Outlook for the remainder of hurricane season

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:18 PM GMT on October 15, 2009

Share this Blog
1
+

Atlantic tropical cyclone activity finishes its peak phase in mid-October, and takes a major downturn after about October 20 (Figure 1). Since the current active hurricane period began in 1995, the last half of October through the end of hurricane season has given birth to an average of 1.7 named storms, 0.8 hurricanes, and 0.3 intense hurricanes. These numbers are nearly double the long-term climatological averages for the past 100 years. So far this year, only one tropical storm has hit the U.S.--Tropical Storm Claudette. If no more tropical storms make landfall in the U.S., it will be the first year since 1993 to see only one tropical storm hitting the U.S.


Figure 1. Atlantic hurricane season activity over the past 100 years.

Late October and November storms tend to form from tropical waves that come off the coast of Africa, or from the remains of old fronts that push off the coast of the U.S. As we can see from the track plot of all last half of October storms (Figure 2), there is a lot of activity during the period, but relatively few storms form out near the African coast. The water temperatures off the coast of Africa are starting to cool and be marginal for hurricane formation, and the African Monsoon is waning, leading to fewer African waves coming off the coast. Wind shear is also starting to increase, as part of its normal fall cycle.

Climatology of late-season major hurricanes
Let's examine the possibilities of getting a late-season major hurricane, since those are the storms we care most about. Since 1960, there have been twelve hurricanes that have existed as major Category 3 or higher storms after October 15. Eight of these have occurred since 1995: Omar of 2008 (Cat 4, Lesser Antilles), Paloma of 2008 (Cat 4, Cayman Islands and Cuba), Wilma of 2005 (Cat 4, Mexico; Cat 3, SW Florida), Beta of 2005 (Cat 3, Nicaragua), Michelle of 2001 (Cat 4, Cuba), Lenny of 1999 (Cat 4, northern Lesser Antilles), Mitch of 1998 (Cat 5, Honduras), and Lili of 1996 (Bahamas, Category 3). The other four were Joan of 1988 (Cat 4, Nicaragua), Kate of 1985 (Cat 3, Gulf of Mexico), Ella of 1962 (Cat 3, west of Bermuda), and Hattie of 1961 (Cat 4, Belize). Wilma of 2005 was the only major hurricane since 1960 to hit the U.S. after October 15. The highest risk region for late season major hurricanes is the Western Caribbean, along the coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize, Mexico, and Cuba. So, we can say with high confidence that most of the U.S. coast can relax. Only the west coast of Florida, Florida Keys, and South Florida need to still be concerned about the possibility of a major hurricane. The Lesser Antilles Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola are also at low risk for a major hurricane the remainder of the season.



Figure 2. Tracks of all tropical storms and hurricanes since 1851 that formed October 16-31.

Sea Surface Temperatures
Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) are 0.5 - 1.5°C above average over the Western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico (Figure 3), the primary formation areas for late October storms. So, there is still plenty of fuel for a major hurricane to form. Note also the tongue of warmer than average SSTs extending out into the Pacific Ocean from the coast of South America, the signature of weak El Niño conditions.


Figure 3. Sea Surface Temperature (SST) departure from average for October 15. Image credit: NOAA.

Wind shear
Wind shear is usually defined as the difference in wind between 200 mb (roughly 40,000 foot altitude) and 850 mb (roughly 5,000 foot altitude). In most circumstances, wind shear above 20 knots will act to inhibit tropical storm formation by tearing a storm apart. Wind shear 10 knots and lower is very conducive for tropical storm formation.

The jet stream in mid-October is more active and extends further south, which brings higher levels of wind shear to the Atlantic. The more active jet stream also acts to recurve storms more quickly. Any system penetrating north of about 20 degrees north latitude we can expect to recurve quickly to the north and northeast this late in the season. The most recent 16-day forecast from the GFS model predicts a period of high wind shear over the tropical Atlantic over the next ten days (Figure 4). Beginning on October 25, wind shear is expected to fall again over the Western Caribbean, and we need to be alert for tropical storm formation then. Indeed, the latest run of the GFS model is predicting a large area of surface low pressure will form in the Western Caribbean during the last week of October, an indication that hurricane season may not be over yet.

