Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus64 kmeg 240437
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee
1137 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017
Updated to include 06z aviation discussion.
Previous discussion... /issued 1027 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017/
Updated to reduce overnight cloud cover.
High pressure continues to build into the mid south this evening
with skies rapidly clearing through midnight. Most locations will
be clear and cool after midnight with low temperatures dropping
into the upper 50s north to the upper 60s south, with seasonably
low humidity. Updates have been sent and no additional changes
will be required tonight.
Previous discussion... /issued 346 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017/
A cold front has pushed into central Mississippi this afternoon
while a relatively drier north to northeast wind prevails north of
the boundary over the forecast area. Expect the slightly cooler
and drier weather to continue through Friday.
Tropical Depression Harvey in the western Gulf will intensify and
track into Texas by Saturday and remain near East Texas through
early next week. There is a lot of uncertainty of Harvey beyond
early next week, but current model runs track the remnants of it
over the midsouth toward the middle to end of next week. Given
the uncertainty of track and timing, will keep a chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the extended period and elevate the chances
of rain and wind where confidence increases with time.
06z taf cycle
VFR conditions will persist the entire period with surface high
pressure dominating. The only exception to this could be kmkl
overnight with some fog development. Winds will generally be from
the NE less than 10 kts throughout, with skies remaining mostly