Top ten global weather events of 2011

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 7:00 PM GMT on December 30, 2011

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A remarkable blitz of extreme weather events during 2011 caused a total of 32 weather disasters costing at least $1 billion worldwide. Five nations experienced their most expensive weather-related natural disasters on record during 2011--Thailand, Australia, Colombia, Sri Lanka, and Cambodia. According to insurance broker AON Benfield's November Catastrophe Report, the U.S. was hit by no less than seventeen punishing multi-billion dollar extreme weather disasters in 2011; NOAA's National Climatic Data Center official total is lower--twelve--but is likely to grow in number as additional damage statistics are tallied. Brazil experienced its deadliest weather-related natural disaster--a flash flood that killed 902 people in January, and the Philippines had its second deadliest flood ever, when Tropical Storm Washi killed over 1200 people in December.





It was difficult to pick a top ten list of top weather events of 2011 from this bewildering list of candidates, and I cheated a bit by giving a tie for tenth place, so that eleven events would make the list. My list of top weather events were chosen based on their impact to society and meteorological significance. Damage estimates and death tolls for the 2011 disasters were mostly taken from AON Benfield's November Catastrophe Report, and records for damages and death tolls from disasters in previous years was taken from the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED.) Here, then, is this year's top ten list. I've included links to some of my blogs posts made at the time of the disaster.

1) East Africa drought and famine: over 30,000 dead
The deadliest weather disaster of 2011 was a quiet one that got few headlines--the East African drought in Somalia, Kenya, and Ethiopia. On July 20, the United Nations officially declared famine in two regions of southern Somalia, the first time a famine has been declared by the UN in nearly thirty years. Almost 30,000 children under the age of five were believed to have died of malnutrition in Somalia this summer, and the total death toll of this great drought is doubtless much higher. East Africa has two rainy seasons--a main "long rains" of March - June, and the "short rains" of October - November. The "short rains" failed in the fall of 2010, and when the main "long rains" in spring 2011 also failed, it brought one of the worst droughts in recorded history. The 2010 - 2011 drought was rated along with the droughts of 1983 - 1984 and 1999 - 2000 as one of the three most significant droughts of the past 60 years. It was the driest 12-month period on record at some locations in East Africa. Damage assessments from the drought are not yet available, but it would not be a surprise if the drought of 2011 was the costliest weather-related natural disaster on record for Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.

December 20 post: Deadliest weather disaster of 2011: the East African drought


Figure 1. Children fetch water at a tap installed by the International Rescue Committee (IRC) in the village of Darssalam in central Somalia. Image credit: IRC.

2) Thailand flooding: most expensive natural disaster in Thai history
Heavy monsoon and tropical cyclone rains from July through October, enhanced by La Niña conditions, led to unprecedented flooding that killed 657 people and caused Thailand's most expensive natural disaster in history. Damages are now estimated at $45 billion by re-insurance company AON Benfield. This is 18% of the country's GDP. Hurricane Katrina cost the U.S. about 0.7% of its GDP, so the Thailand floods can be thought of as a disaster 25 times worse than Katrina for that country. Thailand's previous most expensive natural disaster was the $1.3 billion price tag of the November 27, 1993 flood, according to the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED). The floodwaters this year have hit 83% of Thailand's provinces, affected 9.8 million people, and damaged four million structures and approximately 25% of the nation's rice crop. Thailand is the world's largest exporter of rice, accounting for 30% of the global total, and the flood has helped trigger an increase in world rice prices in late 2011.

November 14 post: Thailand's flood gradually subsiding; climate change increasing Thai flood risk


Figure 2. An SH-60F Sea Hawk helicopter assigned to Helicopter Anti-Submarine Squadron (HS) 14, flies around the Bangkok area with members of the humanitarian assessment survey team and the Royal Thai Armed Forces to assess the damage caused by the 2011 floods. Image credit: Petty Officer 1st Class Jennifer Villalovos

3) Queensland, Australia flooding: most expensive natural disaster in Australian history
Heavy rains from December 2010 through January 2011, enhanced by La Niña conditions and record-warm ocean temperatures, led to unprecedented rains and flooding that killed 35 people and did $30 billion in damage. This was 3.2% of Australia's GDP, and five times more costly than the nation's previous most expensive natural disaster in history, the 1981 drought ($6 billion.) Rainfall in Queensland and all of eastern Australia in December 2010 was the greatest on record, and the year 2010 was the rainiest year on record for Queensland.

January 21 post: 2011: Year of the Flood


Figure 3. Still frame from a remarkable 6-minute YouTube video showing the sad fate of a row of parked cars when a flash flood in Toowoomba, Queensland sweeps away dozens of the cars. A note to the wise: Two minutes into the video, we see a man enter the flash flood to save his car. He is successful, but his actions were extremely risky--most flash flood deaths occur when cars with people inside get swept away.

4) Columbia floods: most expensive natural disaster in Colombia's history
Heavy rains in Colombia reached their peak in late April, triggering floods that killed 116 and did $5.85 billion in damage (2% of their GDP), making it the most damaging natural disaster in Colombia's history. Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos warned: “There are going to be a lot of needy people, there has never been a tragedy of this scale in our history.” Colombia's previous most expensive weather disaster occurred just last year, when the heaviest rains in 42 years of record keeping occurred. Floods and landslides killed 528, did $1 billion in damage, and left 2.2 million homeless in 2010. Colombia's most expensive natural disaster prior to 2011 was the $1.9 billion in damage from the January 25, 1999 earthquake, according to CRED.

5) Tropical Storm Washi: second deadliest weather disaster in Philippine history
Tropical Storm Washi hit the southern Philippine island of Mindanao as a tropical storm with 45 - 55 mph winds, crossing the island in about eighteen hours on December 16. Washi was unusually wet, as the storm was able to tap a large stream of tropical moisture extending far to the east, and drew moisture from an area where sea surface temperatures were nearly 1°C above average--one of the top five warmest values on record. Washi's rains fell on regions where the natural forest had been illegally logged or converted to pineapple plantations, and the heavy rains were able to run off quickly on the relatively barren soils and create devastating flash floods. Since the storm hit in the middle of the night, and affected an unprepared population that had no flood warning system in place, the death toll was tragically high. At least 1249 people perished, and 79 people are still listed as missing. The only deadlier storm ever to hit the Philippines was Tropical Storm Thelma on November 5, 1991, which killed 5956 people.

December 19 post: Tropical Storm Washi kills 632 in the Philippines


Figure 5. MODIS true-color satellite image of Tropical Storm Washi at 01:45 UTC December 16, 2011, as it bore down on the Philippines. At the time, Washi had top sustatined winds of 50 mph. Image credit: NASA.

6) Brazil flash flood kills 902: deadliest natural disaster in Brazil's history
Brazil suffered its deadliest natural disaster in history on January 11, when torrential rains inundated a heavily populated, steep-sloped area about 40 miles north of Rio de Janeiro. Flash floods and mudslides from the heavy rains have claimed 902 lives, including at least 357 in Nova Friburgo and 323 in Teresópolis. Rainfall amounts of approximately 300 mm (12 inches) fell in just a few hours in the hardest-hit regions. Damage estimates are $1.2 billion, making it the most damaging storm in Brazil's history, and third most damaging natural disaster, behind the $2.3 billion and $1.7 billion price tags of the 1978 and 2004 droughts. The previous deadliest flood in Brazilian history was a January 23, 1967 flood that killed 785 people.

January 14 post: At least 611 dead in Brazilian floods: Brazil's deadliest natural disaster in history


Figure 6. Flooded stream in Teresópolis. Image credit: Wikipedia.

7) April 25 - 28 Super" tornado outbreak kills 321 in the U.S.
On April 25 - 28, 2011, a massive tornado outbreak clobbered the Midwest and Southeast U.S. with 343 tornadoes. Now called the April 2011 Super tornado outbreak, it was the largest and most damaging tornado outbreak in U.S. history. The tornadoes caused 321 deaths, with 240 of those occurring in Alabama. The deadliest tornado of the outbreak, an EF-5, hit northern Alabama, killing 78 people. Several major metropolitan areas were directly impacted by strong tornadoes including Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, and Huntsville in Alabama and Chattanooga, Tennessee, causing the estimated damage costs to soar. The outbreak caused more than $7.3 billion insured losses and total losses greater than $10.2 billion.

April 29 post: Over 300 dead in historic tornado outbreak; one violent EF-5 tornado confirmed


Figure 7. The Piggly Wiggly supermarket and Family Dollar store after the EF-5 Hackleburg, Alabama tornado on April 27. Image credit: NWS Birmingham, Alabama.

8) Southern U.S./Northern Mexico drought: $10 billion in damage, and rising
Drought and excessive heat created major impacts across Texas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Arizona, southern Kansas, western Louisiana, and northern Mexico. Texas endured its driest 1-year period on record, and rainfall in much of northern Mexico was the lowest since record keeping began in 1941. Texas had the hottest summer ever recorded by a U.S. state, and Oklahoma had the hottest month (July) any U.S. state has ever recorded. The total direct losses to crops, livestock and timber are estimated at $10 billion, but are expected to continue to rise as the drought continues into 2012. Record fires across the region caused an additional $1 billion in damage.

August 17 post: Texas heat wave smashes more records


Figure 8. Business was slow at the Lake Conroe, Texas jet ski rental in 2011, thanks to the great Texas drought of 2011. Image credit: wunderphotographer BEENE.

9) Pakistan floods: 2nd most expensive weather disaster in Pakistani history
Heavy rains during the July through September monsoon season triggered devastating flooding that killed 456 and did $2 billion in damage (1.1% of GDP) in Pakistan. It was the second most expensive weather-related disaster in Pakistan's history, behind the $9.5 billion price tag of the 2010 floods (5.5% of GDP.)

10 (tie) Hurricane Irene: most damaging tropical cyclone of 2011
The most damaging tropical cyclone on the globe during 2011 was Hurricane Irene, which plowed through the Bahama Islands as a Category 3 hurricane with 120 mph winds before striking North Carolina as a Category 1 hurricane with 85 mph winds on August 27. Most of Irene's damage occurred after it made landfall on Long Island, New York as a tropical storm with 65 mph winds, when torrential rainfall triggered extreme flooding in the Northeast U.S. More than 7 million homes and businesses lost power during the storm. Irene caused at least 45 deaths in the U.S., and ten in the Caribbean and Bahamas. Damage is estimated at $7.3 billion.

December 3 post: Hurricane Irene: New York City dodges a potential storm surge mega-disaster


Figure 9. GOES-East visible satellite image of Irene taken at 7:45 am EDT on Sunday, August 28, 2011. At the time, Irene was a tropical storm with 65 mph winds, making landfall on Long Island, New York. Image credit: NOAA Environmental Visualization laboratory.

10 (tie) May 22 - 27 Joplin, Missouri tornado outbreak
A violent EF-5 tornado carved a ½ – ¾ mile-wide path of devastation through Joplin, Missouri on May 22, killing 158, and causing $3 billion in damage. Huge sections of the town virtually obliterated, and damage from the tornado was so severe that pavement was ripped from the ground. It was the largest death toll from a U.S. tornado since 1947, seventh deadliest tornado in U.S. history, and the most expensive tornado in world history. The six-day outbreak spawned 180 tornadoes in the central and southern states, killed 177, and did $9.1 billion in damage.

May 23 post: Deadliest U.S. tornado since 1953 rips through Joplin, Missouri, killing 89


Video 1. Video of the Joplin, Missouri tornado of May 22, 2011, entering the southwest side of town. Filmed by TornadoVideos.net Basehunters team Colt Forney, Isaac Pato, Kevin Rolfs, and Scott Peake. The most remarkable audio I've ever heard of people surviving a direct hit by a violent tornado was posted to Youtube by someone who took shelter in the walk-in storage refrigerator at a gas station during the Joplin tornado. There isn't much video.

Honorable mentions:
1) Sri Lanka: Heaviest rains in nearly a century of record keeping triggered a 1-in-100 year flood in January that killed 43 and did $500 million in damage--the costliest weather-related disaster in Sri Lanka's history. Renewed rains February 1 - 10 caused flooding that killed 18 and cost an additional $450 million--the second most costly natural disaster in Sri Lanka's history.

2) Heavy rains in September and October in Cambodia triggered flooding that killed 250 and did $521 million in damage--by far the most expensive natural disaster in Cambodian history. The previous most expensive disaster was the $160 million cost of floods in July 2000.

3) El Salvador: Heavy rains from Tropical Depression 12-E in October triggered flooding that killed 140 in Central America and caused $900 million in damage to El Salvador (4.2% of GDP). This is the 2nd most expensive weather-related disaster in El Salvador's history, behind the $939 million price tag of their Nov. 7, 2009 flood.

4) China: June floods in China killed 239, doing $6.65 billion in damage, the 10th most damaging weather-related disaster in Chinese history.