El Niño
El Niño conditions, which typically bring higher wind shear to the Atlantic and interfere with hurricane formation, continue to be present in the tropical Eastern Pacific. It is probably the case that some of this year's inactivity can be attributed to El Niño. However, as I discussed in a post earlier this year, El Niño events that warm the central Pacific more than the eastern Pacific (called "modiki" El Niño events), tend to bring less wind shear to the Atlantic. In recent weeks, El Niño conditions in the Eastern Pacific have trended more towards a "modiki" type event, with a large amount of warming in the Central Pacific. This shift in the El Niño may bring lower wind shear to the Atlantic over the final month of hurricane season.


Figure 4. Wind shear forecast for October 23, 2009, as produced by the 00 UTC run on October 14, 2009 made by the GFS model. Wind shear below about 8 m/s (roughly 15 knots, red colors) is typically needed to allow tropical storm formation. There aren't too many red-colored areas over the prime breeding grounds for tropical storms in the Atlantic over the next ten days in this forecast.

Summary
Given how quiet the tropics are at present, and the forecast of a high wind shear regime lasting until October 25, I doubt any tropical storms will form over the next ten days. If we do get something, it would probably be in the middle Atlantic between Bermuda and the Azores, far from land. However, I am still wary of the possibility of a hurricane in the Caribbean the last week of October or in November this year. There is evidence that the Atlantic hurricane season is starting earlier and ending later in recent decades. Dr. Jim Kossin of the University of Wisconsin published a paper in 2008 titled, "Is the North Atlantic hurricane season getting longer?" He concluded that yes, there is a "apparent tendency toward more common early- and late-season storms that correlates with warming Sea Surface Temperature but the uncertainty in these relationships is high". We had two major hurricanes in the Caribbean after October 15 last year, and I give a 60% chance that we'll get a named storm in the Caribbean before hurricane season ends on November 30. Hurricane season is not over--it's just in hibernation.

Happy Valley to become Yucky Valley
Winter is fast approaching, and the season's first major snowstorm for the U.S. East Coast is coming this weekend, according to the wunderblog of Wunderground's Dr. Rob Carver. Conditions will be particularly nasty on Saturday in Happy Valley, where Penn State is situated. The surrounding hills may get 4 - 12 inches of snow, and rain mixed with snow with 36°F temperatures are expected for Saturday's Penn State - Minnesota game. Ugh, winter! I'll have a forecast for the coming winter in a post sometime in the next week.

The Senate has not yet voted on the proposal to cut NOAA funding. I will post a report when the vote occurs.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 487 - 437

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10Blog Index

487. 8feetat15secs
1:54 PM GMT on October 16, 2009
Based on Dr. Master's forecast the formation of a major hurricane around the last week of Oct is better than 50% in the Caribbean. Can anyone guess that far out what the likeliehood of a CONUS landfall would be? I imagine that is a stretch to call but just curious what the shear and steering currents will be like at that time...
486. TampaSpin
1:19 PM GMT on October 16, 2009
Monday 8am temperature forecast




3inch in NE Penn. forecast for Saturday evening
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20443
485. TampaSpin
1:07 PM GMT on October 16, 2009


Fall Classic or Winter Classic Update
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20443
484. bystander
12:54 PM GMT on October 16, 2009
New blog if anybody is in here
Member Since: July 24, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 201
483. NEwxguy
12:49 PM GMT on October 16, 2009
Oct. 16th here in eastern Mass. and we have our first snow falling,lightly.Way too early for this,way too early.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 883 Comments: 15862
482. mikatnight
12:47 PM GMT on October 16, 2009
Strong quake rattles Indonesian capital

updated 1 hour, 12 minutes ago

JAKARTA, Indonesia -- A strong earthquake rattled the Indonesian island of Java on Friday, sending panicked people into the streets of the capital city, Jakarta.

The U.S. Geological Survey put the quake's magnitude at 6.1 -- lowering it from an earlier magnitude of 6.5.

The epicenter was located in the Sunda Strait -- the narrow body of water between Java and Sumatra islands, about 115 miles (185 km) southwest of Jakarta, according to the USGS.

It struck shortly before 5 p.m. local time (6 a.m. ET).

The quake prompted a mass evacuation in downtown Jakarta. There was no sign of any initial damage, CNN producer Andy Saputra said.

