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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Grand Junction Colorado
1039 PM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

Short term...(tonight through Wednesday night)
issued at 259 PM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

The atmosphere will continue to stabilize this evening as ridging
builds into the region over the next 24 hours. The ridge will
amplify Wednesday bringing sunny skies and temperatures 5 to 10
degrees above normal once again for the second part of the

Long term...(thursday through tuesday)
issued at 259 PM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

On Thursday, the next trough in the eastern Pacific moves onshore
the West Coast and will strengthen southwest winds over the Great
Basin. By Friday, strong southwest winds of 25 to 35 mph will
develop over much of eastern Utah and extreme western Colorado.
Winds will be strongest across northeastern Utah where the 70 kt upper
level jet will reach. These breezy conditions will continue
through the weekend with some decoupling possible at lower
elevations between the sunset to sunrise time period. Overall
conditions will remain unstable with a shower or two possible over
the weekend, particularly on Sunday. The trough looks to finally
push through as a cold front on Sunday night or early Monday. At
this point there is major differentiation on 700 mb temps by
Monday (5 to 8 degree difference) in the long range models and
timing and extent of precipitation as well. Cooler unsettled
conditions are expected for next week...with temperature closer to
climo than we have been seeing recently.


Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Wednesday night)
issued at 1039 PM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

Low cloud ceilings will be hanging on for areas near and along The
Divide through early morning hours till around 08z before
dissipating as the latest disturbance moves eastward and high
pressure moves into the region. Relatively high humidity overnight
due to recent rainfall will lead to areas of patchy fog especially
along the rivers. This should have minimal impact on taf sites
with VFR conditions dominating under clear skies tonight. Fog
should burn off by 15z with sunny skies and light, terrain-driven
winds on Wednesday, leading to VFR conditions.


issued at 634 PM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

..near record high temperatures possible around the area Thursday...

Clear skies and a strong ridge of high pressure will contribute to
a possibility of record high temperatures on Thursday. Here is a
list of record high temperatures and the Thursday high temperature
forecast at several locations around our forecast area. Note: some
locations will not reach their record high temperature. Also keep
in mind that the forecast could change.

Location thurs record year forecast high
high temp (as of tue)

Arches natl park 79 1999 76
Aspen 68 1950 67
Cortez 75 1950 74
Craig 73 1937 72
Crested Butte 72 1915 60
Grand Junction 74 1966 76
Moab 85 1926 77
Montrose 79 1960 73
Ridgway 75 2008 71
Rifle 78 1952 74
Steamboat Springs 76 1894 69


Gjt watches/warnings/advisories...


Short term...jam
long term...jam

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