Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
351 am CDT Wednesday Aug 24 2016

Discussion...
morning satellite loops show a good deal of convective debris from
yesterday's storms in the Texas Panhandle and western OK. The area of
storms weakened as it moved into NE OK Tuesday aftn and most
sites received 0.10" or less of rain. Today another shortwave will
move toward the area...but associated storms will remain north
and west of the County Warning Area. Frontal zone over Kansas will remain a focus for
convection this afternoon but will make little southward progress.

Some drier air will work into the area by afternoon with
dewpoints dropping off into the upper 60s. However...it will still
feel hot with high temps in the low/mid 90s with less clouds than
yesterday. We will maintain low pops for areas in NE OK tonight
and Thursday just in case some storms form to the southwest and
make it into NE OK. Continued hot and humid for Thursday as
frontal zone moves into northwest OK.

Friday would appear to have a higher chance of storms as
additional impulses move through the confluent SW flow aloft.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 96 75 95 72 / 10 20 20 30
fsm 96 73 95 74 / 0 0 10 10
mlc 94 74 95 72 / 0 0 10 10
bvo 95 71 94 67 / 10 30 30 30
fyv 90 69 90 69 / 0 0 10 10
byv 91 71 90 71 / 10 0 10 10
mko 95 71 94 71 / 0 0 10 10
Mio 93 72 92 71 / 10 20 30 30
f10 94 73 94 72 / 0 0 10 10
hhw 92 73 93 73 / 0 0 10 0

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Short term...12
long term....06

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations