Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo Texas
400 am CDT sun Oct 23 2016
(today and tonight)
A weak upper level low will track across west central Texas
today, then shift east of the area overnight. The main impact
that this low will have on the area is an increase in mid to
upper level cloud cover, especially across the southern half of
the region. Although an isolated shower cannot be ruled out this
afternoon, a dry forecast was continued as confidence remains low.
Temperatures this afternoon will range from the upper 70s across
the southern portions of the area, where more cloud cover is
expected, to the low 80s across much of the rest of the area.
Gusty south winds of 10 to 15 mph will become light overnight.
Overnight low temperatures will be above seasonal normals, in the
upper 50s to near 60.
(monday through saturday)
On Monday, the upper level shortwave trough/low that is currently
moving northeast towards Texas out of northern Mexico will be
exiting the area. This will be followed up by zonal flow Tuesday,
which will transition into northerwesterly flow by Wednesday as a
fairly potent upper low moves east across the northern plains into
the Great Lakes area. There will be an extenstion of weak
shortwave energy moving across our area, but this will likely just
result in mid and upper level clouds across the area. From
Wednesday into the weekend, upper level ridging will build over
the area, resulting in generally dry and quiet weather through the
rest of the extended period. Temperatures will generally run a few
degrees warmer than normal through the period, with highs
mainly in the upper 70s to mid 80s, and lows in the mid 50s to
Normal highs and lows over the next week...
abilene: 73-75 and 50-52
san angelo: 75-77 and 49-52
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Abilene 81 59 81 62 / 5 0 0 5
San Angelo 83 59 84 61 / 5 5 5 5
Junction 79 59 81 60 / 5 5 10 5
Brownwood 80 59 81 61 / 5 5 0 0
Sweetwater 82 60 80 62 / 0 0 0 0
Ozona 78 58 81 61 / 5 5 5 5