5) China: September floods killed 101 and did $4.25 billion in damage.

6) U.S.: Greatest flood on the Lower Mississippi River on record caused $4 billion in damage.

7) China: A drought in Northern China during January through April cost $2.7 billion.

8) Denmark: Severe flooding on July 2 - 3 caused $1 billion in damage, the 3rd most expensive weather-related disaster in Danish history.

Other posts looking back at the remarkable weather events of 2011
2011: Year of the Tornado
Deadliest weather disaster of 2011:; the East African drought
Tropical Storm Lee's flood in Binghamton: was global warming the final straw?
Wettest year on record in Philadelphia; 2011 sets record for wet/dry extremes in U.S.
Hurricane Irene: New York City dodges a potential storm surge mega-disaster

Donations sought for the East Africa famine
Weather Underground has partnered with the International Rescue Committee (IRC) to help the Horn of Africa region during the ongoing famine. With the help of the Weather Underground community, we hope to raise $10,000 that will go toward helping the refugees survive the crisis. Weather Underground will match the community's donation dollar-for-dollar up to $10,000 for a total donation of $20,000. Please visit the East Africa famine donation page to help out. Ninety cents of every dollar donated goes directly to the people in need.

This will be my last post until Tuesday, as its time to gather with family and friends and celebrate the arrival of the new year. Happy New Year, everyone!

Jeff Masters

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567. AussieStorm
2:04 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
Happy New Year Rio De Janeiro, Montevideo , Brasilia, Sao Paulo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15935
566. AussieStorm
1:56 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
Quoting yacoub:
I'm confused how the Japanese tsunami back in March doesn't even make the honorable mention list. Given it has had arguably the greatest fallout (no pun intended) impact and was certainly devastating to the Japanese economy and ecology, it is curiously absent from the list. Did we just forget about it?

Cause it wasn't a weather event.

I mentioned it.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15935
565. yacoub
1:55 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
I'm confused how the Japanese tsunami back in March doesn't even make the honorable mention list. Given it has had arguably the greatest fallout (no pun intended) impact and was certainly devastating to the Japanese economy and ecology, not to mention the Pacific Ocean habitat, and the Western parts of North America, it is curiously absent from the list. Did we just forget about it?
Member Since: August 28, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 47
564. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
1:45 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #16
CYCLONE TROPICAL BENILDE (04-20112012)
4:00 PM RET January 1 2012
===================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Benilde (968 hPa) located at 16.6S 75.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 80 knots with gusts of 110 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving south southwest at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5/5.0/W0.5/6 HRS

Hurricane Force Winds
=======================
30 NM radius from the center

Storm Force Winds
==================
50 NM radius from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
80 NM radius from the center extending up to 110 NM from the center in the southern semi-circle

Near Gale Force Winds
======================
110 NM radius from the center extending up to 220 NM from the center in the southern semi-circle

Forecast and Intensity
====================

12 HRS: 17.8S 74.9E - 75 knots (Cyclone Tropical)
24 HRS: 18.7S 74.5E - 70 knots (Cyclone Tropical)
48 HRS: 20.0S 73.9E - 50 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)
72 HRS: 20.3E 73.2E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Moderée)

Additional Information
======================

For the last hours, system has weakened. It seems that drier air is wrapping into the southern part of the system. Current intensity is maintained at 80 kt, but for a 3 hours and 6 hours average, DT has decreased at 4.6. Adt is again too high at 5.6.

Within the next 36 hours, numerical weather prediction models are in good agreement. Benilde is expected to move south southwestward towards a weakness in the subtropical ridge. It remains under the steering influence of a mid level ridge located to the east of the system. In relationship with dry air intrusion, there are some uncertainties about the forecast intensity despite rather good environmental conditions. Beyond 36 hours, system should encounter southwestward rebuilding low-mid level high pressures. Numerical weather prediction models diverge about final track. ECMWF is faster and keeps a southward track for a longer time before a clear deceleration, as most of others models forecast a westward tracks with easterly low-mid level flow. Official forecast track is between both options. It is expected that system rapidly weakens by encountering cooler AST and strengthening westerly vertical wind shear.

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Mauritius Meteorological Services on Tropical Cyclone Benilde will be issued at 6:30 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45309
562. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:40 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:
2012 Doomsday Predictions Debunked by NASA

On Dec. 21, 2012, many doomsday believers fear the apocalypse — anything from a rogue planet smashing into us to our world spinning end over end. However, the world should expect nothing more next year than the winter solstice, the longest night of the year, NASA says.

Many people point to the end of the Mayan Long Count calendar on Dec. 21, 2012 as evidence of the coming apocalypse, but astronomers have been quick to stress that there is nothing to be concerned about.

According to the ancient Mayan calendar, next year's winter solstice marks the end of a 144,000-day cycle. This cycle, which begins at the mythical Maya creation date, has already been repeated 12 times. The 13th will end in 2012, capping a full 5,200-year Mayan cycle of creation.

This date has long been shrouded in mystery, with many claiming that it will bring destruction to our planet.

Rogue planet Nibiru?

One fear is that a rogue planet that has been dubbed "Nibiru" or "Planet X" is supposedly aimed at Earth. Self-proclaimed Nibiru expert Nancy Lieder, who says she is in contact with the aliens from Zeta Reticuli, first said Nibiru would cause widespread disaster in May 2003, only to change it to Dec. 21, 2012.

There is, however, no evidence that Nibiru is real.

"Nibiru is ridiculous because it doesn't exist — it never existed as anything other than a figment of the imagination by pseudo-scientists who don't seem bothered by a complete lack of evidence," astronomer Don Yeomans, manager of NASA's Near-Earth Object program office at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif., told SPACE.com.

There is no basis for the claim that it might be lurking behind the sun, as it could not have hidden from observation until now, Yeomans said. If such a planet was headed toward Earth by Dec. 21, 2012, it would already be visible to the naked eye.

Cosmic alignments?

There are also concerns that planets or stars might line up in ways that will transform Earth. For instance, some theorists claim that from our point of view, the sun will cross in front of the plane of our galaxy on Dec. 21. However, the sun already does this twice a year, Yeomans said.

In fact, the sun will eventually cross the plane of our galaxy. However, the sun is about 67 light-years from the galactic plane, so it should take several million years to do so, Yeomans said. Even then, when our solar system finally does cross the plane, nothing special will occur, he added.

Some also claim that gravitational effects from planets lining up with each other will somehow affect Earth. However, there is no planetary alignment due on Dec. 21, 2012, "and if there were, it wouldn't cause any problems," Yeomans said.

