Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quoting Landfall2004:


AH HA--my first memory, too, as a child of 5 yrs. old. I remember my parents filling the bathtubs up with water--but that is about it. Never realized it crept up the coast, as opposed to a direct hit like Frances and Jeanne.

Thanks (?) for the memory.

My first experience was only a tropical storm (Tropical Storm Hanna at the time... was a hurricane), but I KNOW I'm overdue for a hurricane if I live in the Bahamas...

Quoting Methurricanes:
So everyone guessing the Carolinas, for Franklin, i tend to think we might want to see IF there is a storm before we decide where its going to go in 3 weeks.

We're not saying there, but the southeast coast is at higher risk this year.

Quoting presslord:


Grothar wrote a great first hand account of that

I'll have to ask him about that!

Quoting twincomanche:
I wasn't trying to predict anything. I think we are going to see a lot of storms curve out to sea unless things change. Good thing. I still don't see any evidence of GOM storms winding up, however you need to realize that I don't think any forecast more than three or four days out has any validity.

You cannot say that here!!!!! You're right, of course.....but you can't say that....

THE only way think 92L wont be a fish stormn is uless the centre relocate even futher south or it track further west just dont see that happening thow only time will tell

Quoting ackee:
THE only way think 92L wont be a fish stormn is uless the centre relocate even futher south or it track further west just dont see that happening thow only time will tell

It is only at 11N. That's far enough south to where recurvature isn't set in stone.

Quoting presslord:


You cannot say that here!!!!! You're right, of course.....but you can't say that....

Yeah. Logic can invoke cognitive dissonance.

I wish TD Emily would have come here to the Carolinas, would have made it cooler temporarily.

Quoting KoritheMan:

Even more so than places like Tampa. It won't be pretty when Savannah DOES get hit again.

I remembered I watched "What Could Happen Tomorrow" on Weather Channel. They said Savannah haven't been hit by Category 3 or stronger directly since the 1800's and if a hurricane that is just like Hugo would to hit Savannah, it would be really bad.

Quoting KoritheMan:

It is only at 11N. That's far enough south to where recurvature isn't set in stone.

Closer to 8N if you look at the ASCAT pass tonight. 11 N was from much earlier today and has not been updated.

Quoting presslord:


same reason you can't say "the Virginia's"

I say that, and anyway its impossible to have a hurricane Landfall in West Virginia, Ive heard people come into Rhode island and say "is RI a state?"
I also say The Dakotas


Can anyone see the Trough thats going to curve 92l out to sea, its in Japan, LOL

Quoting ringeaux:


One of my first concerts at LSU...They had some good ones way back then. Springsteen didn't even sell out the first time he was there.

Indeed,,the Pete Maravicch Center was the LSU Assembly Center before he passed.

I saw Boston, Yes, Zep, Bad Company,and some that's kinda fuzzy still so dat list is most likely incomplete.

Great acoustics there.




8mm film to Video, Baton Rouge

Zep in May 77,,

Quoting Methurricanes:

I say that, and anyway its impossible to have a hurricane Landfall in West Virginia, Ive heard people come into Rhode island and say "is RI a state?"
I also say The Dakotas


Can anyone see the Trough thats going to curve 92l out to sea, its in Japan, LOL

predicting hurricane landfall in 'the Carolinas' is about as useful as predicting hurricane landfall in Florida

Quoting presslord:


Grothar wrote a great first hand account of that

I never wrote a first hand account. I wasn't in Savannah then. I just related what my friends told me.

Quoting WoodyFL:


I never wrote a first hand account. I wasn't in Savannah then. I just related what my friends told me.

no...I was referring to the one in 1893

If 92L can't develop before it reaches the Caribbean, it most likely wont develop until it reaches 75W or later. The Easterlies are fairly strong right now and should be for the next 2-3 days. After that, it will have to fight dry air/SAL, a strong downward MJO and possible wind shear. Its chances of development are less than Emily had, but we certainly need to watch it after it distances itself from the stronger easterlies off Africa.

For what its worth, I have a hard time believing it will go north of the islands, unless it develops within the next 3 days.

The path of the 1893 Sea Islands Hurricane as told to me by my grandchildren.

Quoting kmanislander:


Closer to 8N if you look at the ASCAT pass tonight. 11 N was from much earlier today and has not been updated.

Yeah, you're right. I usually just go with the coordinates on here unless I'm doing a thorough analysis.

