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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Medford or
318 am PST sun Mar 1 2015

Discussion...dry weather with clear skies are expected today. A
few high clouds will move in from the northwest, but it will
remain sunny. Dewpoints have trended lower during the overnight
period which is an indicator of a drier air mass moving in.
Therefore not expecting any fog early this morning.

The models are in good agreement with the track of the next
shortwave late tonight into Monday. They also keep most, if not
all precipitation along or off the Oregon coast. Therefore kept
the highest probability of precipitation confined to Coos...Curry and western Douglas
County. Even then quantitative precipitation forecast amounts will be light. Light showers are
possible along the north facing slopes of the Siskiyous and west
facing slopes of the Cascades with a north to northwest upper
flow Monday evening, otherwise it will be dry with decreasing
clouds.

A dry north to northwest flow continues Tuesday. A weak shortwave
will move down along the flow, but it will have no impact on our
weather. Conditions will remain dry with mostly clear skies.

The models remain in good agreement showing the upper ridge near
130 west shifting east over the Pacific northwest the latter part of the week
and remaining there through next weekend. Confidence is high
we'll remain flat out dry with temperatures above normal in the
afternoon. Nights will be cool, but they will trend higher later
in the week into next weekend. -Petrucelli

&&

Aviation...for the 01/06z taf cycle...VFR conditions will
prevail for the next 24 hours.

&&

Marine...updated 7 PM PST, Saturday, 28 Feb, 2015...northerly wind
wave dominated seas will build to a peak this evening as low
pressure along the coast moves south and high pressure offshore
builds toward the waters. Winds will be strongest in the outer
waters south of Cape Blanco...with gales expected there. The
offshore high and coastal low will persist with slightly weaker
northerly winds on Sunday. Another low moving south will likely
bring rain Sunday night into Monday. A thermal trough pattern will
follow with gusty north winds and steep seas...mainly south of Cape
Blanco through the middle of the week. Winds are forecast to
diminish and shift to southerly on Thursday then remain weak into
Saturday. Sk

&&

Mfr watches/warnings/advisories...
or...none.

California...none.

Pacific coastal waters...Small Craft Advisory for winds until 4 am PST early this morning
for pzz350-356-370.
Small Craft Advisory for winds from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 PM
PST this evening for pzz356.
Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 10 PM PST Monday
for pzz350-356.
Hazardous seas warning until 4 am PST early this morning for
pzz350-356-370-376.
Small Craft Advisory for winds from 10 PM this evening to 10 PM
PST Monday for pzz370.
Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 10 PM PST Monday
for pzz370.
Small Craft Advisory for winds until 4 am PST Tuesday for
pzz376.
Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 4 am PST Tuesday
for pzz376.

$$

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