Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Question for 456 or Drakoen,When you think is the timeframe for this to be tagged as a invest?

Invests tagging is subjective, so if I tell you it should be tagged a certain day then this is my thinking which independent of how the wave looks and what the NHC is thinking.

If the models continue to be consistent and we get some support from the EURO along with satellite presentations, then early next week. Otherwise, no invest 92L.

Quoting Weather456:


also I think it's relevant enough to the current wave in the current situation. if we want to connect this to seasonal activity then that will be something else...as for now, we are more concern whether the wave will develop or not.

True enough. The more development that occurs, the greater the moisture impact will be across the Windward and Leeward Islands.

Now I get it. I never use the /-. Only the ! when warranted.

Why anyone would read based on a filter based on the opinion of anonymous individuals is beyond me.

And, really, that should be the default setting.

Quoting amd:


In the year 2000, even though a tropical depression did form just off the coast of Africa toward the end of June, the first named storm did not form until August 3rd.

Of course, that would be the first of 15 storms to form that year, which is another example that confirms the notion that the season does not need to be active in June or July, in terms of named systems, to be an active season overall.

Yup.

Quoting Seastep:
Now I get it. I never use the +/-. Only the ! when warranted.

Why would anyone read based on a filter based on the opinion of anonymous individuals is beyond me.

And, really, that should be the default setting.

I've got mine set on "Show All". I know most of my posts don't show up because those folks that hit "-" with me each time I post. Oh well!

Quoting ElConando:


What?

When?

Water vapor imagery shows the mid-low level flow is from the southeast to northwest near the ITCZ. It supports the wnw motion models are showing.

Quoting Seastep:
Now I get it. I never use the +/-. Only the ! when warranted.

Why would anyone read based on a filter based on the opinion of anonymous individuals is beyond me.

And, really, that should be the default setting.

I actually use the +/- option quite a bit.

I mostly use it to + people that are not trolling and for some reason are hidden from view when I am in not signed onto WU.

looking at the wv wave at 30 west does have alot of moisture to work with atm so it could have a chance to become 92l right ?

Quoting amd:


I actually use the +/- option quite a bit.

I mostly use it to + people that are not trolling and for some reason are hidden from view when I am in not signed onto WU.

Never thought about that. That would be a good reason.

This Texas storm was showing 120mph winds+ a few frames back.

Link

Quoting 7544:
looking at the wv wave at 30 west does have alot of moisture to work with atm so it could have a chance to become 92l right ?

Yes. Shear is favorable in the near-term (next several days).

Quoting Seastep:
Now I get it. I never use the /-. Only the ! when warranted.

Why anyone would read based on a filter based on the opinion of anonymous individuals is beyond me.

And, really, that should be the default setting.

Most of the time I keep mine on show all and only "ignore" the trolls that aren't entertaining. Come the peek of the season and a couple storms popping I can crank it up pretty high. Cuts out a lot of background noise. I also make it my business to lurk as I know very little that is helpful to anyone else.

Thanks 456 and Drakoen for the answers to the invest question.

I want to say that discussions about different thinking of the tropics is enlighting and educational to those who dont know a lot about the theme of tropical waves / surface troughs that Levi and Drakoen did earlier.

491 Homelesswanderer

Interesting tidbit. I noticed that some of the hurricane symbols on Kermit are "backwards". I'm assuming these are all storms flown in the southern hemisphere where they turn clockwise? Pretty neat.

Evening everyone......do we have a likely invest coming.....is it the one at 40W as i said this morning......i just got home

Quoting Ossqss:
525 ATMO

Thanks for the insight.

Let's test it :)

A study: The temperature rise has caused the CO2 Increase, not the other way around

It works both ways. The fact that rising temperatures can create a massive release of CO2 from the oceans as it is less able to hold CO2 when warm presents a dangerous positive feedback. If global temperatures didn't warm after CO2 levels rose then this would defy the laws of physics which requires a balance in the net radiation budget that we learned about in the 18th century.

Quoting MrsOsa:
491 Homelesswanderer

Interesting tidbit. I noticed that some of the hurricane symbols on Kermit are "backwards". I'm assuming these are all storms flown in the southern hemisphere where they turn clockwise? Pretty neat.

whats Kermit?

Quoting SiestaKeySam:


Yes, it breaks it apart, and then it continues it on a WNW movement.

Oh no, Haiti?!

Quoting KoritheMan:


True enough. The more development that occurs, the greater the moisture impact will be across the Windward and Leeward Islands.

However, if the wave doesn't develop, it will hit Venezuela.

Quoting Walshy:
This Texas storm was showing 120mph winds+ a few frames back.

Link

Washy, this storm is in Kansas :o)!!

Quoting gator23:

whats Kermit?

a hurricane hunter aircraft

Quoting WinterAnalystwx13:
All quiet in WUland...

It's WUnderland. :P

what's kermit?

A hurricane plane that they send into the eye of hurricanes to gather measurements.

Quoting TampaSpin:
Evening everyone......do we have a likely invest coming.....is it the one at 40W as i said this morning......i just got home

Turn on the TV the Marlins are killing you.

Turn up yur speakers, and get some Excersise!!!

Nope i don't see anything really out there.....sorry i thought someone was talking about an Invest.........just jumped to conclusions....LOL

Quoting Baltimorebirds:
What dose atm stand for.Anyway I still think we have a chance of getting Alex maybe mid-late june.This blog needs a storm to track to keep everyone focus.

at the moment = atm

Quoting gator23:


Turn on the TV the Marlins are killing you.

YA, yA I SEEN that.....Just a bad game...they all have them....Just look at the win/loss record.....and who has the best of them all.

Quoting gulfcoastdweller:
since the BP stock is down, causing the Brits to lose their retirement funds and we all know they are ticked off at Obama, do you think they will beat us like a rented mule tomorrow in the World Cup?

All 100 million of them are ticked off at Obama.
1.Why
2.They would have beat us anyway.

Quoting MrsOsa:
491 Homelesswanderer

Interesting tidbit. I noticed that some of the hurricane symbols on Kermit are "backwards". I'm assuming these are all storms flown in the southern hemisphere where they turn clockwise? Pretty neat.

That is neat! Didn't notice that before. :) Didn't notice A LOT of things til I zoomed in on it. Like the one that says EPAC. Guess that answered my question about flying through other basins. Lol. Nothing gets by me. :)

TampaSpin come now you know doooo lmao

Quoting AstroHurricane001:


It works both ways. The fact that rising temperatures can create a massive release of CO2 from the oceans as it is less able to hold CO2 when warm presents a dangerous positive feedback. If global temperatures didn't warm after CO2 levels rose then this would defy the laws of physics which requires a balance in the net radiation budget that we learned about in the 18th century.

I agree that it is all about radiation for sure :)

I just keep thinking of those bugs and flowers found (DNA verified) at the bottom, in the mud, of the deep ice core samples from Greenland. Then again, the tree remnants on the northern shores of the same, create similar questions.

L8R out>

Unstoppable Solar Cycles

Quoting gator23:

Just look at the world series record who has the best of them all.

wow talk about living in the past lol

Quoting gator23:

You play us 2 times a year and you choke.

Take the crap talking on sports elsewhere, it really looks out of place here

gator23 lmao