It is the latest in the series of quakes to have rattled Indonesia, including strong quakes on September 30 and October 1 near the island of Sumatra.

More than 1,000 people are believed to have died after the quake destroyed buildings in the city of Padang, the capital of West Sumatra.

Friday's quake did not last long, and was not nearly as powerful as the 7.0-magnitude quake that shook Jakarta on September 2, causing high-rise buildings to sway, according to Reuben Carder, a reporter with Dow Jones.
Member Since: October 18, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
481. Orcasystems
12:47 PM GMT on October 16, 2009
Blog Update
Reflector site for those at work, includes Dr. Masters & Weather456, daily update.

Seismic Monitor

AOI

AOI
Seismic Monitor
Humor in Comments
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
480. IKE
12:47 PM GMT on October 16, 2009
Quoting superpete:
Do you have a link to that model you could post? Thanks & good morning


Link


Quoting BobinTampa:
good morning all. Front heading my way Ike. 75 and no humidity tomorrow. I believe I'll find me a golf course that needs some company.



It's on the way. 68 here now and getting cooler.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
479. BobinTampa
12:38 PM GMT on October 16, 2009
good morning all. Front heading my way Ike. 75 and no humidity tomorrow. I believe I'll find me a golf course that needs some company.

Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 539
478. mikatnight
12:37 PM GMT on October 16, 2009
Upcoming Votes
Commerce, Justice, Science, and Related Agencies Appropriations Act, 2010 - H.R.2847

The Senate is expected to conclude work on this $64.9 billion legislation funding the Justice Department, Commerce Department, National Science Foundation and related agencies and programs.



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Energy and Water Development and Related Agencies Appropriations Act, 2010 - H.R.3183

The Senate is also expected to approve this $33.5 billion bill funding the Department of Energy, Army Corps of Engineers and related agencies and programs for FY 2010.



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bay Area Regional Water Recycling Program Expansion Act of 2009 - H.R.2442

The House is scheduled to vote on this bill that is intended to help address California’s cycles of drought and reduce dependence on water from the troubled Bay-Delta ecosystem.



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2010 - H.R.2892

The House is expected to vote on the conference report of this $42.8 billion bill funding the Department of Homeland Security.
Member Since: October 18, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
476. superpete
12:11 PM GMT on October 16, 2009
Quoting portcharlotte:


The ECMWF actually does show a cyclone in the Caribbean on the 23rd of October....This is the first time I have seen that in a while
Do you have a link to that model you could post? Thanks & good morning
Member Since: October 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 689
475. IKE
12:00 PM GMT on October 16, 2009
Cold frontal passage at my house.

Panhandle of Florida...bye-bye summer.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
474. TheCaneWhisperer
11:55 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
#473

Pretty crazy weather going on.

It seems as if mother nature is re-writing her novel.
473. pearlandaggie
11:36 AM GMT on October 16, 2009

Member Since: September 14, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
471. IKE
11:34 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
"""He was in a box. In the attic. The whole time.

"I played with my toys and took a nap," Falcon told a group of reporters outside his home Thursday afternoon.

"He says he was hiding in the attic," said Falcon's father, meteorologist Richard Heene, clutching his son. "He says it's because I yelled at him. I'm sorry I yelled at him."

But in a later interview with CNN's "Larry King Live," Falcon said he heard his parents call for him from the garage. When asked by his father on-air why he didn't respond, the boy replied, "You guys said we did this for the show."

When Heene was pressed by Wolf Blitzer, who was filling in for King, to explain what his son meant, he became uncomfortable, finally saying he was "appalled" by the questions. He added that Falcon was likely referring to all the media coverage."""............


"appalled by the questions"? Then why are you on national TV?



We built forts in trees. Balloon boy hangs out in the attic.......
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
470. 954FtLCane
11:31 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Quoting presslord:
954...the boy himself pretty well admitted as much on Larry King last night...


