Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin Florida
123 am EDT Sat Oct 22 2016
22/06z-23/06z. Prevailing VFR. Cold front currently across Tampa
Bay will exit all terminals before daybreak...ushering in a cool
and dry airmass. Winds north or north-northwest with a few modest gusts late
morning and early afternoon.
Prev discussion... /issued 741 PM EDT Fri Oct 21 2016/
the advertised cold front is making steady progress southward
through the northern Florida Peninsula this mid-evening...and will
complete its journey through the region overnight. A much drier
airmass is already being observed to our north behind this
front...and this drier air will slowly filter in through the
overnight and into Saturday morning. Very pleasant sensible weather
will be around for the duration of the weekend with low dewpoints.
Only concerns will be with some rough conditions over the coastal
waters overnight into Saturday morning behind the front. Small
craft advisories are up for all the coastal waters with the
exception of Tampa Bay and Charlotte Harbor. These bays and
harbors are forecast to experience cautionary level winds through
early Saturday morning. The is also some potential for an enhanced
rip current risk along area beaches for part of the day on
Saturday as the swell generated by the northwest flow overnight arrives
along the Florida West Coast.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
tpa 76 55 79 60 / 0 0 0 0
fmy 79 56 80 60 / 0 0 0 0
gif 77 53 79 57 / 0 0 0 0
srq 76 56 79 61 / 0 0 0 0
bkv 75 46 79 51 / 0 0 0 0
spg 75 60 78 64 / 0 0 0 0
Florida...Beach hazards statement through Monday evening for coastal
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 11 am EDT this morning for
coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood Florida out
20 nm-coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs
Florida out 20 nm-coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to
Suwannee River Florida out 20 nm-waters from Bonita Beach
to Englewood Florida out 20 to 60 nm-waters from Englewood
to Tarpon Springs Florida out 20 to 60 nm-waters from
Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River Florida out 20 to 60 nm.