Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

April Fools weather humor; all-time March warmth in WY, NE
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 3:41 PM GMT on April 01, 2012 +28
I don't have an April Fools blog post for you this year, but instead thought I share with you two of the funniest weather-related stories of the year. Firstly, it turns out that you don't need to be a human to enjoy a little snowboarding. The snowy conditions in Russia this winter gave the opportunity for an intrepid crow to take up the sport in this remarkable Youtube video. I found the video over at Andy Revkin's DotEarth blog at the New York Times. The bird is a hooded crow, and has evidently been doing quite a bit of snowboarding, judging by the multiple tracks on the rooftop. Too bad us humans can't use a flap-assist from our wings while snowboarding, it might cut down on injuries!


Video 1. A crow in Russia goes snowboarding on a snow-covered rooftop.

The most insane letter ever written by a child to a TV weatherman
I've done a lot of talks about the weather to schools, and have gotten hundreds of thank-you letters from the kids afterwards. But I've never gotten a letter quite like the one KVUE morning and midday meteorologist Albert Ramon in Austin, Texas recently received after talking at a local school. A sampling:

"Some day when I become supreme Ultra-Lord of the universe I will not make you a slave, you will live in my 200 story castle where unicorn servants will feed you doughnuts off their horns."

And this: "Thank you again for teaching us about meteoroligy, you're more awesome than a monkey wearing a tuxedo made out of bacon riding a cyborg unicorn with a lightsaber for the horn on the tip of a space shuttle closing in on Mars while ingulfed in flames."


Check out the letter here.

Finally, realclimate.org has a funny April Fool's blog post today called ‘Wrong sign paradox’ finally resolved?

All-time March warmth records in Wyoming, Nebraska
Most of Wyoming and much of Nebraska set or tied their record for all-time warmest March temperatures yesterday, no fooling. A strong ridge of high pressure that generated a strong flow of warm air from the southwest was responsible. Some of the records included:

Omaha, NE: 91°F
Lincoln, NE: 91°F
Casper, WY: 77°F
Lander, WY: 76°F
Rock Spring, WY: 72°F
Worland, WY: 81°F
Laramie, WY: 71°F
Rawlins, WY: 73°F
Chadron, WY: 83°F
Sidney, WY: 83°F

Jeff Masters
Categories: Humor Heat
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101. wxgeek723 6:34 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Welcome to Weather Underground...where April Fools' Day is a battlefield.
Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 2350
102. Slamguitar 6:37 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting ClimateChange:
Scorching across the Plains today. Already up to 90 at Winner, SD. Philip, SD is at 89 and Valentine, NE at 88. Of course, Winner made it up to 94 on one day last month -- looks like it may climb into the mid 90s again today with a few more hours of heating left. Several other sites should best 90.

Meanwhile, we're stuck under overcast skies here in Toledo. Temperatures, however, are fairly comfortable -- near 60 degrees, which is still several degrees above normal. But nothing like they're getting off to the west.


Toledo sounds similar to Kalamazoo, around 60 with an overcast layer and haze.
Member Since: July 2, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1009
103. BahaHurican 6:40 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:
This blog is Hot Hot Hot!
ABW instead of AGW.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17588
104. MAweatherboy1 6:41 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0406
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0131 PM CDT SUN APR 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...WRN NC...EXTREME NWRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 011831Z - 012000Z

STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF TN INTO
EXTREME WRN NC WHERE LATEST OA FIELDS SUGGEST SFC-3KM LAPSE RATES
ARE IN EXCESS OF 8 C/KM. VIS IMAGERY SUPPORTS THIS DEEPENING
BOUNDARY LAYER PER AN EXPANDING CU FIELD SOUTH-WEST OF DECAYING KY
MCS. ALTHOUGH THIS MCS HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS IT APPEARS THUNDERSTORMS WILL SOON DEVELOP ALONG THE SRN
PERIPHERY OF THE THICKER CLOUD CANOPY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCS WITHIN
AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MODEST NWLY FLOW/SHEAR...CERTAINLY
SUPPORTIVE OF AT LEAST ORGANIZED MULTI-CELL UPDRAFTS. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS REGION FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE TSTM WATCH.

