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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
548 PM CST Fri Dec 2 2016

Aviation...
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm/krog.
Scattered/broken mid and high clouds will continue across eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas this evening as a surface boundary
remains over the region. Areas of light rain showers currently
over southwest Oklahoma are expected to push into southeast
Oklahoma overnight and spread across eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas late tonight and Saturday. MVFR conditions are
forecast to increase over the County Warning Area within the precip...with all of
eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas looking to be IFR/MVFR
conditions Saturday afternoon.



&&

Previous discussion... /issued 258 PM CST Fri Dec 2 2016/

Discussion...
upper low currently situated near the California baja region.
Southwesterly flow aloft to strengthen ahead of the low...which
will spread light rain over the region later this evening...with
high areal coverage of rain to continue through Saturday. Highest
rain amounts still expected south of I-40 through this event. Rain
to taper off across most of the area by Sunday...and this will
offer a brief respite before the next chance for rain increase
.Mainly across southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas as
the upper low begins to move east northeast OK through old Mexico
and Texas. Will also continue with low chance thunder in
conjunction with the highest pops late Sunday and into Monday.

Strong cold front still on track to move in and through the region
by midweek. Model uncertainty continues regarding precip
chances...so at this time will go with low pops. The coldest
temperatures seen in some time are expected behind the
front...and light snow chances will be included with the fast
moving upper trough that will swing through in the Wednesday and
Thursday time period. Dry...but chilly conditions expected for the
end of the next work week.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 42 47 39 52 / 60 80 60 10
fsm 42 47 41 50 / 50 80 70 20
mlc 44 47 39 51 / 80 100 60 20
bvo 39 47 38 55 / 40 70 60 10
fyv 38 47 37 47 / 40 70 70 20
byv 38 46 35 47 / 40 70 80 30
mko 43 48 40 51 / 60 80 60 20
Mio 38 50 38 50 / 40 60 80 20
f10 43 46 39 52 / 70 90 60 10
hhw 46 48 42 51 / 80 100 60 20

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Aviation...20

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