Scientific Forecaster Discussion
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Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne Florida
926 PM EST sun Jan 20 2019
skies cleared quickly late this afternoon and evening as dry air
continues to advect towards east central Florida. Winds have also come
down, as forecasted, and were from the west, ranging 5-10 mph
for space coast and interior and 10-15 mph along the Treasure
Coast. However, these are expected to drop even more through the
night. This will help to keep wind chills higher, reducing the
cooling effect of the wind. If wind and temps behave as expected,
a Wind Chill Advisory will not be necessary as the criteria will
not be met. However, it will be cold (for our Florida standards)
and caution should be taken with pets and heating devices inside
VFR conditions with west to northwest light winds overnight,
becoming north by Mon morning and northeast in the afternoon.
winds remain above advisory criteria but have dropped below Gale
Warning across the outer waters of east central Florida. So the Gale
Warning will be allowed to expire at 10 PM this evening and be
replaced by a Small Craft Advisory that will remain in effect
through at least Monday afternoon. Buoy 41009 reported sustained
winds of 20 kts with gusts of 25 kts, which have been consistent
in the last few hours. No changes in the forecast for now.
Am...Small Craft Advisory for winds until 4 am EST Monday for Flagler
Beach to Volusia-Brevard County line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Monday for Sebastian Inlet
to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet
20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County line to Sebastian Inlet 20-
Gale Warning until 10 PM EST this evening for Flagler Beach to
Volusia-Brevard County line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to
Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County line to
Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.
Small Craft Advisory for winds until 10 PM EST this evening for
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 am EST Monday for Flagler Beach to
Volusia-Brevard County line 20-60 nm.