Scientific Forecaster Discussion

NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK 
1157 PM CDT Sat may 25 2013 


Aviation... 
gusty south winds expected to continue throughout most of the taf 
period. MVFR ceilings will be possible at all sites towards 
morning...and gradually lift throughout the day. 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 958 PM CDT Sat may 25 2013/ 


Update... 
the going forecast was in decent shape. Lowered probability of precipitation across south 
central and southeast Oklahoma...as diurnally driven showers and 
storms continue to weaken and move east of the forecast area. 
Will keep slight chance probability of precipitation in overnight for much of southern 
Oklahoma and North Texas. Guidance suggests complex of storms over 
the Texas Panhandle may move into far western Oklahoma/North Texas 
after midnight. This may bring heavy downpours and lightning...but 
no severe weather. As for the rest of the forecast...only made 
minor adjustments to hourly temperatures...winds...and dewpoints. Expect 
the night to be fairly quiet...though a stray shower will remain 
possible given rich low level moisture and the presence of very 
weak upper level forcing. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Oklahoma City OK 84 64 86 65 / 60 20 20 10 
Hobart OK 86 64 91 65 / 30 20 10 10 
Wichita Falls Texas 86 65 91 66 / 30 20 10 10 
gage OK 86 65 92 68 / 20 10 10 20 
Ponca City OK 82 66 82 67 / 20 10 20 20 
Durant OK 82 68 85 65 / 30 30 20 10 


&& 


Oun watches/warnings/advisories... 
OK...none. 
Texas...none. 
&& 


$$ 


99/99/14