Quoting kmanislander:


Closer to 8N if you look at the ASCAT pass tonight. 11 N was from much earlier today and has not been updated.

well if 92L is at 8N then this could be the first carrb major storm of the seasons IVAN comes to my it form at a low latitude

Quoting KoritheMan:

lol

How ya doing, Brian?

Not too bad, can't complain. How about yourself?

Quoting twincomanche:
Jefferson Airplane at the Aragon Ball Room. Doors at the Coliseum in Chicago. How's that for a moment in time?

Pink Floyd....Dark Side of the Moon....Atlanta-Fulton County Stadium....1973......and that's about all I'm willing to say publicly about that night...

Quoting twincomanche:
Jefferson Airplane at the Aragon Ball Room. Doors at the Coliseum in Chicago. How's that for a moment in time?

Good resume there as well.

I think 92L will hit Florida. Unless it changes direction.

.

Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
I think 92L will hit Florida. Unless it changes direction.

Probably.

Quoting WoodyFL:



So was I. Look up above. LOL

very nice ;-)

Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
I think 92L will hit Florida. Unless it changes direction.

Yo. look who's back.

Quoting WoodyFL:
The path of the 1893 Sea Islands Hurricane as told to me by my grandchildren.

Wow.I think it's fasinating how you can always see how strong or week a high was becuase of the outline of a hurricanes track.

Quoting Grothar:


Yo. look who's back.

Been celebrating Lucy's 100th B-day. Ate to much chocolate.

Quoting MississippiWx:


Probably.

You probally have me on ignore.But I think that's pretty impossible to forecast so far out.Alot of things could change.

Quoting Grothar:


Yo. look who's back.

somebody was making fun of your age earlier...but I set 'em straight...

Quoting hahaguy:


Not too bad, can't complain. How about yourself?

Decent.

Quoting presslord:
I hope you all have plenty of Valium and Jack Daniels handy for tomorrow's market opening...

Dow is down 200 in pre-mkt trading. AP mkts down around 1.5% in early trading.

Crude is down big time though.

Good thing the GOM is closed for business for a while. As long as that death ridge is there, nothing can take advantage of this:



I guess at this point Texas would take the beating of a major hurricane if it meant the death ridge was gone.

Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Been celebrating Lucy's 100th B-day. Ate to much chocolate.

If only Ethel were still around, she could have helped you. Lucy was cute as a little girl.

Quoting washingtonian115:
You probally have me on ignore.But I think that's pretty impossible to forecast so far out.Alot of things could change.

Pretty sure he was being sarcastic.

Quoting ackee:
well if 92L is at 8N then this could be the first carrb major storm of the seasons IVAN comes to my it form at a low latitude

Too early to start thinking about the Caribbean with this one but the key here will be how long it stays like it is before trying to develop, assuming it does. Ivan was the product of a strong controlling high in the middle of the Atl. but so far this year the high has been off to the NE. That is something else to watch for as the season progresses.

Quoting washingtonian115:
You probally have me on ignore.But I think that's pretty impossible to forecast so far out.Alot of things could change.

LOL. Why would I have you on ignore? I don't ignore good bloggers. :-)

And that post was dripping with sarcasm.

Quoting MississippiWx:
Good thing the GOM is closed for business for a while. As long as that death ridge is there, nothing can take advantage of this:



I guess at this point Texas would take the beating of a major hurricane if it meant the death ridge was gone.

Thank you Captain Obvious, LOL :P

Saturday was the 36th straight triple-digit day, a streak second only to the 42-day record 31 years ago.

Pat - did you see Zep at the Maravich when they came?

Quoting KoritheMan:

Pretty sure he was being sarcastic.

I didn't see the sarcastic flag.

Quoting presslord:



somebody was making fun of your age earlier...but I set 'em straight...

Thanks, press. I do the "old jokes" here. It's like Groucho stealing from Jack Benny.

Quoting DFWjc:


Thank you Captain Obvious, LOL :P

:-D

Quoting Grothar:


If only Ethel were still around, she could have helped you. Lucy was cute as a little girl.

Early in her career, she was in a Three Stooges short.

Quoting KoritheMan:

Decent.

Hey, Kori, nice blog the other day. Do more.

Quoting Methurricanes:

Why people say New England, no one care, why cant we say the carolinas?

Because if you say it three times fast he turns into Presslejuice.