Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.
By: hurricaneben , 5:44 PM GMT on August 04, 2012
Just in the past few days, the tropics burst in activity. Now we have 2 named storms in the Atlantic and one area of interest that, while not expected to develop much, is making way for a rather wet and stormy weekend across much of the Florida Peninsula (especially the southern half).
Tropical Storm Ernesto is definitely the biggest concern right now. While it has weakened slightly from its 60 MPH peak last night, re-strengthening is very likely in the short term and this could become a minimal hurricane by late tomorrow as it passes just south of Jamaica. Tropical storm warnings are up for there so expect a rather wet and windy start to the week, but nothing major in the terms of damage. However as current trends go, Yucatan seems likely to be in for a direct hit/landfall possibly as a higher end category one toward the middle of the week and from there...enter the western Gulf Of Mexico. There is no immediate threat to the Lower 48, but by the time we get into the latter half of next week, things may change.
Tropical Storm Florence is gradually strengthening and now has winds of 45 MPH. However due to dry air ahead, any additional strengthening should be slight. It poses no threat to land at this time, as it is expected to significantly weaken or fall apart before it even reaches land.
The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.