Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 4:54 PM GMT on March 23, 2012 | +51 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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Skye,
That's an interesting article, and the premise makes sense. I wonder, though, if the really big storms tend to get push to the weekends, when the particulate matter is probably near its high? I was reviewing the Skywarn activations we've had in Alabama over the past three years, and 74% occured between 2200 Friday and 1900 Sunday. I haven't calculated the rainfall by day during the same period, but there's no doubt we get our strongest storm at the end of the week rather than the middle. Since last April, in partular, I've had about half my weekends ruined by having to sit at the radio as a Skywarn net controller, communicate with the NWS, and keep an eye on the radar. We've even had church services cancelled, which never happens here. :) Of course, Alabama is not a high production state for particulate pollution, so that mat have some effect, but percentage of weekend activations has been striking.
The huge difference between a volcano and fossil fuel burning is (1) we don't have a choice and (2) we do. People need to be responsible citizens and quit worrying so much about their status quo oil money.
LOL. I know you better than that. You could never ignore me. Are you in a better mood today.
Yes, but the particulates could fall out as quickly as normal volcanoes. Cooling might be limited to only a few years, not long enough to bring about longer term changes.
The current 'volcanoes triggered the Little Ice Age' thinking is that it was a series of volcanoes spread over some years and largely located close to the equator.
The cause appears to have been massive tropical volcanic eruptions, which spewed tiny particles called aerosols into the atmosphere. While suspended in the air, the aerosols reflect solar radiation back into space, cooling the planet below.
The cooling was sustained after the aerosols had left the atmosphere by a sea-ice feedback in the North Atlantic Ocean, the researchers believe. Expanding sea ice would have melted into the North Atlantic Ocean, interfering with the normal mixing between surface and deeper waters. This meant the water flowing back to the Arctic was colder, helping to sustain large areas of sea ice, which, in turn, reflect sunlight back into the atmosphere. The result was a self-sustaining feedback loop.
http://www.livescience.com/18205-ice-age-volcanoe s-sea-ice.html
It seems that volcanoes close to the equator have a much larger effect on global temperatures than more polar eruptions - which would be expected.
I'm not disputing the fact that global warming is occuring...I'm just saying that the chance of getting an Ice age would be more dependent on a catastophic event such as the eruption of a super volcano
Point taken
mean lookin line comin! each cell has a warning
VAC009-019-031-680-242300-
/O.NEW.KRNK.TO.W.0016.120324T2225Z-120324T2300Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
625 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CITY OF LYNCHBURG IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA
NORTHERN CAMPBELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA
EASTERN BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA
SOUTHERN AMHERST COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA
* UNTIL 700 PM EDT.
* AT 622 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR LYNCHBURG
AIRPORT...OR NEAR EVINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUSTBURG...
BOCOCK...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE RELAY YOUR SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT...1...8 6
6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.
&&
LAT...LON 3720 7922 3731 7933 3740 7924 3741 7926
3742 7925 3743 7927 3745 7926 3745 7925
3747 7922 3746 7918 3747 7916 3737 7898
3730 7895
TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 227DEG 23KT 3727 7918
$$
DS
heading east!
Yeah...I hope not!
and i am a sitting duck...lol. hope it git here before dark!
"Yes, but the particulates could fall out as quickly as normal volcanoes. Cooling might be limited to only a few years, not long enough to bring about longer term changes."
You have a lot of possibilities with this one.
If the eruption is of a very large scale then even though most of the particles will have fallen back to earth in maybe 10 years, the effects of the volcanic eruption may have written off a large percentage of the humans, plus a lot of other life forms as well.
The added amount of greenhouse gases will initially add to the ones allready present but the total will tend to decline as the humans wont be producing many as a lot of them will have expired.
A state of balance may be possibly achieved with the hypothetical eruption as the reduced human activity may then just about maintain a balance of CO2,as the gases will be absorbed at about the same rate as they are produced.
In conclusion, I can only say that although a potential catastrophic eruption may initially be a bad thing (from the humans point of view,) in the long run it might solve the greenhouse gas problem.
You could always read Revelation whilst you are waiting. Post 666
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
641 PM AST SAT MAR 24 2012
PRC047-051-091-101-105-107-135-137-143-145-250030 -
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0045.120324T2241Z-120325T0030Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
COROZAL PR-MANATI PR-MOROVIS PR-NARANJITO PR-OROCOVIS PR-VEGA ALTA
PR-VEGA BAJA PR-DORADO PR-TOA ALTA PR-TOA BAJA PR-
641 PM AST SAT MAR 24 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
COROZAL...MANATI...MOROVIS...NARANJITO...OROCOVIS. ..VEGA ALTA...
VEGA BAJA...DORADO...TOA ALTA AND TOA BAJA
* UNTIL 830 PM AST
* AT 636 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL MOVING TOWARD THE ADVISORY AREA. MOST OF THE HEAVY RAIN IS
AFFECTING TOA BAJA AND NARANJITO BUT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS
THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE NEXT HOUR. SOME AREAS HAVE ALREADY
RECEIVED BETWEEN HALF-INCH AND ONE INCH OF RAIN...AND AT LEAST ONE
MORE INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS THROUGH 830 PM AST.
THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
AS WELL AS SOME OF THE STREETS AND ROADWAYS IN THE ADVISORY AREA.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1847 6620 1828 6622 1828 6644 1847 6650
$$
ER
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
629 PM AST SAT MAR 24 2012
PRC021-029-031-037-053-061-089-119-127-139-250030 -
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0044.120324T2229Z-120325T0030Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-CANOVANAS PR-CEIBA PR-GUAYNABO PR-SAN JUAN PR-
TRUJILLO ALTO PR-FAJARDO PR-CAROLINA PR-LUQUILLO PR-RIO GRANDE PR-
629 PM AST SAT MAR 24 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...CANOVANAS...CEIBA...GUAYNABO...SAN JUAN...TRUJILLO
ALTO...FAJARDO...CAROLINA...LUQUILLO AND RIO GRANDE
* UNTIL 830 PM AST
* AT 627 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED PERSISTENT RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. MOST OF THE HEAVY RAIN IS OCCURRING OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THESE MUNICIPALITIES. SOME AREAS HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED
BETWEEN HALF-INCH AND ONE INCH OF RAIN...AND AT LEAST ONE MORE INCH
OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS THROUGH 830 PM AST. THIS WILL
RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL
AS SOME OF THE STREETS AND ROADWAYS IN THE ADVISORY AREA.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1840 6591 1839 6572 1838 6570 1837 6561
1827 6562 1823 6561 1827 6573 1831 6578
1827 6588 1831 6596 1832 6604 1828 6619
1842 6617 1841 6613 1846 6608
$$
ER
LOL!
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 109
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT FROM 645 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
RICHMOND VIRGINIA TO 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF DANVILLE
VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 104...WW 105...WW
106...WW 107...WW 108...
DISCUSSION...LONG-LIVED TSTM/CYCLIC SUPERCELL NOW NEAR LYNCHBURG VA
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NE TO ENE AT ABOUT 20-25 KTS. STORM APPEARS TO
HAVE BEEN AIDED BY SHALLOW WSW-ENE ORIENTED BOUNDARY THAT BECOMES
MORE DIFFUSE WITH EWD EXTENT ACROSS S CNTRL VA. STRENGTH OF STORM
AND REASONABLY UNSTABLE/MOIST ESELY LOW LVL FLOW AHEAD OF IT SUGGEST
THAT IT MAY PERSIST FOR SOME TIME LATER THIS EVE...POSING A THREAT
FOR SVR HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO. FARTHER S...STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG NNE-SSW CONFLUENCE AXIS EXTENDING FROM
NEAR LYNCHBURG INTO PIEDMONT NC. SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR AND FORCING
FOR ASCENT APPEAR PRESENT TO SUPPORT A RISK FOR INTERMITTENT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES THAT WOULD BE CAPABLE OF SVR HAIL...LOCALLY
DMGG WIND...AND PERHAPS ONE OR TWO TORNADOES THROUGH MID TO LATE
EVE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
...CORFIDI
WASHINGTON, March 24 (Reuters) - Former U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney is recovering in a Virginia hospital after undergoing a heart transplant on Saturday, a spokeswoman for Cheney said in an email.
Cheney, 71, who served as vice president in the George W. Bush administration, has had a long history of heart trouble. (Reporting By Eric Beech)
i doesnt need to do that. I know where i am going when i leave earth!
The ground?
Its been unseasonally wet in Jamaica as well
According to Mr Bob Dylan "Money doesn't talk, it swears!"
Petition: Link
Is all that white stuff hail?
Yes, 6 inches of it.
Why are you messing with SPL?
Because that is what I do.
Wow! That's amazing
Yeah, I know
NCC085-105-125-250045-
/O.NEW.KRAH.SV.W.0039.120325T0004Z-120325T0045Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
804 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
LEE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN MOORE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHWESTERN HARNETT COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
* UNTIL 845 PM EDT
* AT 800 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HIGHFALLS TO CARTHAGE TO PINEHURST...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES NORTH OF CARTHAGE TO CARTHAGE TO SOUTHERN PINES...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. QUARTER SIZED HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VASS...CAMERON...
TRAMWAY...LEMON SPRINGS...
CUMNOCK...SANFORD...
PINEVIEW...OLIVIA...
BROADWAY...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
LARGE HAIL WILL DAMAGE VEHICLES...WINDOWS AND SOME ROOFS. SEVERE WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND CAN DAMAGE MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2 OR NOTIFY YOUR LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.
&&
LAT...LON 3550 7960 3552 7950 3552 7936 3553 7932
3554 7932 3555 7929 3553 7928 3556 7925
3557 7914 3546 7905 3520 7903 3518 7917
3521 7925 3517 7931 3516 7953
TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 265DEG 32KT 3551 7945 3537 7940
3520 7942
$$
NP
-----------------------------------------------
das me!!!
My vote's for Ichabod. It'll be fun to say.
Ichabod.
Yes, I can thank you.
Everytime you bring a religious comment on the blog, I'm going to respond with a comment like that.
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