Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

fxus64 ktsa 280148 
afdtsa

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
848 PM CDT Sat may 27 2017

Discussion...
severe threat continues across the entire area. Latest
mesoanalysis shows the synoptic front extending from far northeast
OK into western Oklahoma/Texas Panhandle. Another wind shift
boundary was located across northeast OK noted in mesonet and
radar data from Pryor/Tulsa/Oilton. Supercell in Okfuskee County
has recently been tornado warned and large hail/tornado potential
continues with this cell. The other strong storms are located in
south central OK and have been produced some large hail so far.

Have increased the hourly pops across the southern zones in
advance of the supercells approaching from south central Oklahoma.
Short term model guidance continue to show semi-discrete
supercells persisting for several hours. Until a more linear Mode
develops, tornado threat will continue especially south of
Interstate 40.

Updates already sent.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 65 81 58 87 / 60 10 0 0
fsm 71 83 60 87 / 70 10 0 0
mlc 67 80 57 86 / 70 10 0 0
bvo 62 81 53 87 / 40 10 0 10
fyv 64 77 51 82 / 70 10 0 0
byv 66 78 54 82 / 70 10 0 0
mko 66 79 57 86 / 70 10 0 0
Mio 64 80 54 84 / 60 10 0 10
f10 66 80 57 86 / 60 10 0 0
hhw 71 81 61 87 / 80 20 10 10

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...Flood Watch until 7 am CDT Sunday for okz049-053-067>076.

Arkansas...Flood Watch until 7 am CDT Sunday for arz001-002-010-011-019-020-
029.

&&

$$

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations