Hey everyone,
This particular blog entry will continue our examination of the entire historical record (1851-present), with a focus on "October" Tropical Cyclone (TC) activity throughout the Atlantic Basin. An "October" TC will be characterized as one that initially developed at some point during the month of October (i.e. October 1- October 31). Those TC's (shown by year) that achieved hurricane (H) and/or "major" hurricane (MH) intensity will be designated by bold case print in the following respective sections.
ALL TROPICAL STORMS:
Note: These totals include Subtropical Storms (STS), as well.
7 = 2005 (2 H/2 MH/1 STS).
6 = 1870 (5 H/1 MH), 1887 (3 H), and 1950 (2 H/2 MH).
5 = 1969 (1 STS, H Nov./2 H), 2001 (1 H/1 MH/1 MH Nov.), and 2010.
4 = 1878 (3 H/1 MH), 1899 (1 H), 1923 (1 H), 1953 (1 H), 1990 (3 H), 1995 (1 H/1 MH), and 2000 (1 STS/1 H).
3 = 1859 (1 H/1 MH), 1867 (1 H/1 MH), 1868 (2 H), 1879 (1 H), 1880 (2 H), 1886 (1 MH), 1891 (1 H), 1892 (2 H), 1894 (1 H/2 MH), 1895 (1 H), 1898, 1900, 1901 (1 H Nov.), 1903 (1 H), 1904 (1 H), 1906 (1 MH), 1916 (1 H/1 MH), 1932 (1 MH Nov.), 1933 (1 H/1 MH), 1934 (1 H), 1938, 1942, 1943 (1 H), 1947 (1 H/1 MH), 1967 (2 H), 1978 (1 H), 1991 (1 STS, H Nov./1 H), 1996 (1 MH), 1999 (2 H), and 2008 (1 MH).
2 = 1861, 1862 (1 H), 1869 (1 H), 1875, 1877, 1896, 1897 (1 H), 1905 (1 MH), 1908 (1 H), 1912, 1913, 1921 (1 MH), 1922 (1 H), 1924 (1 MH), 1926 (1 MH), 1927, 1929 (1 H), 1935 (1 H, 1 H Nov.), 1939 (1 H/1 MH), 1940, 1941 (1 MH), 1944 (1 MH), 1945, 1946 (1 MH), 1949 (1 H), 1951, 1952 (1 H/1 MH), 1955 (1 MH), 1959 (1 H), 1961 (1 MH), 1963 (1 H), 1970, 1973 (1 H), 1977 (1 H), 1985 (1 H), 1997, 1998 (1 H/1 MH), 2003, 2004 (1 STS), and 2009.
1 = 1851, 1852, 1853, 1854, 1858, 1860, 1864, 1865, 1866, 1871, 1872, 1874 (H Nov.), 1876 (MH), 1882 (MH), 1883, 1884, 1885, 1888, 1889, 1890, 1893, 1902, 1907, 1909 (MH), 1910 (MH), 1911, 1928, 1930, 1931, 1936, 1948 (MH), 1954 (MH), 1957, 1958, 1962 (MH), 1964 (MH), 1965, 1968, 1971, 1974 (STS), 1975, 1976, 1979 (STS), 1980, 1981, 1984, 1987, 1988 (MH), 1989, 1992, and 2007 (H Nov.).
0 = 1855, 1856, 1857, 1863, 1873, 1881, 1914, 1915, 1917, 1918, 1919, 1920, 1925, 1937, 1956, 1960, 1966, 1972, 1982, 1983, 1986, 1993, 1994, 2002, and 2006.
In addition: Storm #8 of 1956 (MH Greta) was an October TC that didn't achieve TS intensity until the succeeding month of November.
Also, Storm #8 of 1859 (H), storm #11 of 1870 (H), storm #7 of 1874 (H), storm #4 of 1890 (TS), storm #6 of 1896 (H), storm #11 of 1898 (TS), storm #12 of 1901 (H), storm #5 of 1904 (TS), storm #7 of 1927 (TS), storm #10 of 1932 (MH), storm #19 of 1933 (TS), storm #6 of 1935 (H), storm #5 of 1939 (H), storm #6 of 1946 (TS), storm #9 of 1961 (TS Hattie), storm #8 of 1967 (H Heidi), storm #17 of 1969 (H), storm #12 of 1978 (TS Kendra), storm #10 of 1981 (TS Jose), storm #10 of 1985 (TS Juan), storm #8 of 1991 (H), storm #19 of 1995 (H Tanya), storm #13 of 1998 (TS Mitch), storm #13 of 2001 (MH Michelle), storm #14 of 2007 (H Noel), and storm #19 of 2010 (H Tomas) were each an "October" TC of at least STS or TS intensity that at least retained that intensity into the succeeding month of November. Each storms respective "November" maximum intensity is listed in parenthesis.
ALL U.S. TROPICAL STORM LANDFALLS:
Note: These totals include all U.S. land falling TCs of at least Subtropical or Tropical Storm intensity.
