As most know, 92L is continuing to impress many. As being one of the earliest storms in its area (east Atlantic), it most likely will be TD 1 within the next 24 hours. It has little shear or dry air to worry about for a few days, and is continuing to become stronger and more organized. 92L meet almost all of the criteria of being a Tropical depression. It also has a good chance of becoming tropical storm Alex. I currently give 92L a 40% chance of being a TD by 11pm, and 80% chance of being a TD by 11am tommorow.
Now, my prediction for the hurricane season is as follows:
Tropical Storms: 14-18
Major Hurricanes: 4-6
Category 5: 0-2
Storms Affecting US: 1-3