We received rain most of the day yesterday and again today from Invest 95L. The visibility and flooding were pretty bad during the evening commute home. My street is totally under water. Most folks had enough sense to drive slow as conditions made it necessary to take it easy.
This is my street - it was slow going to get home. I don't recall ever driving thru so much and such deep water before. At times, it was tough to tell where the road was.
We received rain most of the day yesterday and again today from Invest 95L. The visibility and flooding were pretty bad during the evening commute home. My street is totally under water. Most folks had enough sense to drive slow as conditions made it necessary to take it easy.
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interesting area near 10N 45W. there is a 1009mb low in the same area. shear is very hostile at the moment but is expected to relax the next 36 hrs. we could well have 96L the coming days.
For those who say it's been a dull season, I can't agree - it's been extremely interesting to watch all of the different types of formations, some of which absolutely refused to die, even after being declared officially dead.
Watching to see what adventure today will bring.
BTW, pounding rain woke me in Raleigh last night and seemed to continue for most of the night. What the heck was that all about?
The Ostrogoths actually ended the Roman Empire, not the Huns (who did cause indirect effects which led to its demise).
;)
And further to your historical inaccuracies, the 'Little Ice Age' started about a 1,000 years after the Huns.
Plus, now is supposed to be warmer than anytime in the Holocene (or at the very least, the warmest since the Mesolithic)
But hey, don't let that stop you.
Cotillion - you don't want to confuse this issue with facts......
please stop confusing people with facts...
And I guess the folks resigning/stepping down due to "findings based on inaccurate information" (falsified) and the fact that many of the reporting stations are located in improper places (too close to heat sources) has nothing to do with furthering the leftist agenda? Not to mention the hypocricy of the left wanting to force the green agenda down our throats when it's not viable as the ONLY source for energy while they're out living in their huge houses and driving their luxury cars/flying in personal jets (Al Gore, et al). Warming & cooling are cyclical. Not saying man hasn't added some help to it, but the scam that the left is perpetrating on us is nothing more than their way to push through the re-distribution of wealth agenda.
this is very scary weather this morning
Hehe, nice!
Morning Hydrus! On good form, I hope?
And kilgores97, I'm not going to get into American politics. However, I don't think there's any grand conspiracy; neither 'wing' is competent enough to pull such a thing off.
I merely corrected obvious inaccuracies. ;) (That said, maybe Neolithic would've been better to say. Or just simply Stone Age. Whatever.)
Just read the JAX NWS forcast discussion....
Link
Whos in the keys? Are we getting belted or what. I am in Islamorada. Is Key West under water?
Key West, here, yah - I see you all are getting some heavy rain, from Marathon up. Our streets are still pooled with water from two days ago. Last nights rain continuing this morning - I can only imagine how high the water is now - going out in a few to get some pics. Take care and stay safe.
Hi Liberty,
bucketing down with some ripper lightning, we still have power so far
Jacksonville, Florida? I really doubt that; the predicted low is 50 tonight and 47 tomorrow...
first time i have seen an "excessive lightening" issued, in a long time. take care, wish you all the best the day can bring - complete with power and no leaks...
I don't know I don't have school age children but I think there is school in Broward. Monroe County closed schools for today though.
Wild night last night up until about Midnight. At my location in South Ft. Myers winds gusted between
45 - 50 mph while I was trying to go to bed (11:30pm).
Rainfall totals over 5".
Now its time to dry out and feel the cool breeze.
Tides running a couple feet above normal with a strong onshore flow (high surf advisory) over on the west coast.
Ft. Myers beach morning pic.
Can you please provide a link to the page? I'm curious...
I guess i will quote myself lol
Is that the prefrontal squall line approaching the west coast just now (later than expected) Link
No. No it isn't. What you're implying is the existence of a global conspiracy, right up there with the Illuminati and UFOs.
All the research is available, and their methodologies. In most cases, even source code and data are available. Claiming something is a hoax just because you don't agree with it isn't a debate of any kind. Find the flaws. Build your case. Publish.