3 = 1879, 1893 (2 MH), and 1923 (1 H).
2 = 1859 (1 H), 1870, 1877 (1 MH), 1878 (1 H), 1880 (1 H), 1885, 1887 (1 H), 1895, 1897, 1898 (1 MH), 1899 (1 H), 1916 (1 H), 1938, 1941 (1 H), 1947 (1 H), 1950 (1 MH), 1953, 1959, 1964 (1 H/1 MH), 1985 (1 H), 2002 (1 H), and 2005 (1 MH).
1 = 1851, 1852, 1853, 1860, 1861, 1865, 1866, 1867, 1868, 1869, 1871, 1872, 1873 (MH), 1876, 1882, 1886 (MH), 1888, 1889, 1891, 1892, 1894 (MH), 1896, 1900, 1902, 1904, 1905, 1906 (MH), 1909 (MH), 1910, 1912, 1913, 1921 (MH), 1924, 1926, 1927, 1932, 1933, 1934, 1937, 1942, 1944 (MH), 1946, 1948, 1949, 1951, 1954 (MH), 1963, 1966, 1968, 1969, 1987, 1989, 1990, 1995 (MH), 1996, 1999, and 2004.
0 = 1854, 1855, 1856, 1857, 1858, 1862, 1863, 1864, 1874, 1875, 1881, 1883, 1884, 1890, 1901, 1903, 1907, 1908, 1911, 1914, 1915, 1917, 1918, 1919, 1920, 1922, 1925, 1928, 1929, 1930, 1931, 1935, 1936, 1939, 1940, 1943, 1945, 1952, 1955, 1956, 1957, 1958, 1960, 1961, 1962, 1965, 1967, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1974, 1975, 1976, 1977, 1978, 1979, 1980, 1981, 1982, 1983, 1984, 1986, 1988, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1997, 2000, 2001, 2003, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, and 2010.
In addition: Storm #18 of 1933 very likely brought TS force conditions to the Fl. Keys/extreme S. Fl. as it brushed these areas as a powerful MH.
Also, Storm #8 of 1963 (H Ginny) brought TS-force conditions to the U.S. coastline.
Note: Storm #2 of 1929 (H) made landfall on September 30 at 11 pm CST, which equates to 0400 UTC on October 1. As a result, it is listed as a "September" landfall for the U.S. and not accounted for in the "October" totals.
ALL U.S. HURRICANE LANDFALLS:
2 = 1870, 1893 (2 MH), and 1964 (1 MH).
1 = 1852, 1853, 1859, 1860, 1865, 1867, 1869, 1873 (MH), 1876, 1877 (MH), 1878, 1880, 1882, 1886 (MH), 1887, 1888, 1894 (MH), 1898 (MH), 1899, 1904, 1906 (MH), 1909 (MH), 1910, 1912, 1913, 1916, 1921 (MH), 1923, 1924, 1926, 1941, 1944 (MH), 1946, 1947, 1948, 1949, 1950 (MH), 1954 (MH), 1966, 1968, 1985, 1987, 1989, 1995 (MH), 1999, 2002, and 2005 (MH).
ALL U.S. MAJOR HURRICANE LANDFALLS:
2 = 1893.
1 = 1873, 1877, 1886, 1894, 1898, 1906, 1909, 1921, 1944, 1950, 1954, 1964, 1995, and 2005.
INTERESTING FACTS:
1) All Atlantic Basin Tropical Storms:
a) There were a total of 294 "October" TS or STS systems that developed in the Atlantic Basin during the 160 year period of 1851-2010. These figures include 5 "September" Tropical cyclones that achieved TS intensity (for the first time) during the month of October-two of which went on to achieve H intensity during the month of October. In all, this equates to one October TS or STS every 0.55 years, on average.
Also, there were 63 "September" TC's-of either TS or H intensity-that at least retained TS intensity into the month of October, as well.
Furthermore, 8 of the aforementioned 288 "October" STS or TS systems went on to achieve hurricane intensity in the succeeding month of November. Of those eight, 2 became "major" hurricanes shortly thereafter.
There was also 1 additional "October" TC (Storm #8 of 1956) that didn't achieve TS intensity until the succeeding month of November. It would go on to achieve MH intensity during the month of November.
b) There were a total of 149 TCs that achieved hurricane intensity during the month of October. These figures include two "September" TC's that reached H intensity during the month of October-as listed above.
In addition, there were 13 "September" Tropical Storms that achieved H intensity (for the first time) during the month of October. As a result, there were a total of 162 hurricanes that have traversed some portion of the Atlantic Basin-in October-during the past 160 year period. This equates to one October H every 0.99 years, on average.
c) There were a total of 40 October TC's that achieved "major" hurricane (MH) intensity during the month of October.