The only bodies that have any significant gravitational impact on Earth are the moon and the sun, effects we see as the tides. Tidal effects from other bodies in our solar system are negligible at best, and in any case, we have experienced them for millions of years without notice.

Solar storms?

Solar storms — deluges of energetic particles from the sun — do happen, usually waxing and waning in cycles that last roughly 11 years. When these charged particles collide with Earth, they can trigger auroras and damage satellites and power lines, although not really inflicting any lasting harm, Yeomans said.

There are accounts of a solar "super-storm" slamming into Earth in 1859. Although that caused relatively little damage back then, there are concerns that such a storm might cause far more harm now that our world is more dependent on electronics.

Yet, there is no evidence that such a super-storm will happen on Dec. 21 of next year, Yeomans said.

Flip-flopping Earth?

There is some alarm that 2012 could see the flipping of Earth's poles — either the planet's geographical poles, which mark the Earth's axis of rotation, or its magnetic poles, which our compasses point toward.

But, there is no reason to fear such an occurrence, scientists said, because the moon stabilises our planet's spin. The planet's magnetic poles do flip, but over periods of about 500,000 years, and not suddenly, "but over thousands of years," with no evidence of a flip on Dec. 21, 2012, Yeomans said.

Even if the planet's magnetic poles do flip, no real problems would occur, other than the inconvenience of us having to change our compasses from north to south, he added.

Cosmic impacts?

The Earth is always vulnerable to impacts by comets and asteroids, but giant impacts are rare, with the last major collision taking place 65 million years ago, ending the Age of Dinosaurs.

Still, astronomers do monitor the sky for near-Earth objects.

"There are no known near-Earth objects in 2012 that present a credible risk to Earth," Yeomans said. "None, zero, zip, nada."

But despite evidence to the contrary, doomsdays theorists have garnered attention, and similar prophecies will continue to proliferate unless scientists become more involved in bringing truth to these outlandish claims, Yeomans said.
Mounting hysteria regarding these unfounded doomsday predictions "will improve only if scientists get more engaged in debunking pseudoscience," he said.



MOVE ALONG YEP NOTHING TO SEE HERE


stupid cows



Mooooooooooooo
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53841
561. SPLbeater
1:32 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:
2012 Doomsday Predictions Debunked by NASA

On Dec. 21, 2012, many doomsday believers fear the apocalypse — anything from a rogue planet smashing into us to our world spinning end over end. However, the world should expect nothing more next year than the winter solstice, the longest night of the year, NASA says.

Many people point to the end of the Mayan Long Count calendar on Dec. 21, 2012 as evidence of the coming apocalypse, but astronomers have been quick to stress that there is nothing to be concerned about.

According to the ancient Mayan calendar, next year's winter solstice marks the end of a 144,000-day cycle. This cycle, which begins at the mythical Maya creation date, has already been repeated 12 times. The 13th will end in 2012, capping a full 5,200-year Mayan cycle of creation.

This date has long been shrouded in mystery, with many claiming that it will bring destruction to our planet.

Rogue planet Nibiru?

One fear is that a rogue planet that has been dubbed "Nibiru" or "Planet X" is supposedly aimed at Earth. Self-proclaimed Nibiru expert Nancy Lieder, who says she is in contact with the aliens from Zeta Reticuli, first said Nibiru would cause widespread disaster in May 2003, only to change it to Dec. 21, 2012.

There is, however, no evidence that Nibiru is real.

"Nibiru is ridiculous because it doesn't exist — it never existed as anything other than a figment of the imagination by pseudo-scientists who don't seem bothered by a complete lack of evidence," astronomer Don Yeomans, manager of NASA's Near-Earth Object program office at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif., told SPACE.com.

There is no basis for the claim that it might be lurking behind the sun, as it could not have hidden from observation until now, Yeomans said. If such a planet was headed toward Earth by Dec. 21, 2012, it would already be visible to the naked eye.

Cosmic alignments?

There are also concerns that planets or stars might line up in ways that will transform Earth. For instance, some theorists claim that from our point of view, the sun will cross in front of the plane of our galaxy on Dec. 21. However, the sun already does this twice a year, Yeomans said.

In fact, the sun will eventually cross the plane of our galaxy. However, the sun is about 67 light-years from the galactic plane, so it should take several million years to do so, Yeomans said. Even then, when our solar system finally does cross the plane, nothing special will occur, he added.

Some also claim that gravitational effects from planets lining up with each other will somehow affect Earth. However, there is no planetary alignment due on Dec. 21, 2012, "and if there were, it wouldn't cause any problems," Yeomans said.

The only bodies that have any significant gravitational impact on Earth are the moon and the sun, effects we see as the tides. Tidal effects from other bodies in our solar system are negligible at best, and in any case, we have experienced them for millions of years without notice.

Solar storms?

Solar storms — deluges of energetic particles from the sun — do happen, usually waxing and waning in cycles that last roughly 11 years. When these charged particles collide with Earth, they can trigger auroras and damage satellites and power lines, although not really inflicting any lasting harm, Yeomans said.

There are accounts of a solar "super-storm" slamming into Earth in 1859. Although that caused relatively little damage back then, there are concerns that such a storm might cause far more harm now that our world is more dependent on electronics.

Yet, there is no evidence that such a super-storm will happen on Dec. 21 of next year, Yeomans said.

Flip-flopping Earth?

There is some alarm that 2012 could see the flipping of Earth's poles — either the planet's geographical poles, which mark the Earth's axis of rotation, or its magnetic poles, which our compasses point toward.

But, there is no reason to fear such an occurrence, scientists said, because the moon stabilises our planet's spin. The planet's magnetic poles do flip, but over periods of about 500,000 years, and not suddenly, "but over thousands of years," with no evidence of a flip on Dec. 21, 2012, Yeomans said.

Even if the planet's magnetic poles do flip, no real problems would occur, other than the inconvenience of us having to change our compasses from north to south, he added.

Cosmic impacts?

The Earth is always vulnerable to impacts by comets and asteroids, but giant impacts are rare, with the last major collision taking place 65 million years ago, ending the Age of Dinosaurs.

Still, astronomers do monitor the sky for near-Earth objects.

"There are no known near-Earth objects in 2012 that present a credible risk to Earth," Yeomans said. "None, zero, zip, nada."

