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fxus64 ktsa 221517 
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Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1017 am CDT Mon may 22 2017

...

Discussion...
a lead shortwave was positioned over far southeast
Colorado...southwest Kansas and the Oklahoma/Texas panhandles at
mid morning today. This wave was ahead of a main trof
axis...associated with a parent closed low over southern
Ontario...dropping southeast through the northern Rocky
Mountains/northern High Plains. Across eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas...cloud cover with the lead wave was moving
over northeast Oklahoma while mostly clear to partly cloudy skies
were common for the rest of the County Warning Area.

Through this afternoon...the lead shortwave will shift east
southeast into western Oklahoma as the main trof axis continues
to drop southeast across the central Continental U.S.. in
response...scattered rain showers along with the potential for
isolated thunder is forecast to push into northeast Oklahoma
during the afternoon hours and across the rest of the County Warning Area
overnight tonight. Instability continues to be marginal which
should continue to limit severe potentials. With the precip
chances expecting to hold off until the afternoon hours...this
should help for temperatures to warm into the mid to upper 70s for
the County Warning Area before cloud cover spreads back over the region.

Thus for the morning update...have added minor tweaks to
pops/wx/temps/winds and adjusted cloud cover to account for
latest trends and observations.



&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 76 56 69 49 / 20 50 40 10
fsm 79 59 73 52 / 10 40 50 20
mlc 77 57 71 50 / 10 50 50 10
bvo 75 53 69 47 / 30 40 30 10
fyv 75 54 68 47 / 10 40 50 20
byv 75 54 68 48 / 10 40 50 20
mko 77 56 69 49 / 10 50 50 10
Mio 75 54 68 47 / 10 50 40 10
f10 76 57 69 49 / 20 50 40 10
hhw 77 58 71 51 / 10 30 50 10

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

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