Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Freeze line near Brownsville on that one, and deep into NW gulf

This is the 2nd day in a row this clear streak has set up over the Houston/Galveston area. Weird. As if something is slicing the clouds up and clearing them out

Quoting ncgnto25:


You mean the one that both sides skew data for their own arguments and only seriously read information that they agree with? I have to say that on an issue that should be completely neutral as far as what you believe with all the differing data, the political alignment-Global Warming proponents to the left-opponents to the right- is amazing. Whom is thinking for whom?

It's only political because the contrarians make it so. Allow me to summarize the situation as it stands and how we got here:

Step #1) Scientists--vast numbers of them--get together and propose a theory along with mountains of supporting data.

Step #2) Policymakers--whose job, you see, is to make policy--look at that theory and those data and say, "Wow, we better act, and act quick!"

Step #3) The fossil fuel industries--along with other groups and individuals who stand to profit the most by maintaining the current energy paradigm--say, "Hold on a minute; how do we know the data's right?"

Step #4) The scientists respond, "Here, let us show you how right it is."

Step #5) The fossil fuel folks go into panic mode: "Do you realize what this will mean for our bonuses?! Our stockholders?! Our CEOs?!!!!! We must do what we can to stall any action to curb the mess we've made!!!"

Step #6) The scientists say, "Just thought you guys should know that we've found tons more data, made millions more measurements, and we're now even more convinced than ever that the amount of CO2 being pumped into the air by the burning of fossil fuels is rapidly heating up the planet."

Step #7) The fossil fuel guys, still panicking, spring into action: they dig deep into their pockets to create a massive smokescreen of doubt, while at the same time bribing financially supporting the campaigns of non-scientific policymakers who are cozy with fossil fuel interests.

Step #8) Those policymakers then say, "You know, on second thought, let's not be too hasty; those scientists have been wrong before and may be now, so let's go on the assumption that nothing's happening, whattaya say?"

Step #9) Scientists say, "Well, the thing is, something is happening: the globe is warming rapidly and CO2 is the primary cause."

Step #10) The mostly uneducated masses look on and say, "Gee, both sides are being awfully political. That surely means both arguments are equally valid, so now I'm really confused.:

That's a gross oversimplification, of course, but it sounds about right to me. How about you?

Quoting Jeff9641:
THis has Tornado Outbreak written all over it!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/fp0_228.shtml

Seems to me though that those forecast maps show a tornado risk in the mid-South rather than FL, for example.

Quoting Neapolitan:

It's only political because the contrarians make it so. Allow me to summarize the situation as it stands and how we got here:

Step #1) Scientists--vast numbers of them--get together and propose a theory along with mountains of supporting data.

Step #2) Policymakers--whose job, you see, is to make policy--look at that theory and those data and say, "Wow, we better act, and act quick!"

Step #3) The fossil fuel industries--along with other groups and individuals who stand to profit the most by maintaining the current energy paradigm--say, "Hold on a minute; how do we know the data's right?"

Step #4) The scientists respond, "Here, let us show you how right it is."

Step #5) The fossil fuel folks go into panic mode: "Do you realize what this will mean for our bonuses?! Our stockholders?! Our CEOs?!!!!! We must do what we can to stall any action to curb the mess we've made!!!"

Step #6) The scientists say, "Just thought you guys should know that we've found tons more data, made millions more measurements, and we're now even more convinced than ever that the amount of CO2 being pumped into the air by the burning of fossil fuels is rapidly heating up the planet."

Step #7) The fossil fuel guys, still panicking, spring into action: they dig deep into their pockets to create a massive smokescreen of doubt, while at the same time bribing financially supporting the campaigns of non-scientific policymakers who are cozy with fossil fuel interests.

Step #8) Those policymakers then say, "You know, on second thought, let's not be too hasty; those scientists have been wrong before and may be now, so let's go on the assumption that nothing's happening, whattaya say?"

Step #9) Scientists say, "Well, the thing is, something is happening: the globe is warming rapidly and CO2 is the primary cause."

Step #10) The mostly uneducated masses look on and say, "Gee, both sides are being awfully political. That surely means both arguments are equally valid, so now I'm really confused.:

That's a gross oversimplification, of course, but it sounds about right to me. How about you?

