are taking Irene into the Carolinas as a hurricane, and the rest are going into Florida. I'm not wishcasting, but I do agree with the ladder. The trough that's over the northeastern US is going to be lifting out, and then the A/B High will force the storm towards Florida. But the strength of Irene will be a huge question whether it takes one track or another. If Irene goes over Hispaniola, I would agree with the NHC's forecast of a strong Category 1 making landfall. If Irene doesn't go over Hispaniola, and it's looking more and more likely that it won't, Irene could and probably will jump to a major, either a Category 3 or a Category 4. Once again, i'm not wishcasting. I'm just only showing a couple variables that could happen. Right now, i'm advising all Floridians to get your hurricane supplies ready, and be ready to take out your shutters. One way or another, Irene looks to target Florida.

I will have a short update tomorrow.

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93L trying to form, Another wave to watch that could impact the US by next week

Posted by: caneswatch, 12:44 AM GMT on August 18, 2011

93L has been bumped up to a 60% chance by the NHC. By the looks of things, 93L could get to TD or TS very soon. If it does get named, which looks like it's going to, it would get called Harvey. Since 93L is going to remain weak no matter if it gets to TS status, it's going to run into Central America and cause some flooding rains, and possibly mudslides as well. 93L's running out of room very quickly with its fast forward motion, so the time it has to gain some stre...

Updated: 12:51 AM GMT on August 18, 2011

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92L reactivated and newly formed 93L

Posted by: caneswatch, 2:28 AM GMT on August 11, 2011

First, i'll focus on the reactivated 92L. 92L is going head-first into dry air at the moment, but it didn't stop the NHC from bumping it up to 30%. Currently southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, it's heading in the general direction of the Leeward Islands. I do expect this one to turn away from the islands, but as for where it will end up, it's a bit too early to tell. Forecast models have moved this south and west, but I expect this to ride up the east coast.img sr...

Updated: 2:33 AM GMT on August 11, 2011

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Emily once again a TD, and another CV wave to watch.

Posted by: caneswatch, 1:08 AM GMT on August 07, 2011

Emily has reformed into a Tropical Depression once again. Currently she's over the Bahamas and to the east of Florida. I'm not going to dare guess where's she's going, so all i'm gonna say is that South Florida and the Bahamas are gonna get some rain from her.And another thing to watch is a wave out in the eastern Atlantic that's just exited Africa. Models have been developing this storm the past couple of days. The NHC/TAFB forecast is showing a large and powerful ...

Updated: 1:10 AM GMT on August 07, 2011

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Don making final approach on southern Texas, 91L may be a threat down the road

Posted by: caneswatch, 6:18 PM GMT on July 29, 2011

Tropical Storm Don is currently making his final approach on southern Texas this afternoon. Winds are currently 50 mph, and he's moving WNW at 15 mph. Don is expected to make landfall inbetween Corpus Christi and Brownsville later on this evening.91L will probably be a huge threat down the road. Right now, the NHC is giving 91L a 30% chance of developing by Sunday afternoon, but right now I'd give it a 40-50% chance. 91L is expected to arrive in the Lesser Antilles ...

Updated: 6:19 PM GMT on July 29, 2011

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