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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Corpus Christi Texas
322 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2016

Short term (tonight through Sunday night)...

Deterministic nwp models continue to predict a gradual weakness
in the upper heights over the County Warning Area/msa during the period. NAM
deterministic maintains precipitable water values greater than normal. Will
retain the same forecast of diurnal/noctural isolated convection
during the period (diurnal activity along the afternoon sea breeze
and noctural activity over the msa owing in part to nil cin
values.) Predominate maximum heat index values 105-109f over the
County Warning Area during the afternoon Sunday (with 110f values possible again
near the coast during the brief window of time immediately after
the sea breeze moves onshore.)

&&

Long term (monday through saturday)...

An easterly wave will move across the northern Gulf of Mexico early
next week, with the trough axis setting up across the western Gulf
Coast during the early/mid week. Deeper moisture will increase
across the eastern zones and coastal waters with precipitable water values rising
above 2 inches (greater than the 75th percentile) Monday night
through Wednesday. This will allow for at least a scattering of
showers and storms, with the best coverage on Tuesday. Wave moves
west of the region after Wednesday. Moisture decreases across the
region late in the week as well. Kept only lower chance pops for the
end of the week, mainly with sea-breeze circulation. Normal Summer-
time temperatures will be prevalent through the coming week , though
with higher cloud cover/moisture and possible rain during the
early/mid week highs will be a couple degrees cooler on those days.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Corpus Christi 78 94 78 96 78 / 10 20 10 20 20
Victoria 77 97 76 95 77 / 10 20 10 30 20
Laredo 78 104 78 102 79 / 0 10 10 10 10
Alice 76 99 76 99 78 / 10 20 10 20 20
Rockport 81 91 80 92 80 / 10 10 10 20 20
Cotulla 77 104 77 102 77 / 0 10 10 10 10
Kingsville 77 97 77 98 78 / 10 20 10 20 20
Navy corpus 80 89 80 92 81 / 10 10 10 20 20

&&

Crp watches/warnings/advisories...
Texas...heat advisory until 5 PM CDT this afternoon for the following
zones: Kleberg...Nueces.

GM...none.

&&

$$

Wc/87...short term
lk/84...long term

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