Step #11
hay mas gays por culpa del pollo

Forecast Discussion

SPC AC 221621

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1021 AM CST WED DEC 22 2010

VALID 221630Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN CA TODAY TO THE LOWER CO VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING...
A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH NEAR 32 N AND 132 W WILL MOVE INLAND
OVER SRN CA TODAY AND REACH WRN AZ TONIGHT. BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW-MID 50S HAVE OVERSPREAD SRN CA AND SW AZ IN
ADVANCE OF THE PRIMARY BAROCLINIC BAND WITH THE MIDLEVEL
TROUGH...AND THE MIDLEVEL COLD POOL WILL SPREAD INLAND OVER SRN CA
THIS AFTERNOON. COOLING ALOFT AND MAINTENANCE OF THE LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE...ALONG WITH SURFACE HEATING IN CLOUD BREAKS...WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF 250-500 J/KG. DEEP-LAYER
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS IN
THE PRE-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT WHERE INSTABILITY WILL BE QUITE WEAK.
HOWEVER...AT LEAST MARGINALLY FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PERSIST
OVER SRN CA THIS AFTERNOON ON THE CYCLONIC SIDE OF THE MIDLEVEL
JET...AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD BE ENHANCED SOME BY CHANNELED
SLY/SELY SURFACE WINDS TO THE W OF THE MOUNTAINS. ISOLATED
STRONG/DAMAGING GUSTS AND A WATERSPOUT/TORNADO COULD OCCUR THIS
AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL INCREASE
FARTHER E INTO THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY OF SE CA AND SW AZ.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN A BAND ALONG THE COLD FRONT...W OF THE
ONGOING RAIN SHIELD. ISOLATED STRONG/DAMAGING GUSTS WILL BE THE
MAIN SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY...PRIOR TO WEAKENING OF THE
INSTABILITY OVERNIGHT.

..THOMPSON/ROGERS.. 12/22/2010

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1714Z (11:14AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

Record high temperature set at Houston intercontinental...

A record high temperature of 82 degrees was set at Houston intercontinental yesterday. This breaks the old record of 81 set in
1970.

Any thing changed regarding possible southern snow?

Quoting PrivateIdaho:
Hippos LOVE water!

To funny.Hey will we see a purple hippo on the news to day needing rescuing?

Quoting NavarreMark:
Here we go again.

What i'm sayin'.........

Quoting Jeff9641:


It's looking like this will be a SE US event for sure the NE US hard to tell right now. I would say the Macon area could get some snow from this system Sunday.

Our high temperature that day is 52, while in Atlanta it's 39. Such a huge jump in such a short distance. So our snow in Macon will probably be an overnight thing, right (if it does happen)? In Birmingham and Atlanta could be an all day thing?

Quoting Jeff9641:


Look at post# 59! LOL

Exactly what I mean LOL. This place just makes me sad when things other than weather are involved.

Pat are they sending candy to Arizona too?

Quoting Jeff9641:


Look at post# 59! LOL

So Jeff, i'm flying up to SC Sunday morning. Is there a chance I get delayed?

Id check with ones Air Line.

They have Updated Hourly Forecasts for flights.

WU-Charleston, South Carolina Forecast

Remembering Meteorologists Nash Roberts

Posted on December 21, 2010 at 7:46 PM

WWLTV's half hour special on the life and career of Nash Roberts.

Quoting WeatherfanPR:
I have a friend missing in Tampa, FL. since December 15, 2010. His name is Emilio J. Martinez Rodriguez. Please if you know something call the Police.

see the link below for more info.:

Link

I saw that on the news here, we are paying that the guy seen on camera will give himself up and tell the family what happened.

Cant go wrong with Re-runs.

LOL

Quoting NavarreMark:


Hello Canes. You'd think people never saw snow before.

Hi Mark. Tell me about it lol

Quoting Neapolitan:

It's only political because the contrarians make it so. Allow me to summarize the situation as it stands and how we got here:

Step #1) Scientists--vast numbers of them--get together and propose a theory along with mountains of supporting data.

Step #2) Policymakers--whose job, you see, is to make policy--look at that theory and those data and say, "Wow, we better act, and act quick!"

Step #3) The fossil fuel industries--along with other groups and individuals who stand to profit the most by maintaining the current energy paradigm--say, "Hold on a minute; how do we know the data's right?"

Step #4) The scientists respond, "Here, let us show you how right it is."

Step #5) The fossil fuel folks go into panic mode: "Do you realize what this will mean for our bonuses?! Our stockholders?! Our CEOs?!!!!! We must do what we can to stall any action to curb the mess we've made!!!"

Step #6) The scientists say, "Just thought you guys should know that we've found tons more data, made millions more measurements, and we're now even more convinced than ever that the amount of CO2 being pumped into the air by the burning of fossil fuels is rapidly heating up the planet."

Step #7) The fossil fuel guys, still panicking, spring into action: they dig deep into their pockets to create a massive smokescreen of doubt, while at the same time bribing financially supporting the campaigns of non-scientific policymakers who are cozy with fossil fuel interests.

Step #8) Those policymakers then say, "You know, on second thought, let's not be too hasty; those scientists have been wrong before and may be now, so let's go on the assumption that nothing's happening, whattaya say?"

Step #9) Scientists say, "Well, the thing is, something is happening: the globe is warming rapidly and CO2 is the primary cause."

Step #10) The mostly uneducated masses look on and say, "Gee, both sides are being awfully political. That surely means both arguments are equally valid, so now I'm really confused.:

That's a gross oversimplification, of course, but it sounds about right to me. How about you?

First of all, I highly resent your statement that anyone that doesn't believe your scenario 100% is part of the 'uneducated masses'. I have an IQ in excess of 140 and have read and continue to read up on BOTH SIDES. It is difficult to determine what is factual and what is 'spun'. You have obviously bought in to the fact that Global Warming is a fact and man is the cause of it and if we don't do something-we are all going to perish in a blaze of fire, or drought, or starvation (choose your poison). Let's assume that you are correct. What do you plan on doing about it? You can sit here and blog all day about it, insulting anyone that doesn't agree with you, or you can actively do something about it. Don't you get it-nobody in the government is going to do anything because too many people have too many agendas and too much money is involved. The reality is that society moves way too slowly to implement the changes you believe need to be implemented now. So what do you do? You sit here and insult people. Why don't you get out there and volunteer for something and actually do something about it? There are a lot of "green" companies developing new technologies to cut emissions-and a lot of them are doing it because it is the right thing to do to clean up our environment-not because of global warming. How about deforestation? That is such a huge thing for our ecosystem, our global weather patterns cannot help but be disrupted. Your focus should be in the direction of action-not sitting here trying to convince everybody that global warming is man caused. Abengoa is one such green company that is looking to the future. There are many.
Now, you asked me which side I am on. I believe we are in a transitional phase warming the earth, very similar to the one from 800-1100 before the advent of the 'Little Ice Age'. We have been warming since it 'ended' around 1800. The rate of increase in temperature would automatically accelerate with a smaller and smaller icepack because more land is absorbing more heat and not reflecting it. I do not think we caused the warming that began in 1800, and if we are enhancing it at this point, I believe it is minimally. It seems that the pattern would repeat itself and there is evidence that it has many times in the past.
My original point that escaped you was that, with the wealth of information(whether fact, fiction or spun) it seems to me that there should not be a party line division on this subject. And soooooo diametrically opposed!! Why is that?

Sneaux is of the Devil.

Homes in some outer suburbs of Los Angeles are being evacuated as a fierce storm threatens to lash Southern California. Thunderstorms, hail, and even waterspouts and tornadoes are being forecast to strike along the California coastline. Authorities there have ordered the evacuation of 230 homes in foothill suburbs of Los Angeles because of forecasts of more heavy rains on already saturated mountainsides. The evacuation is a safety precaution in case of treacherous mudslides. Public works and emergency agencies have been monitoring the threat of debris flows and mudslides in the communities since last year's Station Fire, an arson-caused blaze that burned away vegetation on 250 sq km of the San Gabriel Mountains. Steady rain has been falling on the area since late last week.

Quoting caneswatch:


Exactly what I mean LOL. This place just makes me sad when things other than weather are
involved.

I apologized and will not comment here more on that subject.

One has the controls to block or ignore any post.

Use them together,use them in Peace

ALL THESE BLOGS ARE YOURS EXCEPT GROTHARS..
ATTEMPT NO BLOGGING THERE

Quoting WeatherfanPR:
I have a friend missing in Tampa, FL. since December 15, 2010. His name is Emilio J. Martinez Rodriguez. Please if you know something call the Police.

see the link below for more info.:

Link

Sorry to hear that. The circumstances around teh disappearance sound bad too. I hope it all turns out ok.

Weather related: How far SOUTH do you think it will snow on the Eastern Seaboard this weekend? Into Florida at all?

Quoting Patrap:
One has the controls to block or ignore any post.

Use them together,use them in Peace

ALL THESE BLOGS ARE YOURS EXCEPT GROTHARS..
ATTEMPT NO BLOGGING THERE

You even have the year correct!!! lol

Snicker...chuckle,,ACK!!

LOL

NEXRAD Radar
Santa Ana Mountain, Base Reflectivity 0.50 Degree Elevation Range 124 NMI

Quoting Patrap:
.."I havent much Time"..,

...Somethings gonna Happen,..Something Wunderful

Congress is actually going to act with the best interests of 'the people' for once instead of their own interests?

(What a pipe dream!)

All of this moisture feed in the west and it is going to rain out and deflect north of us in Albuquerque again. We may get a piece of it. This is why we are high desert.

RE: global warming, i've posted about it before but on a non political level I would like to submit these comments:

-natural climate change is CERTAINLY happening, tree rings and sediment cores tell us that the climate is naturally very 'fickle' and quick to change, at least within certain limits.


-Just because the above is definitely true does not mean we don't influence the climate. We probably do, both by fossil fuel use and by the massive changes in albedo and humidity associated with deforestation , irrigation of dry areas, and habitat loss

-Our digging up and burning fossil fuels, and our habitat/watershed destruction and deforestation, have a lot of environmental and social costs aside from climate change which are causing significant decreases in the quality and quantity of life for humans around the planet, including the United States where most people who are reading this live.

-We can't go back to being hunter-gatherers because there are way too many people. Nor can we keep doing what we are doing because eventually we will 'run out'. Quality and quantity of human life are important to just about everyone, since we are humans. So, it's in our best interest to work for those goals.

-That all being said, it seems quite clear that we should work to reduce our use of fossil fuels and of products that are associated with deforestation/habitat loss, as much as possible... both on an individual level as well as on a societal level.

I know there is a lot of politics involved in HOW we should do this, but I'd rather see people argue about that, rather than whether or not there is a problem. There clearly is!

Fun read about us entering a mini ice age:

Link

Thought this might stir the pot a little for the global warming folks! Enjoy...

I, too, happen to believe the sun plays more of a role in our weather than we lend credence to.