Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service San Angelo Texas
419 am CDT Tuesday Jul 26 2016

Short term...
(today and tonight)

An upper level disturbance over southeast Texas will continue to
bring increased moisture to west central Texas today. Although most
locations will remain dry, expect isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms to develop this afternoon and continue into the
evening hours. The best chance will be across our southeast
counties. Brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be possible with
the stronger storms. The additional cloud cover and possible showers
and thunderstorms will result in slightly cooler temperatures than
what we have seen over the last several days. Expect highs today
mainly in the mid to upper 90s. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
may linger into the evening hours, although most of the activity
will dissipate by late evening. Overnight low temperatures will be
in the low to mid 70s.

Long term...
(wednesday through tuesday)

The weak upper trough will continue to have some influence over
the area through Thursday...with afternoon/evening spotty showers
and thunderstorms each day. Will be difficult to pinpoint the best
locations for these showers at this locations will be
highly dependent on boundaries and activity from previous days.
Will keep 20 to 30 percent chance of storms in the forecast
through Thursday, with afternoon highs remaining a little below
the century mark. By Friday...the weak trough should be well to
the southwest of the area, with an upper high building back into
West Texas. This will bring a drying and warming trend for the
weekend into early next week, with no precip in the forecast and
afternoon temperatures back to near 100.



Preliminary point temps/pops...
Abilene 97 74 97 74 / 20 20 20 20
San Angelo 98 73 95 74 / 20 20 30 20
Junction 94 73 96 72 / 40 20 40 20


Sjt watches/warnings/advisories...


National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations