Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

fxus62 kmlb 270133 
afdmlb

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne Florida
933 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

Discussion...
low level westerly flow around 10-15 knots off the surface will
persist across the region ahead of a weak cold front that will
cross North Florida late tonight. At the surface winds will become
light around 5 mph or less, and a band of cirrus across central
Florida should eventually shift east with skies becoming mostly
clear. Despite these lighter surface winds and clearing skies,
model guidance not hinting at any fog development for the area
overnight. However, this environment could still support extremely
localized reductions in visibilities from any settling smoke near
smouldering or active brush fires late tonight toward daybreak
Friday. Temperatures will be more seasonable into tonight, with
lows falling in the low-mid 60s for most locations.

&&

Aviation...VFR conditions generally expected. Isolated to
scattered showers and a few storms will be possible into Friday,
mainly through the afternoon along a weak front moving southward
across the area. For now have limited mention to vcsh in the tafs
due to rain chances being on the lower side, but tempo IFR/MVFR
conditions will be possible with any of this activity.

&&

Marine...S/SW winds around 10-15 knots this evening will become
west/SW overnight ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. Seas
will continue 2-3 feet near shore and 3-4 feet offshore.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
dab 62 83 59 82 / 10 30 10 0
mco 63 85 61 86 / 0 40 10 0
mlb 63 85 63 82 / 0 40 20 0
vrb 61 85 63 83 / 0 20 20 10
Lee 64 82 61 85 / 10 20 10 0
sfb 64 84 60 85 / 10 30 10 0
orl 64 84 63 85 / 0 40 10 0
fpr 61 85 62 83 / 10 20 20 10

&&

Mlb watches/warnings/advisories...
Florida...none.
Am...none.
&&

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations