Since there's only 18 days until the start of the season, it's time to put the CAGW silliness on hold, and start to get serious.
ABNT20 KNHC 131355
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
955 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW ABOUT 460 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN AZORES ISLANDS HAS DIMINISHED SINCE YESTERDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT HAS DECREASED...AND THE SYSTEM NOW HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ADDITIONAL SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY OR MONDAY...IF NECESSARY.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
The latest update (00 GMT 05/14/12) puts 92L at 34.0W/33.9W, running at 40kt, with pressure of 1007.
The models are scattered, with the majority of them drifting towards Europe.
No threats yet.