But despite evidence to the contrary, doomsdays theorists have garnered attention, and similar prophecies will continue to proliferate unless scientists become more involved in bringing truth to these outlandish claims, Yeomans said.
Mounting hysteria regarding these unfounded doomsday predictions "will improve only if scientists get more engaged in debunking pseudoscience," he said.


doomsday beleivers are entertaining. especially when nothing happens lol
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485
560. AussieStorm
1:25 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
2012 Doomsday Predictions Debunked by NASA

On Dec. 21, 2012, many doomsday believers fear the apocalypse — anything from a rogue planet smashing into us to our world spinning end over end. However, the world should expect nothing more next year than the winter solstice, the longest night of the year, NASA says.

Many people point to the end of the Mayan Long Count calendar on Dec. 21, 2012 as evidence of the coming apocalypse, but astronomers have been quick to stress that there is nothing to be concerned about.

According to the ancient Mayan calendar, next year's winter solstice marks the end of a 144,000-day cycle. This cycle, which begins at the mythical Maya creation date, has already been repeated 12 times. The 13th will end in 2012, capping a full 5,200-year Mayan cycle of creation.

This date has long been shrouded in mystery, with many claiming that it will bring destruction to our planet.

Rogue planet Nibiru?

One fear is that a rogue planet that has been dubbed "Nibiru" or "Planet X" is supposedly aimed at Earth. Self-proclaimed Nibiru expert Nancy Lieder, who says she is in contact with the aliens from Zeta Reticuli, first said Nibiru would cause widespread disaster in May 2003, only to change it to Dec. 21, 2012.

There is, however, no evidence that Nibiru is real.

"Nibiru is ridiculous because it doesn't exist — it never existed as anything other than a figment of the imagination by pseudo-scientists who don't seem bothered by a complete lack of evidence," astronomer Don Yeomans, manager of NASA's Near-Earth Object program office at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif., told SPACE.com.

There is no basis for the claim that it might be lurking behind the sun, as it could not have hidden from observation until now, Yeomans said. If such a planet was headed toward Earth by Dec. 21, 2012, it would already be visible to the naked eye.

Cosmic alignments?

There are also concerns that planets or stars might line up in ways that will transform Earth. For instance, some theorists claim that from our point of view, the sun will cross in front of the plane of our galaxy on Dec. 21. However, the sun already does this twice a year, Yeomans said.

In fact, the sun will eventually cross the plane of our galaxy. However, the sun is about 67 light-years from the galactic plane, so it should take several million years to do so, Yeomans said. Even then, when our solar system finally does cross the plane, nothing special will occur, he added.

Some also claim that gravitational effects from planets lining up with each other will somehow affect Earth. However, there is no planetary alignment due on Dec. 21, 2012, "and if there were, it wouldn't cause any problems," Yeomans said.

The only bodies that have any significant gravitational impact on Earth are the moon and the sun, effects we see as the tides. Tidal effects from other bodies in our solar system are negligible at best, and in any case, we have experienced them for millions of years without notice.

Solar storms?

Solar storms — deluges of energetic particles from the sun — do happen, usually waxing and waning in cycles that last roughly 11 years. When these charged particles collide with Earth, they can trigger auroras and damage satellites and power lines, although not really inflicting any lasting harm, Yeomans said.

There are accounts of a solar "super-storm" slamming into Earth in 1859. Although that caused relatively little damage back then, there are concerns that such a storm might cause far more harm now that our world is more dependent on electronics.

Yet, there is no evidence that such a super-storm will happen on Dec. 21 of next year, Yeomans said.

Flip-flopping Earth?

There is some alarm that 2012 could see the flipping of Earth's poles — either the planet's geographical poles, which mark the Earth's axis of rotation, or its magnetic poles, which our compasses point toward.

But, there is no reason to fear such an occurrence, scientists said, because the moon stabilises our planet's spin. The planet's magnetic poles do flip, but over periods of about 500,000 years, and not suddenly, "but over thousands of years," with no evidence of a flip on Dec. 21, 2012, Yeomans said.

Even if the planet's magnetic poles do flip, no real problems would occur, other than the inconvenience of us having to change our compasses from north to south, he added.

Cosmic impacts?

The Earth is always vulnerable to impacts by comets and asteroids, but giant impacts are rare, with the last major collision taking place 65 million years ago, ending the Age of Dinosaurs.

Still, astronomers do monitor the sky for near-Earth objects.

"There are no known near-Earth objects in 2012 that present a credible risk to Earth," Yeomans said. "None, zero, zip, nada."

But despite evidence to the contrary, doomsdays theorists have garnered attention, and similar prophecies will continue to proliferate unless scientists become more involved in bringing truth to these outlandish claims, Yeomans said.
Mounting hysteria regarding these unfounded doomsday predictions "will improve only if scientists get more engaged in debunking pseudoscience," he said.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15935
559. Grothar
1:23 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Special Weather Statement...

... Turning much colder late Monday through Wednesday...

A strong cold front will pass through South Florida Monday
afternoon. Behind it, air temperatures by daybreak Tuesday will
range from the mid 30s west of Lake Okeechobee to the mid and
upper 40s along the southeast coast. Even colder temperatures are
possible Wednesday morning, with temperatures potentially falling
below freezing over Glades, Hendry, interior Collier, and
interior Palm Beach counties. Low temperatures elsewhere will
range from the mid 30s to mid 40s.

In addition to the cold temperatures, brisk northerly winds are
expected. Wind chill advisories or warnings may ultimately be
needed late Monday night trough early Tuesday, and again late
Tuesday night into early Wednesday. Wind chill values during
these periods may range from the mid 20s west of the lake to the
upper 30s and lower 40s along the southeast coast.



Why do you always have to drag politics into this?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26151
558. AussieStorm
1:18 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
The 2012 Sydney New Years Fireworks display.

Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15935
557. SPLbeater
1:10 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
Quoting BobWallace:


I suppose you've never been in a car fire.

I have.

We have about 800 car fires each day in the US of A.



there was one day me and my fam was on de way home from doin the church bulletin, and all of a sudden traffic stopped and there was a head on collision in front of us. if we had been down the road 15 seconds earlier, it would have been us.

The cause? heh, some idiot was coming UP the EXIT ramp and slammed into an SUV. both drivers died. the car that got hit skidded over to the shoulder, and slowly caught fire. driver died in the fire
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485
556. BobWallace
1:00 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
There are roughly three times more people living in China than in the US. If China emits a bit more CO2 than the US is that a fair comparison or should we base things on per capita/per person emissions?

