Potentially historic winter storm poised to impact 100 million Americans

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:16 PM GMT on January 31, 2011

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A huge and potentially historic winter storm is taking shape over the Southern Plains today. By the time the storm exits New England on Wednesday night, as many as 50 million Americans may see heavy snows of at least 6 inches or dangerous ice accumulations of 1/4" or more from the massive storm, and 100 million will be affected by the storm. A potent jet stream with strong winds will dive southwards over the central U.S. today, allowing a cold Arctic airmass to spill southwards out of Canada. In front of this cold air, a flow of very warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico will surge northwards, providing copious moisture to fuel snowfall amounts that will likely approach two feet across portions of Iowa and Illinois on Tuesday. The storm could be Chicago's biggest blizzard since January 1999, when a storm dumped 21.6" of snow. Accompanying the heavy snow on Tuesday will be strong winds gusting to 40 mph in Northern Illinois and Northwest Indiana, and a blizzard watch is posted for Chicago. Strong winds in Chicago are expected to generate 14 - 18 feet waves on Lake Michigan, with occasional waves up to 25 feet. A significant coastal flooding event is possible for Chicago, with beach erosion and flooding along Lake Shore Drive. Many major cities will likely receive over 8 inches of snow from the storm, including Kansas City, St. Louis, and Detroit. Perhaps of greater concern is the potential for a major ice storm along a swath from Northwest Oklahoma to Massachusetts. Widespread freezing rain is expected to bring over 1/4" of ice to many major cities, including St. Louis, Indianapolis, Columbus, Cleveland, and Pittsburgh. Some regions could see up to an inch of ice, and widespread power outages due to toppled power lines are likely for millions of people. Damages exceeding $1 billions are possible from this ice storm. In addition, the storm's powerful cold front will bring the potential for severe thunderstorms to the deep South. The NOAA Storm Prediction Center is giving Louisiana and surrounding states a "slight risk" of severe weather on Tuesday, and severe thunderstorms with damaging winds are likely Tuesday afternoon in this region.


Figure 1. Probability of receiving at least 1/4" of ice for the 24 hours ending at 7am EST on Wed Feb 2, 2011. Image credit: NOAA.

Very dangerous Tropical Cyclone Yasi headed for Australia's flooded Queensland
With February nearly upon us, the traditional peak of the Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season is here, and the waters surrounding Australia have been exceptionally active over the past week. We had the year's first two Category 4 tropical cyclones last week, Tropical Cyclone Wilma and Tropical Cyclone Bianca. Wilma passed over American Samoa as a strong tropical storm, and hit Tonga as a Category 3 storm, causing substantial damage to the islands, but no deaths or injuries. Wilma brushed New Zealand, bringing flooding and landslides to the North Island, and was the strongest tropical cyclone to affect that country in fourteen years, according to weatherwatch.co.nz. Tropical Cyclone Bianca skirted the west coast of Australia and dissipated before making landfall. Tropical Cyclone Anthony hit flood-ravaged Queensland, Australia, over the weekend, as a weak tropical storm with 40 - 50 mph winds. Fortunately, Anthony dropped only modest amounts of rain, and no new flooding disaster occurred in Queensland, which is struggling to recover from record floods. As reported in the latest Australian Bureau of Meteorology climate statement and flood summary, the past four months (September - December) have been the rainiest such period in Queensland's history, and the resulting flooding disaster has been Australia's most expensive natural disaster in history.

Queensland is in serious danger of renewed extreme flooding this week from Tropical Cyclone Yasi. Yasi has intensified to a Category 2 storm with 105 mph winds, and is undergoing a period of rapid intensification that is expected to take it to Category 4 strength. Yasi is expected to hit Queensland on Wednesday, probably as a major Category 3 or stronger storm. In addition the storm's damaging winds and storm surge, Yasi will bring torrential rains. The GFS model is predicting that Yasi will dump 5 - 10 inches of rain over a large swath of Queensland, which would likely cause destructive flooding.

One positive note: the European Center model was remarkably accurate predicting the formation of Yasi over a week in advance, so Queensland has had plenty of time to prepare for the arrival of the storm.


Figure 3. Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 23:20 GMT on January 30, 2011. At the time, Yasi was a Category 1 storm with 75 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Jeff Masters

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Evening all...
Still baking hot here in Sydney. Currently @ 00:30 02/02/2011 33.5C with 26% Humidity.
The wind is starting to pick up at Willis Island. Highest wind reading so far are 41kts gusting to 47kts. I'm guessing that was from the 1st squall line that past at 21:52. Current 10mins wind is 35kts gusting to 47kts with 1001.3hPa
The next squall line will pass within the next hour, and wouldn't be surprised if its stronger.
Here is a time line that updates by Local news paper.
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522. beell


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0065
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 AM CST TUE FEB 01 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR E TX...NRN/CNTRL LA...WCNTRL MS...SRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 011246Z - 011445Z

STRONG PV-ANOMALY WAS MOVING INTO E TX/SRN OK AT DAYBREAK. INTENSE
LARGE-SCALE AND MESOSCALE FORCING ALONG THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT HAS
RESULTED IN AN INTENSIFYING SQUALL LINE OVER FAR E TX. 12Z SHV
SOUNDING SUGGESTS THAT STORMS ARE LIKELY SLIGHTLY ELEVATED WITH
ABOUT AN 800 METER STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER. HOWEVER...RECENT
STRENGTHENING OF STORMS AND MOISTENING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE LINE MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS TO ACCOMPANY THE STORMS. MEANWHILE...E OF THE LINE...E-W
ORIENTED WARM ADVECTION DERIVED BANDS OF STORMS WERE
DEVELOPING...PRIMARILY OVER SRN AR AND NRN LA. MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND EFFECTIVE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WERE SUFFICIENT FOR HAIL
PRODUCTION WITH THESE STORMS.

IF STORMS CONTINUE TO THRIVE/INTENSIFY...PARTICULARLY THE SQUALL
LINE...A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY
.

..RACY.. 02/01/2011
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Good morning.

Looks like Ole Man Winter's got his game face on.
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Morning all. Albuquerque foothills have 3-4 inches of snow on the ground and more on the way, but the big story here is the predictions of the coldest temperatures in 50 years for some parts of the state of NM. Albuquerque seems to go below zero about every 20 years lately-January 1971 being the classic with a week of historic lows including -17, the all-time record for the city. Christmas 1990 gave us 3 days of below zero nighttime temps down to -7. The prediction is for -2 to -6 for Albuquerque for Wed. night. Being in February is also very unusual for a storm this strong and cold. After a warm 3/4 of December, we had a very cold January, but it did moderate the second half of the month. Now Feb is off to a very unusual extremely cold start. Highs will be 30-40 degrees below normal.
Where is spring?????

Quoting IKE:
When you see the blue(zero degree line), south of the Florida panhandle...out into the GOM...that's cold..as cold as I've seen it all winter....


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514. IKE
02/01/2011 0633 am

3 miles WSW of Humble, Harris County.

Thunderstorm wind gust m0.00 mph, reported by ASOS.


            Bush Intercontinental Airport reported wind gust of 46
            knots or 53 mph.
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513. IKE

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Statement as of 6:33 AM CST on February 01, 2011


The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Brazoria County in southeast Texas...
Chambers County in southeast Texas...
Fort Bend County in southeast Texas...
Galveston County in southeast Texas...
Harris County in southeast Texas...
southeastern Jackson County in southeast Texas...
Liberty County in southeast Texas...
Matagorda County in southeast Texas...
eastern Montgomery County in southeast Texas...
Polk County in southeast Texas...
San Jacinto County in southeast Texas...
eastern Trinity County in southeast Texas...
southeastern Walker County in southeast Texas...
southeastern Wharton County in southeast Texas...

* until 730 am CST

* at 628 am CST... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
line of severe thunderstorms. These storms were located along a
line extending from 10 miles south of Corrigan to Palacios... moving
east northeast at 50 mph. These storms have a history of producing
wind damage.

* Locations in the Severe Thunderstorm Warning include but are not
limited to Tiki Island... the medical center... splashtown... Smith
Point... Sargent... Rollover Pass... reliant park... Port Bolivar...
Moody Gardens... minute maid Park... Lake Livingston State Park...
Kemah boardwalk... Johnson space center... Hooks Airport... hobby
Airport... La Marque... Kingwood... Kemah... Katy... Jones
Creek... Jersey Village... Jacinto City... Hunters Creek
Village... Humble... Houston... Holiday Lakes... Hitchcock...
Highlands... Hedwig Village... Galena Park... Friendswood... Fresno...
Freeport... First Colony... El Lago... Dickinson... Deer
Park... Dayton... Danbury... Daisetta... Cut and Shoot... Crosby...
Conroe... Clute... Cloverleaf... Cleveland... Clear Lake
Shores... Channelview... Bunker Hill Village... Brookside
Village... Brazoria... Boling-Iago... Bellaire... Baytown... Bayou
Vista... Bay City... Barrett... Bacliff... Angleton... Anahuac... Ames...
Alvin and Aldine.

Please report severe weather to the County sheriff... local police...
or department of public safety and ask them to relay your report to
the National Weather Service.

Lat... Lon 2936 9478 2937 9479 2953 9451 2954 9480
      2978 9474 2970 9496 2910 9514 2934 9473
      2933 9473 2850 9617 2852 9620 2860 9599
      2875 9646 3131 9494 3104 9461 3048 9472
      2957 9436
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Quoting aquak9:


no wonder you ran away from home.
the character might be running back this summer when a cat 3 or 4 is bearing down on the south florida
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508. IKE
When you see the blue(zero degree line), south of the Florida panhandle...out into the GOM...that's cold..as cold as I've seen it all winter....


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ike I looked at my long range, errr well OUR long range. Precip I can agree with, possiblity of thunderstorms, winds, I can agree with...even temps in the upper thirties where you are.

But I don't see another hard freeze event.

But I can't see the streetlights this morning, either, hahaha
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 177 Comments: 26629
506. IKE
Super Bowl weather now....

Dallas Love, Texas (Airport)
Updated: 22 min 35 sec ago







Light Thunderstorms and Snow

27 °F
Light Thunderstorm Snow Ice Pellets
Mist



Windchill:
10 °F

Humidity:
80%

Dew Point:
21 °F

Wind:
31 mph
from the NW




Wind Gust:
40 mph

Pressure:
29.92 in (Steady)

Visibility:
2.0 miles

UV:
0 out of 16

Pollen:
6.80 out of 12
Pollen Forecast new!

Clouds:

Scattered Clouds 800 ft
Mostly Cloudy 1300 ft
Overcast 1900 ft
(Above Ground Level)

Elevation:
486 ft
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505. IKE

Quoting aquak9:
hi ike!! :)

55º here, fogged in like being surrouneded by cotton candy. The street light are but a glow, fuzzy eyesight and surreal...

will we be spared the next cold snap? I think we will.
Looks like the one next week(in about 8 days), may not miss us. Unbelievable winter.

Here's my forecast for later this week....

Wednesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. North wind around 5 mph.

Thursday: A 50 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 45. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Thursday Night: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Friday: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 50. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 41.
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Quoting rossclick:
I now live in SFL, but this is what my parents can expect over the next few days back in Indiana


no wonder you ran away from home.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 177 Comments: 26629
hi ike!! :)

55º here, fogged in like being surrouneded by cotton candy. The street light are but a glow, fuzzy eyesight and surreal...

will we be spared the next cold snap? I think we will.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 177 Comments: 26629
501. IKE
PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
358 AM EST TUE FEB 01 2011

VALID 12Z SAT FEB 05 2011 - 12Z TUE FEB 08 2011

AN AMPLIFIED ERN PAC RIDGE AND DOWNSTREAM E-CNTRL CANADA/CNTRL
CONUS MEAN TROF CONFIGURATION IS FCST TO CONTINUE THRU THE MEDIUM
RANGE PERIOD. WITHIN THIS LARGE SCALE PATTERN THERE WILL BE TWO
PRIMARY SYSTEMS OF INTEREST. THE FIRST WILL BE LOW PRESSURE
TRACKING NEWD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AND ALONG THE EAST COAST FRI
INTO THE WEEKEND... INFLUENCED BY A COMBINATION OF ENERGY EJECTING
FROM THE SRN PLAINS AND SOME NRN STREAM FLOW. THEN DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD... UPSTREAM ENERGY REINFORCING THE MEAN
NOAM TROF WILL PUSH ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT THRU THE PLAINS INTO
THE ERN STATES. MODELS AND ENSEMBLES SHOW MEANINGFUL SPREAD WITH
BOTH FEATURES.

WITH THE WAVE TRACKING ALONG THE EAST COAST THE
ECMWF/UKMET/CANADIAN AND 00Z GEFS/12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEANS FORM A
LOOSE CLUSTER THAT ARGUES AGAINST THE DEEPER AND FASTER 00Z GFS
SCENARIO. GFS RUNS OVER MULTIPLE DAYS HAVE BEEN ON THE FAST EDGE
OF GUIDANCE FROM THE SHORT RANGE INTO THE MEDIUM RANGE. WHILE
THERE HAS BEEN SOME TRENDING AWAY FROM SLOWER SOLNS IN THE SHORT
RANGE... BIASES CONTINUE TO FAVOR TIMING CLOSER TO THE NON-GFS
CONSENSUS.

THE GFS LIKEWISE LEANS TO THE FAST EDGE OF GUIDANCE WITH THE
UPSTREAM SYSTEM HEADING INTO THE EAST LATE IN THE PERIOD AND IS
THUS CONSIDERED A LOWER PROBABILITY OPTION. IN ADDITION TO TIMING
OF THE COLD FRONT THERE IS ALSO UNCERTAINTY OVER HOW MUCH SFC LOW
DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR FROM THE MS VALLEY NEWD THRU THE GRTLKS INTO
SERN CANADA DURING DAYS 6-7 MON-TUE. GFS RUNS HAVE VARIED
CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST DAY WITH THE 00Z GFS STRONGER THAN
PREVIOUS RUNS. ON THE OTHER HAND THE 00Z ECMWF HAS ADJUSTED
WEAKER FROM PREVIOUS TWO RUNS THAT DEVELOPED VERY DEEP LOWS. NOT
SURPRISINGLY GEFS/ECMWF ENSEMBLES ARE SUFFICIENTLY DIVERSE TO
YIELD FAIRLY WEAK SOLNS IN THEIR MEANS. PREFER TO FOLLOW A
CONSERVATIVE APPROACH CLOSER TO THE ENSEMBLE MEANS IN LIGHT OF
GUIDANCE SPREAD/CONTINUITY CHANGES AT SUCH A DISTANT TIME FRAME.

BASED ON THE ABOVE ASSESSMENT THE DAYS 3-7 FCST STARTS WITH A
50/30/20 BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN/00Z GEFS MEAN/00Z
ECMWF. THIS SOLN EMPHASIZES THE MOST AGREEABLE ASPECTS OF THE
LARGE SCALE PATTERN AND ACCOUNTS FOR THE 00Z ECMWF COMPARING
SOMEWHAT BETTER TO CONSENSUS THAN THE GFS. 00Z ECMWF WEIGHTING IS
LIMITED DUE TO ITS SLOWER TIMING OF THE NRN PLAINS-GRTLKS TROF
DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD AND PREFERENCE TO LEAN AWAY
FROM ANY SPECIFIC OPERATIONAL SOLN LATER IN THE FCST.

RAUSCH
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500. IKE
Wow! Look at the trough for next week...in about 8 days....another blast of winter!

6Z GFS @ 192 hours...


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499. IKE

Quoting aquak9:
morning Nea(lifts cuppa)
hi ike

looks like dallas is already getting frozen precip
I worry for my northern friends
the beginning of a long few days
Hey!

54.9 at my location this morning...outside.
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morning Nea(lifts cuppa)
hi ike

looks like dallas is already getting frozen precip
I worry for my northern friends
the beginning of a long few days
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 177 Comments: 26629
A momentary digression: here's another quick story about fracking, a topic discussed here a few days ago. The procedure is supported by some, reviled by others. I'm in the latter camp. Here's why:

Drillers used diesel in 'fracking,' report says

"Oil and gas companies have injected more than 32 million gallons of fluids containing diesel fuel underground without first getting government approval... The investigation found that 12 of 14 companies hired to perform hydraulic fracturing, also known as "fracking," used diesel alone or in a mixture during the five-year period. A 2005 law exempted all chemicals used in hydraulic fracturing except diesel fuel from federal regulations aimed at protecting drinking water."

More...
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13796
As Yasi moves in on Queensland, here at home we're looking at 119 days, 13 hours, and some odd minutes until hurricane season 2011 gets officially underway.

For the month of January, there were 668 record daily high temperatures (469 new, 199 tied) and 646 record daily lows (459, 187). There were 16 days with more record highs than lows, and 15 with more record lows than highs, so all in all the month was pretty evenly matched. And, while we'll have to wait for the January climate report to come out in mid-February to be sure, it's a fair bet to say that January wasn't "the coldest January since 1985", as some had predicted.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13796
Re: all the posts about electric cars and snow storms...

I understand about batteries losing charge in cold weather... I doubt they lose all their charge or the car companies wouldn't sell many electric cars in cold areas. Not that I know anything about that though.

However, a great product idea that would save you in the event of a blizzard in an electric car: thermal blankets for electric cars (not for the whole car, just for the people inside). If you are stuck in a blizzard, crawl inside your little electric sleeping bag and stay most toastie. A little well insulated electric blanket could keep you warm for weeks probably.

I am sure there is some solution for gas powered cars as well. maybe some sort of little stove that could circulate hot fluids from the stove to the balnket somehow.
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491. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Advice #7
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI (14U)
5:00 PM EST February 1 2011
=========================================

At 4:00 PM EST, Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category Three (960 hPa) located 14.4S 154.9E, or 1020 km east northeast of Cairns and 1020 km east northeast of Townsville has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 18 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
======================
30 NM from the center

Storm Force Winds
=================
90 NM from the center in southern quadrant
50 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant
70 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant

Gale Force Winds
===============
250 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
230 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant
160 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant
120 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T5.0/5.0/D0.5/24HRS

YASI IS A LARGE AND POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES A SERIOUS THREAT TO NORTH QUEENSLAND COMMUNITIES

The Cyclone is expected to slowly intensify overnight and continue moving in a west-southwesterly direction.

DAMAGING winds with gusts to 90 km/hr are expected to develop on the islands during Wednesday morning, then extend onto the coast during the day, and further inland across the northern tropical interior overnight.

Between Cooktown and Townsville these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts in excess of 125km/hr late Wednesday afternoon and VERY DESTRUCTIVE with gusts above 170 km/hr between Port Douglas and Cardwell during the evening as the cyclone approaches.

As the centre approaches the coast sea levels between Cairns and Townsville will rise significantly above the normal tide with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low lying areas near the shoreline.

Flooding rains will develop from Cooktown to Sarina during Wednesday afternoon and then extend inland overnight.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
==================================
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal areas from Cape Melville to Sarina extending inland to Georgetown and west of Charters Towers.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal areas from Lockhart River to Cape Melville and for the northern tropical interior.

The Cyclone WATCH from Sarina to Yeppoon has been cancelled.

Forecast and Intensity
=====================
12 HRS: 15.4S 151.3E - 90 knots (CAT 4)
24 HRS: 16.5S 147.8E - 105 knots (CAT 4)
48 HRS: 19.0S 141.3E - 40 knots (CAT 1)
72 HRS: 21.3S 136.5E - 25 knots (TROPICAL LOW)

Additional Information
=======================

Following a period of intensification overnight, Yasi has maintained intensity in the past 6-12 hours. The environment of low shear and good upper level outflow, assisted by an upper low to the south, is conducive for development, however the system is passing over an area of reduced ocean heat content which may be hindering intensification.

Dvorak intensity based on eye pattern [EIR B surround, LG/B elongated eye; VIS 1degree embedded distance but ragged subtraction] both giving DT=5.0, consistent with adjusted MET. Mean winds estimated at 85 knots [top end CI=5.0] supported by SATCON [95 knots 1min mean] as CIMMS AMSU estimates are higher than ADT.

Further intensification can be expected with low shear, upper outflow environment persisting until landfall. How much influence the ocean heat content has on the intensification process remains a factor of uncertainty.

Forecast motion is steady to the west southwest with a persisting mid-level ridge to the south. Models are quite consistent with the forecast motion.

The combined factors of being intense, large, and motion at 18 knots are conducive for greater wave/swell generation to the south of of the forecast track.

With the expectation of being a large and intense system, cyclone intensity may
be maintained further inland than normal.

The next tropical cyclone advice on Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi will be issued at 9:00 AM UTC..
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Quoting RecordSeason:


This color scheme picks up the forming eye pretty well. At this rate it should have full presentation in a few more hours.

Keep in mind this is 10 degree increments.

Even at a few hours old, the latest microwave pass is supportive of your thoughts:

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488. Skyepony (Mod)
Yeah really starting to fill in that SW side..Yasi is out of hand. Size wise, reminds me of Floyd. Found one with Lat lines to gauge size.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 223 Comments: 39358
487. Skyepony (Mod)
A state Game and Fish Commission official says more dead drum fish - but far fewer than the number reported in a previous fish kill - have been found in the Arkansas River near the lock and dam at Ozark, in the same area where thousands of dead fish were found a month earlier. A news release Monday from the wildlife agency said a fish kill spotted Friday involved only about 500 fish, compared with 83,000 in a fish kill reported Dec. 29. G&FC assistant fisheries chief Chris Racey said that, as with the previous fish kill, the University of Arkansas at Pine Bluff will test sample fish. Testing on fish from the Dec. 29 kill did not determine a cause, but ruled out parasites, disease or toxic chemicals.

Day before yesterday it was a fish kill in CO.

There was also a bunch or Peacock over a large area in India..
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484. xcool
Member Since: September 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15684
Quoting Grothar:




I don't know what Australia did to make Yasi angry, but Yasi is really angry.
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It's kicking in.
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Evening all.



Yasi is big enough to cover the entire state of Queensland.... The area between Mackay and Townsville looks to get slammed...
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Quoting Xyrus2000:


May be a hoax. One of the videos has some odd parallax issues and the other video looks like it may have been tracked on top of some footage. Do a search for the video with the word "hoax" added on and you can see for yourself.

Some other things going against this video is that it happened at the Dome of the Rock. THE Dome of the Rock. Israel has crazy security and cameras covering every inch of that part of town, including skyline cameras. And yet, all there is are these videos?

And a clearly visible probe landing in the middle of a populous city on an alien world? Would an alien civilization capable of sending an interstellar probe really allow that probe to be seen given that if the world happened to be inhabited, space-faring, and hostile that they could track it's origins and destroy them? And would they really need to send a probe down so low to get good information? Given the level of technology for interstellar travel, they could easily just remain in orbit and gather information of much higher resolution than even a human walking around on the surface could.

It might not be a hoax. It could very well be an alien probe checking us out. But I tend to give advanced civilizations the benefit of the doubt and assume they wouldn't let us know they were out their unless they wanted us to know.


I agree. People need to think things through a little more, any aliens capable of interstellar race are gonna be pretty dang intelligent. Landing a space probe on Earth in a busy area makes no sense. It would make sense for them to land in say, the middle of nowhere in upper Canada or Alaska, where they can easily slip through detection.


There was a case where an extremely bright light slowly moved about 3 mi away approximately from my house, the craft I couldn't make out because it was emitting a massively bright yellow light and it was also 1 AM, which made it also harder to estimate how far away it was. I was just falling asleep when this happened, and what woke me up was the noise, a sound so disturbing it scared me more then I could ever recall. A which I cannot repeat and don't ever wanna hear again. This was at my home in a semi-rural suburb of Clearwater, FL.

This is 100% all true. I don't do drugs of any kind, have never been on prescription drugs either. I am a healthy and athletic 20 year old male. That being said. I certainly didn't have some experience where my brain and eyes fooled me.

Also, I am a hunter, an outdoorsman, and just all around there's not a lot that can make me scared. I personally have always been skeptical that aliens have been visiting earth in our time. But after that experience I have to say, it was far from human, that's all I know.


In a Universe that is as big as it is, I don't see why there couldn't be aliens, its somewhat ignorant to assume there aren't. Its just its hard to know if what you here and see is real, because unfortunately people love to make up stories and make hoaxes. I don't know why, personally, I don't get a kick out of telling people something that never happened. Its just boring and stupid.


Whatever the case, alien stories have gotten my attention a lot more since that event last summer.
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Yasi is large...like Igor size.....geezzz
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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