Well snow lovers, you can now breathe a sigh of relief... that is if you saw some flakes last night. A batch of light snow flurries moved through the area late last night, and dropped some light snow in most of the metro. This was all from an upper level disturbance that came from the midwest. I saw some myself, it was very light but consistent. It never accumulated as the precipitation was too light and temperatures were above freezing at the time anyway, but it was neat to watch it fall. The airport also reported a trace of snow. Now that we've got our first snow out of the way, the question bears: When is our next chance for winter weather? Hate to say it but it doesn't look like we will see any for at least another week, if not, more than a week.
After a short lived but frigid cold snap, with wind chills in the teens and 20s, temperatures are on the increasing trend as we head into the weekend and early next week. Tonight will be the last night we will see sub-freezing low temperatures for at least another week. After temperatures bottom out around 30 Friday morning, expect a nice warmup with highs topping out at 60°. It will also remain that way throughout the weekend, and it looks pretty decent as we stay dry. That will all change though Monday, as another disturbance passes to our south bringing us a chance at a few showers, with highs in the upper 40s, lows in the mid 30s. Tuesday the same story except it will be just a little warmer with highs in the mid 50s, with a break late that evening. Wednesday looks to be a washout as an area of low pressure originating in the Tennessee Valley, scoots on by to the northwest, otherwise known as an Appalachian Runner. We will see periods of rain, potentially heavy at times. As it begins to move north cold air begins to wrap around, and this is when it gets tricky. For now it appears to be all rain, but if the track shifts SE, then we will have a better chance at seeing some wintry precipitation. At this point the track is somewhat uncertain, but we will have a much clearer picture later on this week and this weekend. Regardless, it does look like we could see quite a bit of rain out of that, perhaps over an inch in some spots looking at some of the latest computer guidance. It could change though but it bears watching. Thursday it will dry out, with highs in the upper 50s. However, Friday, as a strong arctic cold front moves through the area, it will usher in some more frigid air similar to what we experienced earlier this week. Once it moves on by, we could potentially see some of the white stuff, but it's over a week out so it can and it will change between now and then. Keep your fingers crossed! Looking into long-range, we should begin to transition into a colder and perhaps snowier pattern over the next 2 weeks, as the AO drops to negative levels, as well as NAO trending to negative, and a neutral PNA. Certainly will be interesting to watch as we head into the latter part of January into February.
Have a great rest of the week!
TF
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Updated: 10:53 PM GMT on January 05, 2012
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