Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

fxus62 ktbw 171223 

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin Florida
723 am EST Tue Jan 17 2017

southeast flow will continue to bring some moisture into the
region leading to more scattered to broken stratocumulus trapped
under the subsidence inversion, and could see a couple of light
showers/sprinkles again this afternoon. However, unlike the last
few days the flow is lighter so we should see a decent West Coast
sea breeze develop this afternoon shifting winds to southwest to
west near the coast. This will keep coastal locations a few
degrees cooler than inland areas, but temperatures will still be
above normal and climb into the lower to mid 70s along the coast
to the lower 80s inland. Overall the current forecast looks on
track with no morning update planned.


general VFR conditions are expected at area terminals for the next
24 hours. More scattered to broken stratocumulus are expected at
times through the day, mostly above 4kft. Potential for a period
of MVFR/IFR br after 08z...mainly at klal/kpgd. Light east to
southeast flow this morning will shift to south to southwest
during the afternoon at coastal terminals. Winds will become
light and variable with sunset this evening.


high pressure will slide south over the region today and remain in
place through Thursday. Winds will remain generally below 15 knots
with low seas. Expect winds to become onshore near the coast each
of the next couple afternoons as the sea breeze develops.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
tpa 79 63 77 62 / 0 0 0 0
fmy 82 61 80 61 / 0 0 0 0
gif 82 61 82 60 / 0 0 0 0
srq 79 61 75 59 / 0 0 0 0
bkv 81 57 79 57 / 0 0 0 0
spg 76 63 75 63 / 0 0 0 0


Tbw watches/warnings/advisories...
Gulf waters...none.

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations