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fxus64 ksjt 240403 

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo Texas
1103 PM CDT Tue may 23 2017

/06z tafs/

VFR conditions will prevail at all sites through the next 24
hours. Light and variable winds overnight will become west at 6 to
12 knots by late morning Wednesday.


Previous discussion... /issued 850 PM CDT Tue may 23 2017/

/00z tafs/

Mid level cloud cover will slowly dissipate this evening, with VFR
conditions prevailing at all sites through the next 24 hours.
Light and variable winds overnight will become west at 5 to 10
knots by late morning Wednesday.

Previous discussion... /issued 352 PM CDT Tue may 23 2017/

Short term...
(tonight and wednesday)

Dry and cooler)

During the next 24 hours, west central Texas will transition from
a wet weather pattern to a dry patter. The upper low will
continue to move east, and skies will clear. Remnant showers and a
few thunderstorms this afternoon will move east of west central
Texas later this afternoon. Winds from the north and northeast
tonight will continue to bring cooler air. Lows tonight will be
well below seasonal normals, mainly around 50. Winds overnight
will become light and variable as surface high pressure builds
over Texas. For tomorrow, look for sunny skies, light winds, and
afternoon highs very close to seasonal normals, mainly in the
lower to mid 80s.

Long term...
(wednesday night through tuesday)

Hot and dry conditions return Thursday into Saturday as as a
surface low develops in the Texas Panhandle and moves east across
Oklahoma. 850 mb temperatures rise to 30 to 31 c Thursday and
Friday across the Big Country and Concho Valley, bringing upper
90s to 101 degrees at the surface. Temperatures fall a couple
degrees Saturday, but will still be in the mid and upper 90s.

A cold front will move through late Saturday night and Sunday
morning, bringing a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Air will
remain unstable over the region into Tuesday, with upper
disturbances moving through in northwest flow aloft. Again with
increasing instability the threat of severe storms return. The
best chance for storms will be generally...along and south of a
Mertzon...San Angelo...Brownwood line next week.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
Abilene 51 83 63 97 / 5 0 0 0
San Angelo 50 84 63 100 / 5 0 0 0
Junction 50 83 61 93 / 10 0 0 0
Brownwood 50 82 59 95 / 10 0 0 0
Sweetwater 52 83 62 98 / 5 0 0 0
Ozona 50 83 61 95 / 5 0 0 0


Sjt watches/warnings/advisories...

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