Mesa Verde National Park, CO

2:35 AM MDT on May 21, 2013 (GMT -0600)
Elev: 5833 ft
Lon: 108.7° W
Lat: 37.3° N
Source
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Weather Summary
Kari Kiefer
Weather Underground Forecast for Tuesday, May 21, 2013.

After a devastating severe weather day in the Plains on Monday, severe weather is expected to fire up again across the nation's mid-section again on Tuesday.

The nearly stationary low over the Northern Plains will gradually weaken as it shifts eastward into the Midwest on Tuesday, while the system's associated cold front trails southwestward from the low across the Mid-Mississippi Valley through the Southern Plains. Favorable energy and conditions ahead of the cold front combined with the moisture laden conditions of the nation's mid-section will set the stage for multiple clusters of thunderstorms to develop from the Midwest into the Ozarks and the Southern Plains. Portions of northeastern Texas, extreme southeastern Oklahoma, central and southern Arkansas, and northwestern Louisiana are at moderate risk of severe thunderstorm activity as environmental conditions remain favorable for tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and very large hail. Areas surrounding this moderate risk region from the parts of central and eastern Texas into the Upper Great Lakes are at slight risk of severe thunderstorm development with hail, damaging wind gusts, and isolated tornadoes.

Meanwhile, areas of heavy rain and widely scattered showers will continue near the low in the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley and near and to the north of a nearly stationary frontal boundary extending out ahead of the system from the Great Lakes into the Northeast. Continued precipitation in already saturated areas of the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest will maintain flood concerns from parts of North Dakota into northern Wisconsin.

Elsewhere, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to persist in the Mid-Atlantic and southeastern corner of the nation.
Weather Underground Forecast for Tuesday, May 21, 2013.

After a devastating severe weather day in the Plains on Monday, severe weather is expected to fire up again across the nation's mid-section again on Tuesday.

The nearly stationary low over the Northern Plains will gradually weaken as it shifts eastward into the Midwest on Tuesday, while the system's associated cold front trails southwestward from the low across the Mid-Mississippi Valley through the Southern Plains. Favorable energy and conditions ahead of the cold front combined with the moisture laden conditions of the nation's mid-section will set the stage for multiple clusters of thunderstorms to develop from the Midwest into the Ozarks and the Southern Plains. Portions of northeastern Texas, extreme southeastern Oklahoma, central and southern Arkansas, and northwestern Louisiana are at moderate risk of severe thunderstorm activity as environmental conditions remain favorable for tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and very large hail. Areas surrounding this moderate risk region from the parts of central and eastern Texas into the Upper Great Lakes are at slight risk of severe thunderstorm development with hail, damaging wind gusts, and isolated tornadoes.

Meanwhile, areas of heavy rain and widely scattered showers will continue near the low in the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley and near and to the north of a nearly stationary frontal boundary extending out ahead of the system from the Great Lakes into the Northeast. Continued precipitation in already saturated areas of the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest will maintain flood concerns from parts of North Dakota into northern Wisconsin.

Elsewhere, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to persist in the Mid-Atlantic and southeastern corner of the nation.
More News Articles

Mesa Verde National Park Weather at a Glance

Updated 12:53 AM MDT
Weather Station
Cortez (KCEZ)
Elevation
5919 ft
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Now
Clear
Clear
Temperature
42 °F
Feels Like 37 °F
Wind(mph)
9
Sunrise / Set
6:01 AM
8:22 PM
Moon
Waxing Gibbous
Tonight
Partly Cloudy 32 °F
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday
Clear 73 °F
Clear
Tuesday Night
Clear 39 °F
Clear
Wednesday
Partly Cloudy 82 | 43 °F
Partly Cloudy
Thursday
Clear 84 | 43 °F
Clear
Friday
Partly Cloudy 81 | 41 °F
Partly Cloudy
Today is forecast to be Warmer than yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
29.95 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Clear -
Moisture
Humidity
65%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KCEZ 210653Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 06/M01 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP142 T00561006 401890050
Don't speak METAR? Read our FAQ.
Weather Radio
Weather Radio Index
Temperature
Windchill
37 °F
Dew Point
31 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
9 mph from East
Wind Gust
Health
UV
0 out of 16
Pollen
6.30 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
No Activity
View Flu Map
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Source: BestForecast
Descriptive Forecast
Tuesday
clear Clear. High of 73F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the West in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 39F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the East after midnight.
Wednesday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the morning, then clear. High of 82F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Thursday
clear Clear. High of 84F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the South in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 20 mph.
Friday
partlycloudy Clear. High of 81F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 10 to 20 mph.
Friday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Low of 41F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 20 mph.
Saturday
partlycloudy Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 82F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 10 to 20 mph.
Saturday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Low of 41F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 20 mph.
Sunday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. High of 82F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 10 to 20 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Low of 54F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 20 mph.
Monday
clear Clear. High of 77F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Low of 43F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 20 mph shifting to the South after midnight.
Tuesday
partlycloudy Clear. High of 77F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph.
Tuesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Wednesday
partlycloudy Clear. High of 72F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Thursday
clear Clear. High of 75F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Thursday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Friday
clear Clear. High of 79F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
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Weather Forecast for Mesa Verde National Park CO

View Calendar 10-Day Forecast for station KCEZ

Tuesday, 21
Clear
73 | 39 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Wednesday, 22
Partly Cloudy
82 | 43 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Thursday, 23
Clear
84 | 43 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Friday, 24
Partly Cloudy
81 | 41 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Saturday, 25
Partly Cloudy
82 | 41 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Sunday, 26
Partly Cloudy
82 | 54 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Monday, 27
Clear
77 | 43 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Tuesday, 28
Partly Cloudy
77 | 43 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Wednesday, 29
Partly Cloudy
72 | 41 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Thursday, 30
Clear
75 | 41 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Source: BestForecast at 1:41 AM MDT on May 21, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Tuesday
clear Clear. High of 73F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the West in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 39F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the East after midnight.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 32 | 28 68 | 27 70 | 21 54 | 25
Wind 5 mph ENE 7 mph West 10 mph West 6 mph East
Humidity 85% 20% 15% 32%
Chance of Precip. 10% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 11% 7% 20% 21%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:01 AM
8:22 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is excellent. MaxT RMSE [1.46], Average RMSE [2.46]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is excellent. MaxT RMSE [1.44], Average RMSE [2.17] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 1:41 AM MDT on May 21, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Wednesday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the morning, then clear. High of 82F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 39 | 27 73 | 21 79 | 10 54 | 18
Wind 8 mph East 11 mph South 10 mph SW 6 mph South
Humidity 59% 13% 7% 24%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 43% 0% 13% 10%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:00 AM
8:22 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is good. MaxT RMSE [1.69], Average RMSE [2.11]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is excellent. MaxT RMSE [1.38], Average RMSE [2.34] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 1:41 AM MDT on May 21, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Thursday
clear Clear. High of 84F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the South in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 20 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 43 | 23 79 | 16 81 | 9 55 | 21
Wind 7 mph ESE 14 mph South 17 mph SSW 7 mph SW
Humidity 42% 9% 5% 25%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 10% 4% 0% 0%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:00 AM
8:23 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is excellent. MaxT RMSE [1.34], Average RMSE [2.27]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is good. MaxT RMSE [1.82], Average RMSE [2.21] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 1:41 AM MDT on May 21, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Friday
partlycloudy Clear. High of 81F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 10 to 20 mph.
Friday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Low of 41F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 20 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 43 | 23 75 | 21 77 | 10 52 | 9
Wind 6 mph SE 18 mph South 18 mph SW 7 mph SW
Humidity 42% 13% 8% 17%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 5% 9% 67% 50%
Conditions Clear Clear Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
5:59 AM
8:24 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is good. MaxT RMSE [1.81], Average RMSE [2.48]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is good. MaxT RMSE [2.40], Average RMSE [2.16] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 1:41 AM MDT on May 21, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Saturday
partlycloudy Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 82F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 10 to 20 mph.
Saturday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Low of 41F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 20 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 41 | 9 77 | 18 79 | 14 57 | 12
Wind 7 mph SE 16 mph South 18 mph SW 6 mph WSW
Humidity 25% 10% 8% 16%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 4% 62% 28% 66%
Conditions Clear Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
5:58 AM
8:25 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is good. MaxT RMSE [1.75], Average RMSE [2.33]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.68], Average RMSE [2.84] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 1:41 AM MDT on May 21, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Sunday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. High of 82F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 10 to 20 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Low of 54F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 20 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 45 | 10 79 | 14 79 | 5 54 | 7
Wind 6 mph SE 17 mph SSW 18 mph SW 9 mph SW
Humidity 22% 8% 5% 14%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 98% 57% 75% 89%
Conditions Overcast Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Overcast
Sunrise & Sunset
5:58 AM
8:26 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.67], Average RMSE [2.96]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is poor. MaxT RMSE [3.73], Average RMSE [4.21] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 1:41 AM MDT on May 21, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Monday
clear Clear. High of 77F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Low of 43F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 20 mph shifting to the South after midnight.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 55 | 9 77 | 16 73 | 14 54 | 19
Wind 5 mph South 14 mph SSW 15 mph WSW 2 mph South
Humidity 15% 9% 9% 25%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 0% 12% 22% 87%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Mostly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
5:57 AM
8:26 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is poor. MaxT RMSE [4.29], Average RMSE [3.09]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is poor. MaxT RMSE [4.74], Average RMSE [4.29] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 1:41 AM MDT on May 21, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Tuesday
partlycloudy Clear. High of 77F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph.
Tuesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 43 | 14 70 | 14 75 | 14 54 | 14
Wind 4 mph SSE 11 mph SSW 13 mph WSW 7 mph SW
Humidity 29% 11% 9% 20%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 82% 5% 0% 8%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
5:57 AM
8:27 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is poor. MaxT RMSE [3.60], Average RMSE [4.99]
Source: BestForecast at 1:41 AM MDT on May 21, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Wednesday
partlycloudy Clear. High of 72F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 45 | 14 68 | 16 68 | 16 52 | 21
Wind 4 mph SSW 11 mph SW 13 mph WSW 6 mph WSW
Humidity 30% 12% 13% 29%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 17% 32% 3% 7%
Conditions Clear Partly Cloudy Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
5:56 AM
8:28 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is poor. MaxT RMSE [3.89], Average RMSE [3.08]
Source: BestForecast at 1:41 AM MDT on May 21, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Thursday
clear Clear. High of 75F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Thursday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 41 | 25 70 | 25 72 | 25 50 | 27
Wind 2 mph SW 9 mph WSW 12 mph West 4 mph WSW
Humidity 51% 18% 17% 38%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 20% 11% 1% 1%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
5:56 AM
8:28 PM
Source: BestForecast at 1:41 AM MDT on May 21, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Friday
clear Clear. High of 79F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 41 | 27 72 | 25 75 | 23 55 | 25
Wind 1 mph SSW 9 mph WSW 11 mph West 4 mph WSW
Humidity 56% 16% 13% 29%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 0% 0% 0% %
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
Sun does not rise
Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
History & Almanac
May 21, 2013 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal 76 °F 38 °F
Record 89 °F (2012) 30 °F (1999)
Yesterday 66 °F 43 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 10
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Astronomy
May. 21, 2013 Rise Set
Actual Time 6:01 AM MDT 8:22 PM MDT
Civil Twilight 5:31 AM MDT 8:51 PM MDT
Nautical Twilight 4:55 AM MDT 9:28 PM MDT
Astronomical Twilight 4:15 AM MDT 10:08 PM MDT
Moon 4:43 PM MDT 3:26 AM MDT
Length Of Visible Light 15h 20m
Length of Day
14h 20m
Tomorrow will be 1m 27s longer.
Waxing Gibbous, 81% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waxing Gibbous
May 24
Full
May 31
Last Quarter
Jun 8
New
Jun 16
First Quarter
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
54 °F
Delta
53 °F
La Junta
51 °F
Denver
51 °F
Rifle
50 °F
Springfield
26 °F
Monarch Pass
28 °F
Copper Mountain
30 °F
Leadville
32 °F
Mount Werner
33 °F
Monument Pass
Record Extremes
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
Mancos 2 in 10000 ft
Sharkstooth 0 in 10720 ft
Scotch Creek 0 in 9100 ft
Lone Cone 1 in 9600 ft
Lizard Head Pass 0 in 10200 ft
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Cortez 42 °F Clear 12:53 AM MDT
Blanding This station is not reporting.
Farmington 46 °F Clear 12:53 AM MDT
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Flight To ETA Status
No flights were found.
Flight Tracker by FlightAware FlightAware
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KCEZ)
Wind Speed: 8.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 80° (East)
Ceiling: Unlimited

