The season starts tomorrow, and so far, everyone's calling for an active season (from 12-19 storms).
The us has been lucky - there've been no major hits in the past 3 years (IIRC).
That may change. There've been three invests so far, but no African waves till last week.
"...The Atlantic hurricane season officially begin on Wednesday, June 1, and recent computer model runs predict that we may have some early-season action in the Central Caribbean Sea to coincide with the start of this year's season.
The GFS, NOGAPS, and ECMWF models have all indicated in some of their recent runs that a tropical disturbance may form between Jamaica and Central America sometime in the May 31 - June 2 time frame, as a lobe of the Eastern Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) pushes across Central America into the Caribbean..."
So time to prepare, if you haven't already. Make a plan, check the supplies, watch the weather. We may have 2 weeks warning, we may see one form overnight.
Get ready, 'cause here it comes...