..DARROW.. 04/01/2012

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 66 Comments: 6289
105. VAbeachhurricanes 6:41 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting BahaHurican:
ABW instead of AGW.


Too many carbon emissions if you know what
i mean ;)
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4797
106. VAbeachhurricanes 6:42 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0406
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0131 PM CDT SUN APR 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...WRN NC...EXTREME NWRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 011831Z - 012000Z

STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF TN INTO
EXTREME WRN NC WHERE LATEST OA FIELDS SUGGEST SFC-3KM LAPSE RATES
ARE IN EXCESS OF 8 C/KM. VIS IMAGERY SUPPORTS THIS DEEPENING
BOUNDARY LAYER PER AN EXPANDING CU FIELD SOUTH-WEST OF DECAYING KY
MCS. ALTHOUGH THIS MCS HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS IT APPEARS THUNDERSTORMS WILL SOON DEVELOP ALONG THE SRN
PERIPHERY OF THE THICKER CLOUD CANOPY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCS WITHIN
AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MODEST NWLY FLOW/SHEAR...CERTAINLY
SUPPORTIVE OF AT LEAST ORGANIZED MULTI-CELL UPDRAFTS. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS REGION FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE TSTM WATCH.

..DARROW.. 04/01/2012



Is this an April fools or the real thing?
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4797
107. hydrus 6:43 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting PedleyCA:


Moderators are secret. The walls have ears. How do we know those 3 aren't moderators in disguise. By the way you are all Grounded.
Grounded..I love it..Whats the punishment. No t.v. for a month. Dishes and yardwork?..:)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14235
108. CaicosRetiredSailor 6:44 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Never argue with a fool, onlookers may not be able to tell the difference. 
Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5110
109. MAweatherboy1 6:45 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


Is this an April fools or the real thing?

If I was going to do an April Fools I would've done something funny and unrealistic, not a Meso discussion.
So yes, it is the real thing.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 66 Comments: 6289
110. nigel20 6:45 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting hydrus:
Grounded..I love it..Whats the punishment. No t.v. for a month. Dishes and yardwork?..:)

What's up hydrus?
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4510
111. GeorgiaStormz 6:47 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

If I was going to do an April Fools I would've done something funny and unrealistic, not a Meso discussion.
So yes, it is the real thing.


i still went and checked :/
it is real.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7031
112. hydrus 6:50 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting Neapolitan:
It's extremely unlikely that a stranger casually surfing the internet for important weather information would randomly drop by this particular blog forum. And in the extremely unlikely event that did happen, should this stranger happen to read a facetious bit of fake weather info, he or she would--it is hoped--seek a second verifying source of information before, say, boarding up his or her home and relocating to an underground bunker in the hills. Especially given that it's, you know, April 1 and all...
Good post..I believe most people get the forecast for their location from other sources first thing in the morning. Our hurricane bloggy is for the tropics.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14235
113. PedleyCA 6:51 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting hydrus:
Grounded..I love it..Whats the punishment. No t.v. for a month. Dishes and yardwork?..:)


Works for me...

.
Quoting CaicosRetiredSailor:
Never argue with a fool, onlookers may not be able to tell the difference. 


Quote of the day....
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2131
114. MAweatherboy1 6:51 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Knoxville now under a severe thunderstorm warning... Not an April Fools

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TNC001-013-093-129-151-011930-
/O.NEW.KMRX.SV.W.0075.120401T1841Z-120401T1930Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
241 PM EDT SUN APR 1 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ANDERSON COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
EXTREME SOUTHERN CAMPBELL COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
KNOX COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
MORGAN COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 242 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11
MILES NORTHEAST OF WARTBURG...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
CLINTON...KNOXVILLE...PETROS...ROSEDALE...KARNS... POWELL...BEARDEN
AND HALLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3603 8434 3605 8434 3604 8436 3617 8459
3632 8448 3612 8383 3587 8402 3588 8403
3586 8403
TIME...MOT...LOC 1842Z 301DEG 27KT 3620 8443

$$

DH
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 66 Comments: 6289
115. nigel20 6:54 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    

Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4510
116. Neapolitan 6:55 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting ClimateChange:


I don't know what you're looking at, but the CPC 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks call for above normal temperatures nationwide, including Alaska.