Comparing nations can be misleading, given their vastly varied sizes and populations. To get a more meaningful picture, it's essential also to consider emissions on a per-person basis. From this perspective, the list is topped by small countries with energy-intensive industries such as Qatar and Bahrain, and the large developing nations such as India and China look significantly less polluting. Here's a selection of countries and their per-person CO2 emissions from burning fossil fuels:

Australia: 19.6 tonnes
United States: 17.7 tonnes
Russia: 11.2 tonnes
Germany: 9.3 tonnes
UK: 8.4 tonnes
China: 5.8 tonnes
World average: 4.5 tonnes
India: 1.4 tonnes
Africa average: 1.1 tonnes
Chad: 0.03 tonnes
See all countries

As with national emissions, this list would look different if all greenhouse gases were included.

Historical emissions

Since carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere can stay there for centuries, historical emissions are just as important – or even more important – than current emissions. The tricky question of historical responsibility is one of the key tensions in the process of negotiating a global climate deal. The following figures from the World Resources Institute show the top 10 nations as measured by their cumulative emissions between 1850 and 2007. The US tops the list by a wide margin.

1. US: 339,174 MT or 28.8%
2. China: 105,915 MT or 9.0%
3. Russia: 94,679 MT or 8.0%
4. Germany: 81,194.5 MT or 6.9%
5. UK: 68,763 MT or 5.8%
6. Japan: 45,629 MT or 3.87%
7. France: 32,667 MT or 2.77%
8. India: 28,824 MT or 2.44%
9. Canada: 25,716 MT or 2.2%
10. Ukraine: 25,431 MT or 2.2%
See all countries

Of course, it's also possible to look at historical emissions per person, which turns things around yet again. In this view, the UK shoots close to the top of the rankings, while China drops towards the bottom.

1. Luxembourg: 1,429 tonnes
2. UK: 1,127 tonnes
3. US: 1,126 tonnes
4. Belgium: 1,026 tonnes
5. Czech Republic: 1,006 tonnes
6. Germany: 987 tonnes
7. Estonia: 877 tonnes
8. Canada: 780 tonnes
9. Kazakhstan: 682 tonnes
10. Russia: 666 tonnes
See all countries

Consumption emissions

Imported and exported goods add another layer of complexity to the equation. Many commentators argue that focusing on where emissions are produced is unfair, because much of the carbon output of countries such as China are generated as a result of producing goods that are ultimately consumed in richer nations. If emissions are measured in terms of consumption rather than production (that is, each country's exports are excluded from its footprint, and its imports added) the tables turn yet again. The most widely cited international dataset for consumption emissions, from 2001, is rather out of date, but it still provides interesting insights. Here's the top 10 for consumption emissions per capita, including all greenhouse gases:

1. US: 29 tonnes
2. Australia: 21 tonnes
3. Canada: 20 tonnes
4. Switzerland: 18 tonnes
5. Finland: 18 tonnes
6. Netherlands: 17 tonnes
7. Belgium: 17 tonnes
8. Ireland: 16 tonnes
9. Cyprus: 16 tonnes
10. UK: 15 tonnes
See all countries

By contrast, China comes in at just 3.1 tonnes, and India at 1.8 tonnes.


http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/apr/21 /countries-responsible-climate-change

If we look at the problem as a "per person" problem then we in the US are several times larger problems than those living in China, India or any other developing country.

What's that old saying about worrying about the speck in someone else's eye when you've got a 2x4 in yours?
Member Since: February 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
555. WxGeekVA
12:56 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
Quoting SPLbeater:


i sure aint doing anything special to 'go green' i dont and will not buy CFL lights

I will not buy an electric car, and/or anything in a vehicle to help the envoirment

I could care less about the EPA

just earlier me , brother dad and grandfather were out burning a brushpile. after the flames died down(was 15ft high) we had a smoke plume so high and so thick we couldnt see the stars, or the nearby trees. me and my bro was like "eat this al gore!"


LOL +1
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3471
554. SPLbeater
12:55 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
besides, i need an SUV for the car audio system i plan on installing. 12,000 watts, maybe 2 18" FI subwoofers
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485
553. BobWallace
12:43 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Battery acid? Electric cars do not use wet cells that contain battery acid.

Link


I suppose you've never been in a car fire.

I have.

We have about 800 car fires each day in the US of A.

Member Since: February 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
552. BobWallace
12:41 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
Quoting SPLbeater:


i sure aint doing anything special to 'go green' i dont and will not buy CFL lights

I will not buy an electric car, and/or anything in a vehicle to help the envoirment

I could care less about the EPA

just earlier me , brother dad and grandfather were out burning a brushpile. after the flames died down(was 15ft high) we had a smoke plume so high and so thick we couldnt see the stars, or the nearby trees. me and my bro was like "eat this al gore!"


Isn't there another blog for those who don't understand science and don't want to understand science?

Member Since: February 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
551. Some1Has2BtheRookie
12:36 AM GMT on January 01, 2012
Quoting SPLbeater:
i personaly..or any of my family...wont drive elctric cars. if you wreck with one, you can and most likely will get battery acid all over you if your hit in the right spot. the standard car battery, the acid in them is called SULFURIC ACID. has a very powerful chemical that dehydrates skin so rapidly it melt it off.

if regular vehicles werent available, i would drive an 18-wheeler or a tractor everywhere. no electric for me :D :D :D :D


Battery acid? Electric cars do not use wet cells that contain battery acid.

Link
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4737
Quoting PensacolaDoug:



SO what is the USA supposed to do? Drastically lower our own standard of living while China and India and Brazil and Malaysia pump out increasing levels of CO2? Assuming it is mankinds fault, how does us living in tents and riding bikes and/or horses gonna help when the developing world isn't on board with serious limitations on their own greenhouse gas emissions?


I agree, Doug. Any realistic attempt to mitigate AGW will fall short unless it is a serious global effort to do so. Since very little has been done, especially by the U.S., then mitigation is an unrealistic goal to achieve. Until recently, the U.S. was, by far, the largest emitter of CO2 than any other nation. China recently surpassed the U.S. in its CO2 emissions. Remember, if you will, we exported nearly all of our "dirty" industries to China and yet China only recently and only slightly exceeds our annual CO2 emissions.

List of countries by carbon dioxide emissions

Now tell me, if you will, which country should have been taking more extreme measures to reduce their CO2 output 20 years ago? The U.S. or the British Virgin Isles?

The U.S. population represents about 1/20 of the world population while China represents about 1/7 of the world population. Yet, China only recently exceeded the U.S. in its CO2 emissions. ... When you have a major forest fire in one region and smaller fires in other regions and trash barrel fires scattered throughout other regions, where should you concentrate your efforts to putting out all the fires when the size of the fire must be considered?