You mean the slip up..... I bet his father made him sleep in the attic after that comment
Member Since: September 30, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 108
469. presslord
11:29 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
954...the boy himself pretty well admitted as much on Larry King last night...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10492
468. 954FtLCane
11:29 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Quoting 954FtLCane:
(boy in a ballon)...Honestly the more and more I see this story the more I think it was a publicity stunt... oh by the way the family also participated in wife swap.... call me a cynic but... hmnmmmmmm ... there's just something fishy.. I may be wrong but...hmmm

#314.. and yes a big hoax
Member Since: September 30, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 108
467. 954FtLCane
11:27 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Quoting 954FtLCane:
(boy in a ballon)...Honestly the more and more I see this story the more I think it was a publicity stunt... oh by the way the family also participated in wife swap.... call me a cynic but... hmnmmmmmm ... there's just something fishy.. I may be wrong but...hmmm

Just re-quoting myself from yesterday right after they found the boy.....
Member Since: September 30, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 108
466. presslord
11:27 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Quoting leftovers:
okay get the cobwebs out of your eyes and tell me are we going to get anything?


Yes!!! I am going to get a cup of coffee...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10492
465. PensacolaDoug
11:25 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
G'morn all. Big changes commin! Cool weather is a wonderful thing!
Member Since: July 25, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 581
463. WxLogic
11:00 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
A quick good morning... heading out soon.

We will have to watch out the frontal boundary once it clears FL and stalls in the NW Carib. for possible development in the next couple weeks, while we still have a upward MJO.
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 4977
462. portcharlotte
10:56 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Quoting leftovers:
aqua and other bloggers tgif finally long week anything on the models?


The ECMWF actually does show a cyclone in the Caribbean on the 23rd of October....This is the first time I have seen that in a while
Member Since: September 7, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 703
460. portcharlotte
10:43 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Quoting Weather456:
Good Morning

Blog Update

About Weather456

Hurricane Omar one year later

Tropical Storm Rick and Typhoon Lupit



Cavin, that is a very nice biography. You sound like a nice young man with many goals of life ahead of you. I spent 14 years in the NWS as a Met Tech but never got my bachelor's degree. That was a huge mistake but life has it's reasons. I am glad you finished college and you should go forward...

By the way, I hve been to St. Kitts many years ago on a Windjammer Cruise. I actually was on the Fantome, a sailing ship that went down in Hurricane Mitch off Nicaragua.

Member Since: September 7, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 703
459. aquak9
10:20 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
g'morning wu bloggers

no leftovers, it's fred we're still waiting for here in florida

other side of the world stil grumbling; 6.5 off the coast of indonesia, depth around 34.5 miles.



Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 169 Comments: 26126
457. Cavin Rawlins
10:11 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Good Morning

Blog Update

About Weather456

Hurricane Omar one year later

Tropical Storm Rick and Typhoon Lupit


Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
456. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
9:29 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Typhoon 2000 - Advisory

The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast has changed slightly, showing LUPIT resuming its WNW or Westward track as a new High Pressure Steering Ridge off Taiwan develops, driving LUPIT towards Extreme Northern Luzon between Monday to Wednesday (Oct 19-21). *Initial Impact Forecast (IIF): LUPIT shall make landfall over Cagayan on Wednesday evening, Oct 21 and exit thru Ilocos Provinces early Thursday morning (Oct 21) - a track similar to the recent Typhoon PARMA (PEPENG).
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45739
455. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
9:26 AM GMT on October 16, 2009


Going to live up to its name meaning "cruel and viciousness"
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45739
454. apocalyps
9:11 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Still one major hurricane to come
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 960
453. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
8:50 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
National Hurricane Center
Tropical Cyclone Warning #3
TROPICAL CYCLONE RICK (EP202009)
9:00 AM UTC October 16 2009
=======================================

Subject: "Rick" continues to intensify quickly and is expected to become a hurricane later today

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Rick (994 hPa) located at 12.5N 98.7W or 275 NM south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico has sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west-northwest at 8 knots

Gale/Storm Force Winds
================
55 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 12.7N 099.6W - 70 knots (SSHS-1 Cyclone)
24 HRS: 13.3N 101.1W - 80 knots (SSHS-1 Cyclone)
48 HRS: 14.4N 105.6W - 100 knots (SSHS-3 Cyclone)
72 HRS: 16.0N 110.0W - 115 knots (SSHS-4 Cyclone)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45739
452. tornadodude
7:35 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8360
451. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
7:22 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (T0920)
15:00 PM JST October 16 2009
================================