6 to 10 day outlook



8 to 14 day outlook


I didn't say temperatures would return to normal; I said that they'd be as close to normal as they've been in about month (I should have clarified that "as close to normal" was a relative term). And then that's only until about next weekend; later in the period, temps are expected to climb. Again. From today through, say, next Saturday, there'll be a slow moderation--and then the unseasonable warmth returns.

BTW: that 94 reading in Winner, SD, two weeks ago has been rejected.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11139
117. nigel20 6:58 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Overfishing, deforestation causing Caribbean coral reef decline
Link
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4510
118. SPLbeater 7:01 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Why?


APRIL FOOLS LOL!!!

Quoting nigel20:

What's up SPL?


nothing but the jokes LOL
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
119. nigel20 7:03 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


APRIL FOOLS LOL!!!



nothing but the jokes LOL

Yeah, I knew you were joking
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4510
120. VAbeachhurricanes 7:04 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


APRIL FOOLS LOL!!!



nothing but the jokes LOL


OH YOU GOT US
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4797
121. hydrus 7:06 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting nigel20:

What's up hydrus?
Greetings...SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
405 AM EDT SUN APR 01 2012

VALID 12Z SUN APR 01 2012 - 12Z TUE APR 03 2012

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER PORTIONS OF
THE OHIO VALLEY...

...TEMPERATURES WILL BE 20 TO 30 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE OVER PARTS
OF THE UPPER MIDWEST...

A STORM OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TO
CENTRAL CANADA BY MONDAY EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT EXTENDS
FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE GREAT BASIN THEN
THE BOUNDARY TAKES A MORE SOUTHERLY TURN HEADING FOR THE
SOUTHWEST. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE AND THE ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER
THE GREAT BASIN WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY/SOUTHERN PLAINS BY MONDAY NIGHT. THE SYSTEM PRODUCES SNOW
OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTIAN REGION/NORTHERN ROCKIES
INTO THE GREAT BASIN ON SUNDAY MORNING MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES BY MONDAY MORNING AND INTO PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
BY MONDAY EVENING.

THE NORTHERN PART OF THE SYSTEM HAS LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK WITH
UNTIL MONDAY MORNING WHEN THE STORM INTERSECTS A PLUME OF MOISTURE
OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST PRODUCING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ... EXPANDING INTO
PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BY MONDAY EVENING. SIMILARLY ...
THE SOUTHERN END OF THE SYSTEM INTERSECTS MOISTURE MOVING
NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO BY MONDAY AFTERNOON PRODUCING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL
PLAINS AND RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS BY MONDAY
EVENING. IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM ... ONSHORE FLOW WILL AID IN
PRODUCING COASTAL RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

MEANWHILE ... A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL
MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE MID-ATLANTIC BY SUNDAY EVENING AND OFF
THE COAST BY LATER SUNDAY NIGHT. THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE LIGHT
RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES THAT WILL MOVE INTO PARTS
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY MONDAY EVENING.
CONDITIONS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW TO DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY SUNDAY EVENING ENDING BY MONDAY MORNING.
ALSO ... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE
OHIO VALLEY ON SUNDAY MORNING MOVING INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS BY SUNDAY EVENING. A SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
ON MONDAY MORNING MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST BY MONDAY NIGHT.

IN ADDITION ON MONDAY ... A NEW PACIFIC STORM WILL APPROACH THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST TRIGGERING MORE COASTAL RAIN AND HIGHER
ELEVATION SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE AREA.


ZIEGENFELDER
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14235
122. yqt1001 7:11 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
I hate April Fools Day. I hate having to read stuff and then deciphering whether it's a joke or not. Nothing worse than reading the news and guessing if it's true or not.
Member Since: November 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1184
123. hydrus 7:13 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting nigel20:

What's up hydrus?
Rain for you..Sunday, 1
Thunderstorm
84 | 75 °F
T-storms
Chance of
Precipitation
90%
Monday, 2
Chance of a Thunderstorm
84 | 77 °F
Chance of T-storms
Chance of
Precipitation
40%
Tuesday, 3
Mostly Cloudy
86 | 77 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Wednesday, 4
Overcast
84 | 75 °F
Overcast
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Thursday, 5
Partly Cloudy
86 | 75 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Friday, 6
Partly Cloudy
84 | 75 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Saturday, 7
Partly Cloudy
84 | 75 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Sunday, 8
Partly Cloudy
84 | 73 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Source: BestForecast at 8:41 AM EST on April 01, 2012
Descriptive Forecast
Sunday
tstorms Overcast with thunderstorms. High of 84F with a heat index of 90F. Winds from the East at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.8 in. possible.
Sunday Night
nt_tstorms Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy with thunderstorms. Fog overnight. Low of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 0.5 in. possible.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14235
124. washingtonian115 7:15 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting yqt1001:
I hate April Fools Day. I hate having to read stuff and then deciphering whether it's a joke or not. Nothing worse than reading the news and guessing if it's true or not.
High Five!!!.I hate this day to!!!!.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 10585
125. Neapolitan 7:17 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting yqt1001:
I hate having to read stuff and then deciphering whether it's a joke or not. Nothing worse than reading the news and guessing if it's true or not.
I do that every day--especially if Fox happens to be on (in which case assuming the latter is usually a safe bet). ;-)
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11139
126. yqt1001 7:19 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting Neapolitan:
I do that every day--especially if Fox happens to be on (in which case assuming the latter is usually a safe bet). ;-)


Well, yes, I search for bias, but news agencies don't generally lie without a bias on any day but today. :P
Member Since: November 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1184
127. ClimateChange 7:22 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting Neapolitan:
I didn't say temperatures would return to normal; I said that they'd be as close to normal as they've been in about month (I should have clarified that "as close to normal" was a relative term). And then that's only until about next weekend; later in the period, temps are expected to climb. Again. From today through, say, next Saturday, there'll be a slow moderation--and then the unseasonable warmth returns.

BTW: that 94 reading in Winner, SD, two weeks ago has been rejected.


By whom? What was wrong with that reading?
Member Since: September 8, 2011 Posts: 8 Comments: 184
128. RTSplayer 7:22 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
God I need a girlfriend to spend time with.

It's even doctor's orders, I swear!

Need to get off this computer and um do..stuff.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 27 Comments: 875
129. TropicalAnalystwx13 7:23 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Some of you need to lighten up...it's April Fools Day for gods sake.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25128
130. GeorgiaStormz 7:30 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting RTSplayer:
God I need a girlfriend to spend time with.

It's even doctor's orders, I swear!

Need to get off this computer and um do..stuff.


i know right?

The next 15 days look boring, and all the weather people are saying, "oh what great weather". :/
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7031
131. SPLbeater 7:30 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Some of you need to lighten up...it's April Fools Day for Gods sake.


yeah lota people get mad when they find out what they read wasnt true or real lol. like the statement i read today that said TropicalAnalystwx13's county was under a hugh risk of severe weather lol. (jk)
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
132. Neapolitan 7:31 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting ClimateChange:


By whom? What was wrong with that reading?
From Dr. Masters on 3/19:

"Winner, South Dakota hit 94F yesterday, the earliest 90+ reading ever recorded in the Northern Plains, according to wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt. The 94F reading was just 2F short of the all-time state record for South Dakota in March, which was 9°F in Tyndall in 1943. However, subsequent analysis by NOAA questioned this 94°F reading, and it is now believed that 87F is the appropriate high for Winner."

From Christopher Burt on 3/25:

"Jeff and I just got condfirmation from the NWS that the Winner, SD figure of 94 was a glitch in their automoted system at Winner and they estimate the actual high was just 87"
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11139
133. HadesGodWyvern 7:32 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #37
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
3:00 AM JST April 2 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Overland Vietnam

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1002 hPa) located at 11.5N 106.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 9 knots

Dvorak Intensity: OVERLAND

Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 12.4N 104.5E - Tropical Depression Overland Cambodia ~

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 21:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 36682
134. GeorgiaStormz 7:33 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
This doesn't look good for the Dakotas and Parts of the plains:
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7031
135. hydrus 7:36 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
This doesn't look good for the Dakotas and Parts of the plains:
A week out in this current pattern will through the models a bit. I wonder how that pans out tho.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14235
136. NCHurricane2009 7:37 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis. html

Showers and t-storm flaring in the southern Gulf today. Clicking on "W-hi" wind vectors reveals an upper low that has cut-off over southern Texas...to the south of the warm upper-level high over the central US that is a signature of yesterday's record highs Dr. M was referencing.