Why would any efforts of other nations be expected when the largest, until recently, emitter sits back and expects all others to curtail their emissions so that we do not have to suffer as much? Where is the logic in that?
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4737
i personaly..or any of my family...wont drive elctric cars. if you wreck with one, you can and most likely will get battery acid all over you if your hit in the right spot. the standard car battery, the acid in them is called SULFURIC ACID. has a very powerful chemical that dehydrates skin so rapidly it melt it off.

if regular vehicles werent available, i would drive an 18-wheeler or a tractor everywhere. no electric for me :D :D :D :D
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485
Quoting SPLbeater:


funny...2008 Ike
2004 Jeanne, Frances, Ivan, Charley
2000 -
1996 Fran
1992 Andrew
1988 -
1984 -
1980 Allen

Hurricane Diana hit NC as a Cat 2 in 1984.
Member Since: July 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5684
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53841
January....man my birthday is only 26 days away. 9:30 Jan 26th!
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485
Quoting PensacolaDoug:



SO what is the USA supposed to do? Drastically lower our own standard of living while China and India and Brazil and Malaysia pump out increasing levels of CO2? Assuming it is mankinds fault, how does us living in tents and riding bikes and/or horses gonna help when the developing world isn't on board with serious limitations on their own greenhouse gas emissions?


i sure aint doing anything special to 'go green' i dont and will not buy CFL lights

I will not buy an electric car, and/or anything in a vehicle to help the envoirment

I could care less about the EPA

just earlier me , brother dad and grandfather were out burning a brushpile. after the flames died down(was 15ft high) we had a smoke plume so high and so thick we couldnt see the stars, or the nearby trees. me and my bro was like "eat this al gore!"
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485
Yup, 2012 GMT time!
Member Since: November 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1286
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Gilbert and Joan–Miriam in 1988.


didnt hit US
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485
HAPPY NEW YEAR!

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32072
Quoting PensacolaDoug:



SO what is the USA supposed to do? Drastically lower our own standard of living while China and India and Brazil and Malaysia pump out increasing levels of CO2? Assuming it is mankinds fault, how does us living in tents and riding bikes and/or horses gonna help when the developing world isn't on board with serious limitations on their own greenhouse gas emissions?


Well, we could lead the way. We think of ourselves as the nation that puts itself forward to fix the world's problems, do we not? Why should we hold back this time?

Then we might want to realize that other countries are already pulling ahead in the effort to cut greenhouse gases. Several European countries are ahead of us. Even China is doing more than we are.

Finally, there's no requirement that we live in tents or ride bikes. We can keep on living in comfortable homes and driving cars, we just have to change the ways we power our lifestyles.

Wind is already a cheap way to make electricity and it will get cheaper. Solar prices are falling rapidly. Geothermal is affordable. Hydro is cheap (and we have thousands of existing dams that can be converted to produce electricity). We'll need some affordable storage but we're developing it.

Electric cars are much cheaper to drive per mile. We just have to get the price of batteries down which will happen with larger scale manufacturing. Right now close to 100% of us could do most of our driving with electricity with EVs and PHEVs and cut our oil use by over 75%.

--

Oh, BTW, the developing world just signed up to do their part. It happened a few days ago during the Durban conference.

That "Why should we when the developing countries aren't" excuse no longer holds water....
Member Since: February 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
539. beell
Youngstown, OH-Dec 24, 2011 M2.5-USGS

NEIC Earthquake Database Rectangle Search 1974-2011
Latitude:41.000N/38.000N
Longitude:80.000W/84.000W
Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Benilde is done.

Member Since: November 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1286
Quoting Neapolitan:
Strange days, indeed. Most peculiar...

== PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE REPORT ==

***This event supersedes event USc0007f7s.


Region: OHIO
Geographic coordinates: 41.121N, 80.684W
Magnitude: 4.3 Ml
Depth: 5 km
Universal Time (UTC): 31 Dec 2011 20:05:01
Time near the Epicenter: 31 Dec 2011 15:05:01
Local standard time in your area: 31 Dec 2011 15:05:01

Location with respect to nearby cities:
4 km (2 miles) NW (314 degrees) of Youngstown, OH
4 km (3 miles) SSE (167 degrees) of Girard, OH
6 km (4 miles) NE (54 degrees) of Austintown, OH
70 km (44 miles) E (85 degrees) of Akron, OH
96 km (60 miles) NW (322 degrees) of Pittsburgh, PA

Uh-oh

My grandmother doesn't live to far from Youngstown. I wonder if she felt it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting SPLbeater:


your avatar has GOT to be Igor with 150mph windspeeds, is it not? :D

It is!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
535. beell
Ohio Earthquake History-USGS
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Any tsunami warnings?

4.0 wouldn't trigger a tsunami. :)
(maybe a microscopic one lol)
Member Since: October 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2416
Quoting BobWallace:


Perhaps you know that 1998's very high temperatures were largely caused by an unusually large El Nino event. If you tease out the El Nino contribution (along with other ENSO, solar and volcanic contributions) you'll see that warming has been continuing.




I'm just not convinced it's all mankinds (in general, the USA in particular) fault.


This is really interesting (to me at least).

Is some of the resistance to global climate change coming from some people not wanting to accept the US's role in creating climate change?

If we deny that climate change is happening then we don't have to take responsibility for the enormous amounts of greenhouse gases the US is pumping into the atmosphere?




SO what is the USA supposed to do? Drastically lower our own standard of living while China and India and Brazil and Malaysia pump out increasing levels of CO2? Assuming it is mankinds fault, how does us living in tents and riding bikes and/or horses gonna help when the developing world isn't on board with serious limitations on their own greenhouse gas emissions?
Member Since: July 25, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 564
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Whaaaaat? Earthquakes in Ohio!!! Oh Noes!!!


Any tsunami warnings?
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11159
Quoting Neapolitan:

To be fair, it's mainly only one side of the "debate" that attempts to make it political. On one side are scientists and those who choose to support them; on the other side is a huge and vastly profitable industry that does what it can to suppress the scientific truth in order to maintain those profits. Those dollars can and do buy a lot of Big Energy-friendly politicians, politicians who in return do their job by complaining repeatedly that the science has become "political".

Nice how that works, huh? :-\

Anyway, I'm out for the night. Some food, some drink, some good conversation--and wood-knocking, finger-crossing, rabbit's-foot-rubbing hope that 2012 turns out better than 2011. Good night, and good new year, all. Stay safe.