Moreover, 12 of the "September" Tropical storms (those that had already achieved TS intensity during that particular month) went on to become "major" hurricanes in October. Added together, it brings us to a total of 52 major hurricanes that have traversed some portion of the Atlantic Basin-in October-during the past 160 years. This equates to one October MH every 3.08 years, on average.
d) Hurricane Wilma holds the record as the most intense October hurricane for anywhere in the Atlantic Basin. It was a category five hurricane with a maximum sustained wind (MSW) of 185 mph and a lowest barometric pressure (B.P.) of 882 mb on October 19, 2005 at 8 am EST. As a result of the 882 mb minimum central pressure, H Wilma became the most intense Hurricane ever observed anywhere within the entire Atlantic Basin.
e) H Tomas of October 2010 is the most recent "October" TC (of at least TS intensity) to develop anywhere within the Atlantic basin. It became a TS-with a MSW of 40 mph-very late on October 29, 2010. Less than 48 hours thereafter, H Tomas passed very near St. Lucia, in the Leeward Islands, as a 95-100 mph borderline category 1/2 H.
f) H Tomas is also the most recent TC of hurricane intensity to develop in the Atlantic basin, as well. It achieved a peak intensity of 100 mph/982 mb at 2 am EST on October 31, 2010. At the time, it had just moved through the Winward Islands, and was still battering those areas with TS force winds and very heavy rains.
g) There have only been five periods of consecutive years without a TC developing anywhere in the Atlantic Basin, during the month of October. They were 1855-1858, 1914-1916, 1917-1921, 1982-1984, and 1993-1995. In addition, only 25 of the 160 hurricane seasons (15.6%) in the historical record, didn't have a TS form during the entire month of October.
h) The 2005 Atlantic Basin hurricane season is shown to have been the most prolific for "October" TC formations-with 7.
i) The 1870 Atlantic basin hurricane seasons holds the record for spawning the most TC's of hurricane intensity-with 6.
j) The 1894, 1950, and 2005 seasons each spawned 2 MHs during their respective seasons.
2) All U.S. Tropical Storm Landfalls:
a) There were a total of 110 October TS or STS systems that made a U.S. landfall (or strike) during the aforementioned 160 year period. This equates to one October TS landfall every 1.47 years. Moreover, a full 37.3% of all "October" Atlantic Basin storms made landfall in the U.S.
b) There were 53 hurricanes that made a direct strike on the U.S. coastline during the month of October. This equates to one land falling October hurricane every 3.08 years. Furthermore, 32.3% of all "October" Atlantic Basin hurricanes struck the U.S. coastline.
c) There were 16 "major" hurricanes that made landfall in the U.S. during the month of October. 3 of these made landfall at category four intensity or greater. They are the category four 1893 "Chenier Caminanda" hurricane, category four 1898 "Georgia" hurricane, and hurricane "Hazel" of 1954.
These statistics equate to a "major" U.S. land falling hurricane-in October-once every 10 years, on average. It also equates to a category four U.S. land falling hurricane-in October-once every 53.3 years.
d) The 1898 "Georgia" Hurricane and H "Hazel" of 1954 are currently tied for the most intense TC to make a U.S. landfall during the month of October. The 1898 roared ashore as a 135 mph/938 mb category four hurricane at Cumberland Island, Ga., around 12 pm EST on October 2, 1898. Hurricane "Hazel" barreled ashore as 135 mph/938 mb category four hurricane at Calabash, N.C. (near the SC/NC border) around 1030 am EST on October 15, 1954.
e) Hurricane Wilma is the most recent hurricane to have made landfall on the U.S. shoreline during the month of October. It came ashore near Cape Romano , Fl. at 630 am EST on October 24, 2005. At landfall, it was a very large category three hurricane with a MSW of 120 mph and a BP of 950 mb.
f) Hurricane Wilma of October 2005 was also the most recent TC of either TS or H intensity to make a U.S. landfall-during the month of October.
g) The three longest periods of consecutive years without a land falling U.S. TS (in October) are 1854-1859, 1970-1985, and 2006-2011 (to date).
h) The 1879, 1893, and 1923 had the most land falling Tropical storms-for the month of October-with 3.
i) The 1870, 1893, and 1964 Atlantic Basin hurricane seasons lead the way for U.S. hurricane landfalls-during the month of October-with 2 each.
j) The 1893 season saw 2 U.S. land falling hurricanes that came ashore at MH intensity.
FUTURE BLOG ENTRIES:
I am currently conducting research on all TC activity in the Atlantic Basin for the month of November. It is a very exhaustive and tedious process. As a result, I have no idea when I might actually complete this research endeavor. As I mentioned previously, I fully intend to post additional blog entries (similar to this one) for the other respective months of a calendar year. Thus, my next blog entry will likely be on "November" TC activity for the period of 1851-2010.
As always, thank you so much for taking the time to read and/or post in my blogs. I hope each one of you have a great rest of the day!:)
Most sincerely,
Tony
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Updated: 9:47 PM GMT on September 01, 2011
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