Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus62 ktbw 231344
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin Florida
944 am EDT Sat Jun 23 2018
overall, it appears a bit less active in terms of shower
and storm activity as it has the last couple of days. A few
stray showers and perhaps a storm will remain possible near
the coast over the next couple of hours before activity
becomes more focused inland. With continued west/northwest
flow, the greatest rain chances will reside east of I-75 and
south of I-4 this afternoon and evening. Along and near the
coast, expect another hot muggy day with little in the way
of cloud cover.
The going forecast was mostly on track. Made minor
adjustments to rain chances to account for lackluster
coverage and tweaked temps/dewpoints to reflect recent
Aviation (12z tafs)...
VFR conditions expected to prevail through most of the taf
period. Spotty showers and storms will develop near the
coast late morning through early afternoon, shifting well
east of terminals by 20z. Brief IFR conditions will be
possible with any shra/tsra.
light winds and seas to persist over the next several days
as high pressure remains over the waters. Persistent west
winds will become more southerly/easterly into early next
week as the ridge shifts a bit northward. Spotty marine
showers and storms will be the only concern, mainly in the
evening and overnight through morning hours. These could
locally enhance winds and seas.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
tpa 90 78 92 78 / 20 10 70 40
fmy 90 75 92 75 / 50 40 70 40
gif 92 75 94 74 / 60 30 60 20
srq 89 79 92 77 / 20 10 70 40
bkv 91 76 92 74 / 30 0 70 30
spg 89 81 91 80 / 20 10 70 40
Florida...Beach hazards statement through this evening for coastal