Your side hasn't made the discussion political???!!!
The "Big Al" side?? What color is the sky of the world you're living in?
Member Since: July 25, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 564
Quoting Neapolitan:
Strange days, indeed. Most peculiar...

== PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE REPORT ==

***This event supersedes event USc0007f7s.


Region: OHIO
Geographic coordinates: 41.121N, 80.684W
Magnitude: 4.3 Ml
Depth: 5 km
Universal Time (UTC): 31 Dec 2011 20:05:01
Time near the Epicenter: 31 Dec 2011 15:05:01
Local standard time in your area: 31 Dec 2011 15:05:01

Location with respect to nearby cities:
4 km (2 miles) NW (314 degrees) of Youngstown, OH
4 km (3 miles) SSE (167 degrees) of Girard, OH
6 km (4 miles) NE (54 degrees) of Austintown, OH
70 km (44 miles) E (85 degrees) of Akron, OH
96 km (60 miles) NW (322 degrees) of Pittsburgh, PA

Uh-oh


Whaaaaat? Earthquakes in Ohio!!! Oh Noes!!!
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3471
a color version of my picture with slight edits.
Member Since: October 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2416
Quoting Neapolitan:
Strange days, indeed. Most peculiar...

== PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE REPORT ==

***This event supersedes event USc0007f7s.


Region: OHIO
Geographic coordinates: 41.121N, 80.684W
Magnitude: 4.3 Ml
Depth: 5 km
Universal Time (UTC): 31 Dec 2011 20:05:01
Time near the Epicenter: 31 Dec 2011 15:05:01
Local standard time in your area: 31 Dec 2011 15:05:01

Location with respect to nearby cities:
4 km (2 miles) NW (314 degrees) of Youngstown, OH
4 km (3 miles) SSE (167 degrees) of Girard, OH
6 km (4 miles) NE (54 degrees) of Austintown, OH
70 km (44 miles) E (85 degrees) of Akron, OH
96 km (60 miles) NW (322 degrees) of Pittsburgh, PA

Uh-oh

I didn't feel it, but even though I am far away from the weak earthquake, I saw stuff swaying on my desk very slightly.
Member Since: October 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2416
527. Skyepony (Mod)
TRMM pass of Benilde. Pic links to the very large quicktime..

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Special Weather Statement...

... Turning much colder late Monday through Wednesday...

A strong cold front will pass through South Florida Monday
afternoon. Behind it, air temperatures by daybreak Tuesday will
range from the mid 30s west of Lake Okeechobee to the mid and
upper 40s along the southeast coast. Even colder temperatures are
possible Wednesday morning, with temperatures potentially falling
below freezing over Glades, Hendry, interior Collier, and
interior Palm Beach counties. Low temperatures elsewhere will
range from the mid 30s to mid 40s.

In addition to the cold temperatures, brisk northerly winds are
expected. Wind chill advisories or warnings may ultimately be
needed late Monday night trough early Tuesday, and again late
Tuesday night into early Wednesday. Wind chill values during
these periods may range from the mid 20s west of the lake to the
upper 30s and lower 40s along the southeast coast.
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11159
Quoting SPLbeater:


funny...2008 Ike
2004 Jeanne, Frances, Ivan, Charley
2000 -
1996 Fran
1992 Andrew
1988 -
1984 -
1980 Allen

Gilbert and Joan–Miriam in 1988.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32072
Quoting PensacolaDoug:


There is enough evidence to suggest that mankind may play a role in it and further un-biased reserch without the "political agenda" is warranted. However, un-biased research may be be damn near impossible in this politically charged atmosphere we find ourselves in these days.

To be fair, it's mainly only one side of the "debate" that attempts to make it political. On one side are scientists and those who choose to support them; on the other side is a huge and vastly profitable industry that does what it can to suppress the scientific truth in order to maintain those profits. Those dollars can and do buy a lot of Big Energy-friendly politicians, politicians who in return do their job by complaining repeatedly that the science has become "political".

Nice how that works, huh? :-\

Anyway, I'm out for the night. Some food, some drink, some good conversation--and wood-knocking, finger-crossing, rabbit's-foot-rubbing hope that 2012 turns out better than 2011. Good night, and good new year, all. Stay safe.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Got my first blog post done. :)

The Major Hurricanes of 2011 - Part 1
Member Since: November 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1286
Quoting washingtonian115:
For 2008 you forgot Dolly,Gustav,Fay,Christobol....
Alex back in 04 made a landfall on the otter banks.And then you had Gaston as well.For 1996 you can add Bertha.I remember that one well.I was down in N.C at the time visiting my relatives.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2012 is a doorway from our universe to another one on the other side of the spectrum, BIG things to come folks, a year to remember is on the way

HAPPY NEW YEAR
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Well, we should start seeing birds falling outta the sky this evening like last year at this time, so keep an eye on the radars across the country
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting SPLbeater:


funny...2008 Ike
2004 Jeanne, Frances, Ivan, Charley
2000 -
1996 Fran
1992 Andrew
1988 -
1984 -
1980 Allen
For 2008 you forgot Dolly,Gustav,Fay,Christobol....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Strange days, indeed. Most peculiar...

== PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE REPORT ==

***This event supersedes event USc0007f7s.


Region: OHIO
Geographic coordinates: 41.121N, 80.684W
Magnitude: 4.3 Ml
Depth: 5 km
Universal Time (UTC): 31 Dec 2011 20:05:01
Time near the Epicenter: 31 Dec 2011 15:05:01
Local standard time in your area: 31 Dec 2011 15:05:01

Location with respect to nearby cities:
4 km (2 miles) NW (314 degrees) of Youngstown, OH
4 km (3 miles) SSE (167 degrees) of Girard, OH
6 km (4 miles) NE (54 degrees) of Austintown, OH
70 km (44 miles) E (85 degrees) of Akron, OH
96 km (60 miles) NW (322 degrees) of Pittsburgh, PA

Uh-oh
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting washingtonian115:
As I've pointed out earlier leap years always seem to be bad for the U.S when it comes to hurricanes and major hurricanes.We'll see how 2012 goes.I mean it will be the end of the world after all.Maybe a cat 8 slamming in to Miami will be the result.Okay J/K..J/K.I still think it's an interesting thing though when it comes to the U.S and our bad luck with hurricanes in leap years.Lol :).


funny...2008 Ike
2004 Jeanne, Frances, Ivan, Charley
2000 -
1996 Fran
1992 Andrew
1988 -
1984 -
1980 Allen
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4485

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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.