hurricanemaniac123's WunderBlog
92L = TD 1? ; My outlook for the hurricane season
Posted by: hurricanemaniac123, 8:56 PM GMT on June 13, 2010 +0
As most know, 92L is continuing to impress many. As being one of the earliest storms in its area (east Atlantic), it most likely will be TD 1 within the next 24 hours. It has little shear or dry air to worry about for a few days, and is continuing to become stronger and more organized. 92L meet almost all of the criteria of being a Tropical depression. It also has a good chance of becoming tropical storm Alex. I currently give 92L a 40% chance of being a TD by 11pm, and 80% chance of being a TD by 11am tommorow.

Now, my prediction for the hurricane season is as follows:

Tropical Storms: 14-18
Hurricanes: 9-12
Major Hurricanes: 4-6
Category 5: 0-2
Storms Affecting US: 1-3
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Tropical Storm Grace nears Ireland; 91L organizing
Posted by: hurricanemaniac123, 1:13 AM GMT on October 06, 2009 +0
We now have Tropical Storm Grace which formed on October 1st but was not designated until yesterday night. TS Grace is expected to become absorbed by a frontal system tommorow and hit Ireland.Next we have is 91L which currently has a medium (30-50%) chance of becoming a TD by Wednesday. I give it a 60-80% chance of becoming a TD by Thursday. It has some good convection and is trying to develop a surface circulation. I think this most likely could become TD 10 before...
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Hurricane Bill Becomes Extratropical; 92L forms and Could Become Danny
Posted by: hurricanemaniac123, 2:01 PM GMT on August 24, 2009 +0
As of the 5am advisory, Hurricane Bill became extratropical, and unfourtanetly took two people's lives during the weekend. Bill made landfall late last night at Newfoundland.As of this morning, we now have a new invest called "92L". It currently has a low chance (>30%) of becoming a TD by Wednesday, but it could change at any time.
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Hurricane Bill Still Very Strong; African Wave Should Be Watched
Posted by: hurricanemaniac123, 4:20 PM GMT on August 20, 2009 +0
Category 3 Hurricane Bill is very strong and is headed for Bermuda and the North East Coast and Nova Scotia. Everyone should watch this system carefully as it could become a Category 4 again.The New African Wave near Cape Verde should be watched because it has a surface low and some good vorcity. However, it doesn't have much convection associated with it but it could become a TD at anytime.
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Tropical Depression Two weakening; 90L forms; Could we have Ana by Saturday?
Posted by: hurricanemaniac123, 12:53 PM GMT on May 16, 2009 +0
TD 2 was going to become the first TS of the season, but it has encountered shear and dry air which could stop development. However, there is a chance it could regenerate once it gets away from the shear and dry air and still become a TS.We now have 90L from a huge wave off the coast of Africa. It has the chance of becoming TD 3 over the next few days and also could become TS Ana.My prediction:Named Storms: 12-15Hurricanes: 6-7Major Hurricanes: 2-4Cat. 5 Hurricanes:...
Updated: 1:44 PM GMT on August 13, 2009   Permalink | A A A
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I'm 13 years old and I love weather! I've loved weather since I was 3 and I asked my dad for the weather section of the newspaper!

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