Subject: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Lupit (980 hPa) located at 13.8N 136.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The storm is reported as moving west-northwest at 17 knots

RSMC Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Storm-Force Winds
=================
50 NM from the center

Gale-Force Winds
================
200 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=====================
24 HRS: 15.1N 133.0E - 70 kts( CAT 3/Strong Typhoon)
48 HRS: 15.8N 132.0E - 80 kts (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon)
72 HRS: 16.3N 130.7E - 85 kts (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45739
450. TampaSpin
7:07 AM GMT on October 16, 2009


Fall Classic or Winter Classic Update
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20443
449. Manhattancane
6:06 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Quoting AwakeInMaryland:

Quiet season, quiet in the blog.
Hurricane Bill had me worried; I was afraid our east coast beaches would be decimated. The "invisible shield" saved us this year.
Now it's just this nasty yucky gloomy cold.
On the topic of the north pole ice melting -- I heard that similar conditions existed in the 1700s, that explorers could get through. So that gives me some small hope that it's cyclical, that we haven't destroyed the planet (yet). I don't know enough to get into an intelligent climate change discussion. I just hope science and good will can make things better.


Wikipedia has articles on the Northwest and Northeast passages, for someone who likes history more than I. It wasn't open w/o icebreakers till 3 years ago was it? All I know is they first got through both in the 1800s. Maybe they did it by embeding the ship into the moving ice, like the Fram? Unless they had icebreakers in the 1800s?
Member Since: August 24, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 72
448. presslord
5:51 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Quoting Chicklit:
Hey, while it's slow, i hope you don't mind if I put in a little plug for my very good friend, Mary Gauthier: Song writer and activist.
img src="" alt="" />


cool
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10492
447. Chicklit
5:39 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Hey, while it's slow, i hope you don't mind if I put in a little plug for my very good friend, Mary Gauthier: Song writer and activist.
img src="" alt="" />
Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11358
446. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
5:33 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
once lighting is present in TC the process has already begun rapid deepening follows the more lighting the deeper it will become once lighting decreases pressure fall slows down

the lighting would have to be intense with muti-rapid firing discharges for a duration of the early stages of the storm possibly at a min. of twelve hours for any noticable result
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54630
445. xcool
5:31 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
atmoaggie ,,,,thunder and lightning here
Member Since: September 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15684
444. atmoaggie
5:27 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
443: Sweet plot!

That is something we could look at in the case of a TC expected to be undergoing intensification. There have been some studies showing that an uptick in TC lightning leads to intensification in most cases (sometimes with a lead time of 24 hours).

That is if we don't forget what a TC in the Atlantic looks like.

A pretty good amount of lightning around Rick, but I don't know how what we are seeing compares to that for a precursor to intensification...tho it is in the forecast.
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
443. xcool
5:19 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Member Since: September 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15684
442. xcool
5:10 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
very bad weather !!!
Member Since: September 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15684
441. atmoaggie
5:05 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Speaking of NOx, a fair bit being generated by all of this lightning. A bit wild how much there is now, really.



Just got a lot more frequent in the last 20 minutes.

If you have been driving along the I-10/I-12 corridor in the last 30 minutes, bad move, wasn't it?

Cannot go to bed with something like this approaching. But now starting to head south of me. G'Nite.
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
440. Chicklit
5:02 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
/>
meeting deadlines at work can be compared to giving birth. today was my big day and we all did it together. just sharing that cuz i'm basically worn out after weeks of effort...anyhow. Dr. Masters sounds like he still thinks something could stir up in the Caribbean. But sure doesn't look like it's gonna happen tonight. peace all. and prayers for the filipinos. oh yeah, and thank god they found little falcon. it doesn't matter how or where. he made it. and to me, that is a miracle to be celebrated. goodnight! and sweet dreams of beautiful places. :)
Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11358
439. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
4:55 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Quoting Orcasystems:


Just for you :)
Link
here is latest radar info
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54630
438. Chicklit
4:53 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
when geek discussions are the main course you know the season's a bust...cane season '09 didn't happen. just as well. i got more work done.
Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11358
437. Orcasystems
4:43 AM GMT on October 16, 2009
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
no snow here yet


Just for you :)
Link
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511

Viewing: 487 - 437

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
52 °F
Overcast