Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

fxus62 kmlb 190132 aaa 
afdmlb

Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service Melbourne Florida
932 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017



Update...

Tonight...shower activity across the area has steadily decreased
north to south, with isolated to scattered marine showers moving
onshore. Drier air aloft will gradually filter in overnight due to
the passing of a upper level jet streak off the eastern Florida coast,
keeping rain chances near 20% for the northern forecast area. The
latest xmr sounding shows low level moisture supporting slightly
higher rainfall coverage mainly over the Treasure Coast.

Tomorrow (prev)...surface high pressure centered near the srn
Appalachians will keep breezy northeast flow along the coast and
scattered onshore moving showers from the Atlantic along the East
Coast. Substantial mid level drying will limit showers as they
progress inland with 20 percent across well inland areas into the
afternoon. Expect more sunshine than recent days with highs into
the lower 80s Volusia coast to the mid 80s interior and srn
sections.

&&

Aviation...

Mainly VFR. Isold/sct marine showers will push onshore during the
overnight, with most activity remaining along the coast for kmlb-
ksua.

&&

Marine...

Tonight (prev)...NE winds to 20-25 knots across the central/nrn
waters will decrease some toward morning. Small Craft Advisory
continues with seas to 9-10 ft offshore and 6-8 ft near shore
making for hazardous boating conditions.

Tomorrow...NE winds to 20 knots nrn and central waters and 15
knots across the srn waters will keep seas elevated. Small craft
advisories continue into Thu aftn and will likely be extended for
portions of the waters for portions of the waters into Friday.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
dab 72 82 74 83 / 20 40 30 30
mco 70 86 71 86 / 10 30 10 20
mlb 74 85 76 84 / 30 30 30 30
vrb 74 85 75 84 / 40 30 30 40
Lee 68 86 70 87 / 10 20 10 20
sfb 70 85 71 86 / 10 30 20 30
orl 70 86 71 86 / 10 30 10 20
fpr 73 85 75 84 / 50 30 30 40

&&

Mlb watches/warnings/advisories...
Florida...none.
Am...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT Thursday for Flagler Beach
to Volusia-Brevard County line 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to
Volusia-Brevard County line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to
Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-
60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20
nm-Volusia-Brevard County line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

&&

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations