Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
|
| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:06 PM GMT on May 09, 2011 | +7 |


| Permalink | A A A |
|
|
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
|
Tropical Blogs
Tropical Weather Stickers®
Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 — Blog Index
LOL...Probably the most true statement ever on this site.
Yeah, my ignore list is infinitely long and it still isn't enough during the heart of hurricane season. :-P
But I guess that's just how the ball rolls. I guess the best thing for us as bloggers to do is keep on posting our info and use that ignore feature when we need it.
He may be a troll, but I don't think it justifies posting his personal data on the site. What are you going to do, troll back? Make his life horrible? That makes you no better than him.
Taz, glad ya got your old name back.....didnt know what to call you before...T&T..just didnt sound right....anyway, lets hope all is good for you now :)
Taz changed names? /leaves in december and comes back in may
Not yet.
Been threatening all day....
it is thanks
Believe me....we're all rooting for ya'll dry Texans.....rain, rain, rain come on......
Hello Pottery, good to see ya. Locals here in Ms seem pretty confident the levees are gonna hold up pretty good.....hoping they're right....now is just wait and see time....
WSI: Multiple US Hurricane Landfalls Expected in 2011
Weather Authority Expects Another Active Season with Gulf Coast Under Greatest Threat .......
Outperforming other, primary, public forecasters on named storms by 25% since 2006, WSI (Weather Services International) predicts 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 intense hurricanes (category 3 or greater). These 2011 forecast numbers are above the long-term (1950-2010) averages of 12 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 intense hurricanes and match the averages from the more active recent period (1995-2010) of 15/8/4. The current forecast is a reduction from the previous forecast made in December for 17 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 5 intense hurricanes.
“We have reduced our forecast numbers to ‘active-normal’ levels since the recent North Atlantic weather pattern has resulted in a cooling of the tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures. Further, the La Nina event weakened a bit more quickly than we first expected, reducing the possibility of a favorable wind shear environment during the upcoming tropical season,” said WSI Chief Meteorologist Dr. Todd Crawford. “We do expect another active season in 2011, although not to the level of 2005 or 2010. However, while we expect less overall activity this year, we do expect a much more impactful season along the US coastline. The US has been spared from any landfalling hurricanes since 2008, and the hurricane drought in 2009 and 2010 is relatively rare in the historical record. In fact, the US has not had a three-year stretch without a hurricane landfall since the 1860s. Further, 80 percent of all years in the historical dataset have had at least one hurricane landfall in the US. Our recent good fortune in avoiding landfalling hurricanes is not likely to last.”
Crawford also indicated that the Gulf Coast was under a significant threat for hurricane landfall in the upcoming season.
“The lack of US landfalls in 2010 was primarily due to a persistent western Atlantic trough that essentially protected the US East Coast from any direct hits. We do not expect this feature to be in place this year during late summer and fall when most tropical storms occur. Further, the Gulf and Caribbean sea surface temperatures are particularly warm this year, and we expect more development in these regions and less in the eastern tropical Atlantic. Storms developing in the Gulf and Caribbean are a much greater threat to make landfall along the US coast than those that develop off the coast of Africa. For this reason, and since our hurricane landfall prediction model suggests sharply increased chances of US landfall in 2011, especially in the western Gulf states, we expect two or three landfalling hurricanes this season. This is not particularly unusual, since historically 43% of years have had multiple hurricane landfalls. The forecast numbers from our model are quite similar to those prior to the 2008 season, when Hurricanes Dolly, Gustav, and Ike impacted Louisiana and Texas.”
Energy traders, insurance professionals and risk managers look to WSI for accurate, timely weather information around the clock and across the globe. The next seasonal forecast update, which will include forecasts for summer temperatures, will be issued on May 24. The next update for the 2011 tropical season will be released on May 25.
About WSI
WSI (Weather Services International) is the world's leading provider of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the energy, insurance, aviation and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. WSI is a member of The Weather Channel Companies and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts with offices in Birmingham, England. The Weather Channel Companies are owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital. More information about WSI can be found at http://www.wsi.com.
don't think we have, and what's the word on pre-season development.
I can see that now LOL
Yep, only a few more weeks before "the season." Someone got a hit though LOL
XD someone needs to organize this.
monster later....Keeper, ya want to expound on that a little ?
Ahhh, gotcha.....but even now looks a little intimidating..
Link
Why is this not on the front page of every single newspaper in the world? Why are official agencies not measuring from many places around the world and reporting on what is going on in terms of contamination every single day since this disaster happened? Radioactivity has been being released now for almost two full months! Even small amounts when released continuously, and in fact especially continuous exposure to small amounts of radioactivity, can cause all kinds of increases in cancers.
One reason no one is reporting on this nor allowed to go inside the exclusion zone nor even measure the waters off of Japan is because of the following compiled by Makiko Segawa, a staff writer at the Shingetsu News Agency. She prepared this report from Fukushima and Tokyo for www.japanfocus.org:
Freelance journalists and foreign media are pursuing the facts, even going into the radiation exclusion zone. However, surprisingly, the Japan government continues to prevent freelance journalists and overseas media from gaining access to official press conferences at the prime minister's house and government
Extrapolation of this forecast, along with continued warming of the equatorial Eastern Pacific, lends credence to the likelihood that such conditions will stick around throughout the month. In short, if any disturbances take advantage of such favorable conditions, we might see our first tropical storm, Adrian, this month.
And this is a bad thing? I don't think that the press should be excluded from the exclusion zone, as it is meant to protect the safety of all citizens, including the press.
xxx
What part of MS you from Eyes? I'm from the coast but we're being put on standby to respond to the flooded areas. I know they're saying the levees will hold, but the state at least is preparing for the worst.
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #15
TROPICAL STORM BEBENG (AERE)
11:00 AM PhST May 10 2011
====================================
Tropical Storm "BEBENG" " continues to move away from the country.
At 10:00 AM PhST, Tropical Storm Bebeng (AERE) located at 20.4°N 122.3°E or 50 km east of Basco, Batanes has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 10 knots.
Storm Signal #1
==============
Luzon Region
------------
1.Batanes
Additional Information
======================
Public Storm Warning Signals elsewhere are now lowered.
However, the western section of Luzon will still experience cloudy skies with scattered rain showers with gradual improvement of weather late today.
The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 p.m. today.
Viewing: 251 - 301
Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 — Blog Index