If you want that type of behavior, go to Wall Street. As has been pointed out repeatedly here and other places, you don't get rich being a climate scientist. If a climate scientist really wants to make boatloads of cash, they go to work for fossil fuels companies.
No, it didn't. The "climate optimum" lasted about 4,000 years from 6000BC to 2000BC, well before the birth of the Roman Empire. Temperature reconstructions for the time period, along with records from that time period do not indicate that world was "much warmer". In fact, it was cooler.
Incorrect. The western Roman Empire collapsed in 476 AD, due to political and economic instability and invading Gothic forces. The Huns were an indirect player. The little ice age did not begin until the mid 1500's, about 1100 years or so after the fall of the Roman Empire.
Incorrect. Temperature reconstructions do not back up this claim. The "climate optimum", which was occurring during that time period, warmed the planet at best by less than half of a degree at maximum (about .4 C). Our current global temperature average has warmed by .75 C over the last century. In fact, it is currently warmer now than it has been at any point during the Holocene.
That has nothing to do with anything. The industrial age began as a result of the progress of human thought and technology, brought on by the discoveries and revelations during the age of enlightenment.
Incorrect.
Mankind has only existed in one other "warm period" and that was when Homo Sapiens showed up about 200,000 years ago. The current inter-glacial began around 10-15,000 years ago, had a maximum about 6,000 years ago, and was cooling off gradually until we hit the 20th century where temperatures have suddenly spiked upwards.
The global population depends on a relatively stable climate in order to survive. Any changes or destabilization of that climate is a cause for great concern. Especially since even small climate shifts have historically caused serious problems for us.
Few flakes gonna fly in the Cumberlands / Smokey Mountains......might get some white caps on them.
Shows the training over S.W. Florida during the day yesterday going into last night.
Along with the heavy rain over the keys.
I live right near the tip of that "spear" of rain pointing into northern Collier/southern Lee. My not-very-reliable home rain gauge says a bit over 6" fell at my place from noon yesterday until now. That's only a bit more than half of what Key West saw this week, but I'll take it...
I live very close to you in Lee County. I had over 5" at my location.
Hey, please don't get get mad at me, please consider what I'm saying...
Ok, so here the deal, I wasn't here to really discuss this last night, but when I said yesterday that the Tampa Bay area was going to miss out on all the heavy activity, it wasn't because the atmosphere didn't support it, I just saw a trend in the atmosphere and went with it.
The fact is, there was no dry air over Tampa Yesterday the warm front did move well north of us, in fact, Central Florida had massive amounts of moisture, including saturation on multiple levels. We had a PWAT up to 2.4 inches yesterday, which is a VERY moist atmosphere. Furthermore, we had all the strong dynamics in place, to support strong thunderstorms and an isolated tornado, as well as strong vorticity from a 999 mb low.
So why was there a gap over Tampa Bay? I have really no idea, all the parameters supported 2 to 4 inches of rain, actually 2 to 4 conservatively, and very strong thunderstorms.
Yet it didn't happen. In a way though it makes sense how the forecast was so wrong, all the atmospheric ingredients came together to support wild weather in Central Florida, just like the models predicted, and just like forecasters expected. The problem is, NOTHING actually became of it, despite everything favoring widespread intense convection.
That is the tricky thing about the atmosphere, you can get all your numbers right, and still be dead wrong.
If your convinced it was cause of dry air, I urge you to do a rewind and find out for yourself. Even if we had half the moisture in the air of what we did yesterday, it would have been well more than enough to support torrential rain and strong thunderstorms, due to strong dynamics. However, we had the atmosphere of a healthy tropical cyclone pulling up over Florida.
Ive also seen cases here where we had low chances of storms in the forecast due to unfavorable conditions for convection. However, for whatever reason, there were massive amounts of showers and storms contrary to what the atmosphere would support.
Now I'm not saying either situation is common, but it does happen occasionally. Personally, I think it reminds us there is so much more going on in weather that we don't understand very well.
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