Professional Forecaster experience since 1977, concentrating in Aviation, Tropical and Long Range forecasting.
By: Steve Gregory, 5:33 PM GMT on August 28, 2016
SUNDAY: 28-AUG-16 / 12:30 PM CDT
Next Update on MONDAY AFTERNOON AUG 29TH
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 99L MOVING ACROSS FLORIDA STRAITS AS 91L BECOMES TROPICAL DEPRESSION #8
Broad and weak Low pressure associated with Tropical Disturbance 99L continues westward at 10Kts and has changed little during the last 24 hours with mainly diurnal convective bursts across south Florida and Cuba as upper air winds have become even less cond...
Updated: 7:58 PM GMT on August 28, 2016
By: Steve Gregory, 5:55 PM GMT on August 27, 2016
SATURDAY: 27-AUG-16 / 12:55 PM CDT
Next Update on SUNDAY AUG 28TH
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 99L TO MOVE ACROSS FLORIDA STRAITS AS 91L HEADS FOR CAROLINAS!
Disorganized Tropical Disturbance 99L now just SW of Andros Island is heading W/NW at 8Kts and has changed little in organization over the past 2 days, with bursts of diurnal based convection – mainly to the east and south of the broad, 1009mb Low pressure center. Whil...
Updated: 9:18 PM GMT on August 27, 2016
By: Steve Gregory, 7:55 PM GMT on August 25, 2016
THURSDAY: 25-AUG-16 / 3:00 PM CDT
Next Update on SATURDAY AUG 27TH
NOTE: 91L FORMS SW OF BERMUDA - THREAT TO CAROLINAS !
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 99L STRUGGLES
Disorganized Tropical Disturbance 99L is now just north of Hispaniola and continues moving WNW – albeit at a slower rate of ~10-15Kts. While the lowest pressure remains near 1005mb, convection has diminished and is displaced far to the south of the broad center. The m...
Updated: 4:12 PM GMT on August 27, 2016
By: Steve Gregory, 6:47 PM GMT on August 24, 2016
WEDNESDAY: 24-AUG-16 / 1:50 PM CDT
Next (BRIEF) TROPICAL Update on THURSDAY AUG 25TH
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 99L LIKELY TROPICAL STORM HERMINE
Tropical Disturbance 99L now in the NE CARIB continues on a W/NW track with latest satellite imagery and RECON data suggesting the system is SLOWLY becoming better organized. The RECON flite investigating the system has found surface winds of Tropical Storm strength (~45Kts) – and it now appea...
Updated: 8:34 PM GMT on August 24, 2016
By: Steve Gregory, 7:15 PM GMT on August 03, 2016
WEDNESDAY: 3-AUG-16 / 2:20 PM CDT
Next Update on or around ** Wednesday Aug 24
Aug 20 UPDATE: Full Updates begin WED, AUG 24.... 50% chance a tropical cyclone will reach SE US between AUG 29 and SEP 2. Potential to GOM across to the Carolinas. Highly dependent on timing and amplitude of mid latitude TROFs moving across the central and eastern US. In general, conditions more favorable for cyclone development next 3 weeks.
Updated: 2:40 PM GMT on August 20, 2016