The southwest winds ahead of this cut-off upper low are divergent and supporting those storms...a setup a bit similar to what triggered 90L in February I think. Does anyone know if models reduce the shear in the southern Gulf? If they don't....then probably these storm won't organize at all....
Member Since: September 15, 2009 Posts: 277 Comments: 3357
137. GeorgiaStormz 7:40 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting hydrus:
A week out in this current pattern will through the models a bit. I wonder how that pans out tho.


There at least should be something though, because there is the trough in the western US in 3 or 4 days.
I hope it trends south to my area, but it probably will lift north.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7031
138. Patrap 7:41 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
139. caribbeantracker01 7:41 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Member Since: May 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 441
140. caribbeantracker01 7:43 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Member Since: May 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 441
141. Patrap 7:43 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
142. dogsgomoo 7:47 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
The Google maps/earth team has a cute April 1st treat
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143. TropicalAnalystwx13 7:48 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
This doesn't look good for the Dakotas and Parts of the plains:

Moisture looks limited at that time frame.

I doubt we'll see a more substantial Severe Weather event anytime soon with a relatively zonal flow overtaking the CONUS.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25128
144. hydrus 7:48 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting Patrap:
Cool looking little blob..
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14235
145. NCHurricane2009 7:51 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting hydrus:
Cool looking little blob..


Looks like this Gulf of Mexico thunderstorm blob is gaining attetion per posts 144, 138, and 136....

Do the models hint at anything like Invest 90L? The upper air pattern is a bit similar to what happened with 90L...with the system being supported by a cut-off upper low/trough to the south of a warm upper-level high....
Member Since: September 15, 2009 Posts: 277 Comments: 3357
146. N3EG 7:51 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
...and the fact that the PNW is headed into its third straight cooler than normal spring is, of course, meaningless...

Hey, maybe we can break our April rain record to go along with March's record.
Member Since: April 23, 2005 Posts: 36 Comments: 202
147. TropicalAnalystwx13 7:53 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting NCHurricane2009:


Looks like this Gulf of Mexico thunderstorm blob is gaining attetion per posts 144, 138, and 136....

Do the models hint at anything like Invest 90L? The upper air pattern is a bit similar to what happened with 90L...with the system being supported by a cut-off upper low/trough to the south of a warm upper-level high....

If you think it has a chance in 50-60 knots of wind shear..

It's just thunderstorm activity being supported by upper air divergence.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25128
148. Tazmanian 7:56 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
this may be the hotes summer evere for the USA and it looks like for some its off too a early start so it looks like the 100s are not that far be hid
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5088 Comments: 111306
149. hydrus 7:57 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

If you think it has a chance in 50-60 knots of wind shear..

It's just thunderstorm activity being supported by upper air divergence.
I have been tracking this for a long time. It is actually the remnant circulation of tropical storm Karen.Hurricane Karen near peak intensity
Formed September 24, 2007
Dissipated September 29, 2007
Highest winds 1-minute sustained:
75 mph (120 km/h)
Lowest pressure 988 mbar (hPa); 29.18 inHg
Fatalities None
Damage None
Areas affected No land areas
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14235
150. nigel20 7:58 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
This doesn't look good for the Dakotas and Parts of the plains:

No it doesn't
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4510
151. NCHurricane2009 7:59 PM GMT on April 01, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

If you think it has a chance in 50-60 knots of wind shear..

It's just thunderstorm activity being supported by upper air divergence.


Yeah...the shear is high right now...but I was wondering if the models reduce the shear in the area.

If they don't...then yeah this indeed is just thunderstorms being supported by upper divergence...
Member Since: September 15, 2009 Posts: 277 Comments: 3357

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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