METAR KCEZ 210653Z AUTO 08008KT 10SM CLR 06/M01 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP142 T00561006 401890050

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
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Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
RAWS MOCKINGBIRD CO, Yellow Jacket, CO 48 °F 47 °F 30 °F 49% NNE  at  4 mph 0.00 in / hr 6419 ft 12:44 AM MDT MADIS
Anasazi Heights, Dolores, CO 43.0 °F 39 °F 33 °F 68% NE  at  6.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 6729 ft 2:32 AM MDT Rapid Fire  
RAWS CHAPIN CO, Mesa Verde, CO 44 °F 44 °F 31 °F 60% NW  at  2 mph 0.00 in / hr 7125 ft 1:30 AM MDT MADIS
Cahone (2.5 Miles NNE), Cahone, CO 45.2 °F 42 °F 31 °F 57% NE  at  6.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 6940 ft 2:35 AM MDT Rapid Fire
RAWS MOREFIELD CO, Mesa Verde, CO 42 °F 39 °F 30 °F 62% NNW  at  5 mph 0.00 in / hr 7819 ft 12:40 AM MDT MADIS
RAWS SALTER CO, Cahone, CO 40 °F 35 °F 31 °F 70% NNE  at  8 mph 0.00 in / hr 8201 ft 1:24 AM MDT MADIS
RAWS SJF1 DURANGO CO, Mancos, CO 41 °F 41 °F 31 °F 68% NW  at  0 mph 0.00 in / hr 8147 ft 1:55 AM MDT MADIS
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