Scientific Forecaster Discussion

NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Melbourne Florida 
952 PM EDT Tuesday may 21 2013 


Discussion... 


Current/tonight...fewer lingering pockets of instability exist 
tonight so think that there will be no need for probability of precipitation across the 
interior the rest of the night. Probability of precipitation along the coast are 
questionable as there is little convection presently over the 
Atlantic. The GFS indicates a light south low level flow 
overnight...but low level winds are presently out of the southeast. 
With the cut off low aloft over the area and very moist low 
levels...will keep a slight pop along the coast. 


&& 


Aviation... 
mainly VFR. Should see convection redevelop offshore and possibly 
affect the coastal terminals...especially kmlb-ksua. If there is 
enough clear to partly cloudy skies across the interior...patchy fog 
may develop in the pre dawn hours. 


&& 


Marine... 
tonight/Wed...weakening Atlantic ridge will slacken the pressure gradient 
across the waters so southeast winds should decrease to 5-10 knots late 
tonight/early Wednesday. Persistent east/NE swell will keep seas a little 
higher...3-4 feet...than what would be expected in such wind flow. 


&& 


Mlb watches/warnings/advisories... 
Florida...none. 
Am...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Forecasts...lascody 
impact wx/radar...Bowen