Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus62 kmlb 200044
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne Florida
844 PM EDT Tue Jun 19 2018
..rain chances gradually increasing through late week...
tonight...late afternoon to early evening convection stayed just to
the west of Lake County. With drier than normal air remaining over
the rest of the area, don't see any rain chances lingering. Low
level ridge axis will sink to the southern peninsula and bring a
light south/southwest wind flow. Min temps will be mostly in the
lower 70s again. Metro Orlando should be in the lower-mid 70s,
while a few upper 60s are possible inland of the Treasure Coast to
Okeechobee. No significant changes to the current forecast.
mostly clear skies across east central Florida terminals through the
overnight. VFR conditions are expected Wed morning with low chances
for afternoon rain showers/thunderstorms and rain mainly along and west of the ksfb-kmco
corridor where moisture will be higher. Have only mentioned
vicinity thunder at klee for now though.
tonight-Wed...benign conditions for boating as weak surface ridge
shifts to the southern peninsula and produces a south/southwest wind
less than 10 knots and seas 2 feet or less. The air mass will
remain drier than normal over most of the area on Wed. Higher
moisture is indicated along and west of Interstate 4 but there
doesn't look to be enough westerly steering flow to push sea breeze
generated storms back to the Volusia or North Brevard coast.