Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Wunderground launches new Local Climate Change section
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 6:10 PM GMT on April 20, 2012 +42
In honor of Earth Day on Sunday, wunderground has launched a new Climate Change Center, which gives people resources to understand how the climate is changing both globally and in their local neighborhoods. I am particularly pleased with our Local Climate Change feature, which allows one to see how temperature and precipitation have changed over the past 100+ years at the nearest station with a long period of measurements. Predictions from climate models on what the next 100 years may bring are overlaid for each station. Data for most U.S. stations goes back to 1895; we have data for a few stations in Europe that extend back to the 1700s. Berlin has the longest period of record in this database, with data back to 1702.


Figure 1. Screenshot of the Local Climate Change page for Washington, DC. Measured temperatures since 1820 are shown in grey. By clicking on the "Show post-1900 trend:" box, we see that the trend since 1900 has been for an increase in temperature of 1.5°C (2.7°F) per century. Moving the thin vertical red line over the image using the mouse shows that the warmest year on record in Washington D.C. was 1991. Predictions for a future with low emissions of heat-trapping gases like carbon dioxide are shown in yellow; the high emissions prediction is shown in red. Separate tabs are available to examine precipitation and snow.

Skeptical?
Also included in the new Climate Change Center is a section addressing the common skeptical arguments made against climate change. We offer three levels of explanation. The "Basic" level is the default, but one can also see more technical in-depth discussions by clicking on the "See All Explanation Levels" link. The material was developed by physicist John Cook for his excellent skepticalscience.com web site, which is widely referenced in the climate science communication community.


Video 1. I'm featured in this video on extreme weather and climate change done by veteran videographer Peter Sinclair for the Yale forum on Climate Change and the Media this month. I'm also featured in Part 1 of this series. Our new Climate Change Center has a section for climate change videos, which includes a twice-monthly feature from GreenTV detailing the world's notable wild weather events of the past two weeks.

Earth: the Operator's Manual airs Sunday night
Penn State climate scientist Dr. Richard Alley hosts parts II and III of Earth: the Operator's Manual on PBS beginning at 7pm Sunday, April 22--Earth Day. Part I of this excellent series aired in April 2011. The series gives an overview of climate change, but primarily focuses on what we can do to help slow down climate change though smart energy choices. Dr. Alley, a registered Republican, geologist, and former oil company employee, is the Evan Pugh Professor of Geosciences at the Pennsylvania State University, and one of the most respected and widely published world experts on climate change. Dr. Alley has testified before Congress on climate change issues, served as lead author of "Chapter 4: Observations: Changes in Snow, Ice and Frozen Ground" for the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and is author of more than 170 peer-reviewed scientific articles on Earth's climate. He is also the author of a book I highly recommend--The Two Mile Time Machine, a superb account of Earth's climate history as deduced from the 2-mile long Greenland ice cores. Dr. Alley is an excellent and engaging speaker, and I highly recommend listening to his 45-minute keynote speech, "The Biggest Control Knob: CO2 in Earth's Climate History", given at the 2010 American Geophysical Union meeting, via this very watchable recording showing his slides as he speaks in one corner of the video. If you want to understand why scientists are so certain of the link between CO2 and Earth's climate, this is a must-see lecture.

Have a great weekend, everyone, and I'll be back Monday with a new post. I'd like to thank Wunderground meteorologist, Angela Fritz for spearheading the creating the new Climate Change Center; it's a product I'll be referring to frequently in the future, and one we'll be updating in the coming months with data on local sea level rise, fire risk, and drought.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Climate Change
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1501. Skyepony (Mod) 10:52 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Rapidly strengthening low pressure area off our coast.

Down to 996 mbar.



GEOS-5 has been calling to bottom it at 992mb for a few days.
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1502. TropicalAnalystwx13 10:54 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
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1503. nigel20 10:54 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Rapidly strengthening low pressure area off our coast.

Down to 996 mbar.


whats the temp. like in ur area?
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4510
1504. TropicalAnalystwx13 10:56 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting Skyepony:


GEOS-5 has been calling to bottom it at 992mb for a few days.

Link gives me this:

"bad bad_referer"

Quoting nigel20:

whats the temp. like in ur area?

We are sitting near 60 °F.
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1505. Tazmanian 10:59 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
this is going too be a long long hot summer
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1506. aspectre 11:00 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
1476 BahaHurican: ...tough job, but I made it through. Least my bills didn't end up in San Souci

Better than ending up sans culottes.
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1507. GeoffreyWPB 11:02 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Next up on FX....2012

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1508. Skyepony (Mod) 11:05 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Link gives me this:

"bad bad_referer"



Sorry about the Bad bad referer..

Try this & click on the map, then animate or what ever.

Always looked at the NASA GMAO input on ENSO. It's nice to see their short term weather forecast model run. So far it's really nailed this.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29248
1509. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 11:06 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


I'm watching it. Need some cheering up. Going to watch Old Yeller next.
check out AVATAR

here is some clips



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1510. nigel20 11:10 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
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1511. aspectre 11:10 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
1504 TropicalAnalystwx13: Link gives me..."bad bad_referer"

Probably complaining about its lingering hangover from the 20April smoke-in.
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1512. weatherh98 11:14 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting aspectre:
1504 TropicalAnalystwx13: Link gives me..."bad bad_referer"

Probably complainin' about a lingering hangover from the 20April smoke-in.


Ya and 421 is national drug test day..

Good evening all, i see we have a snow event coming up in the Appalachians.

I was looking over the gulf temps earlier and looks like they have decreased slightly of late.
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1513. nigel20 11:15 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Next up on FX....2012


the scene where water was coming over the Himalayas was so fake as there is not enough water on earth to reach anywhere close to the height of the Himalayas
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1514. weatherh98 11:17 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting nigel20:

the scene where water was coming over the Himalayas was so fake as there is not enough water on earth to reach anywhere close to the height of the Himalayas


Actually all oof the water on earth (groundwater, and Icecaps) would cover my everests peak, however no way a tsunami could do that
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1515. Grothar 11:20 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


I'm watching it. Need some cheering up. Going to watch Old Yeller next.


Oh,yeah. That will cheer anybody up.
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1516. weatherh98 11:23 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting Grothar:


Oh,yeah. That will cheer anybody up.


Never seen the movie but I read the book but it was sad
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1517. washingtonian115 11:26 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Next up on FX....2012

That movie sucked..
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1518. aspectre 11:27 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
1513 nigel20 the scene where water was coming over the Himalayas was so fake as there is not enough water on earth to reach anywhere close to the height of the Himalayas

Not thinking titanic enough. That's a video of the Himalayas sinking 29,000feet(8,840metres).
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1519. weatherh98 11:29 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting aspectre:
1513 nigel20 the scene where water was coming over the Himalayas was so fake as there is not enough water on earth to reach anywhere close to the height of the Himalayas

Not thinking titanic enough. That's a video of the Himalayas sinking 29,000feet(8,840metres).


No the said specifically in the movie it was a tsunami!
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1520. nigel20 11:32 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting washingtonian115:
That movie sucked..

Just like most hollywood movies....2012 had a lot of fake stuff and some people that watched the movie where asking if what occured in the movie will happen in reality
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1521. aspectre 11:37 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
1519 weatherh98: No, they said specifically in the movie it was a tsunami!

So you sayin' that sinking the Himalayas wouldn't produce a tsunami?
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1522. nigel20 11:45 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting aspectre:
1519 weatherh98: No, they said specifically in the movie it was a tsunami!

So you sayin' that sinking the Himalayas wouldn't produce a tsunami?

I could understand if they had an Asteroid impacting the ocean and creating a mega Tsunami
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1523. hurricanehunter27 11:46 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting nigel20:

Just like most hollywood movies....2012 had a lot of fake stuff and some people that watched the movie where asking if what occured in the movie will happen in reality
Well the tsunami could technically happen. You would need a land mass displacement equal to that of the entire nation of India falling into the ocean at once. Or you can always go with a massive meteor/comet impacting the ocean. Everything they showed is possible but not with the correct forces being applied to cause the events. The only thing that was not possible in the movie was the ash flow making it all the way to LA and the magnitude 10 earthquake.
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1524. MAweatherboy1 11:48 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
I guess we're movie critics now :)
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1525. WxGeekVA 11:50 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Well the tsunami could technically happen. You would need a land mass displacement equal to that of the entire nation of India falling into the ocean at once. Or you can always go with a massive meteor/comet impacting the ocean. Everything they showed is possible but not with the correct forces being applied to cause the events. The only thing that was not possible in the movie was the ash flow making it all the way to LA and the magnitude 10 earthquake.


Oh, and when the aircraft carrier hit the white house it is completely the wrong size...
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1526. weatherh98 11:50 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Well the tsunami could technically happen. You would need a land mass displacement equal to that of the entire nation of India falling into the ocean at once. Or you can always go with a massive meteor/comet impacting the ocean. Everything they showed is possible but not with the correct forces being applied to cause the events. The only thing that was not possible in the movie was the ash flow making it all the way to LA and the magnitude 10 earthquake.


Yea the ash would fall to the south east!
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1527. Patrap 11:52 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
He picks up a bus and he throws it back down
As he wades through the buildings toward the center of town

Oh, no, they say he's got to go
Go go Godzilla
Oh, no, there goes Tokyo
Go go Godzilla
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1528. WxGeekVA 11:55 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
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1529. Grothar 11:55 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
I guess we're movie critics now :)


:)
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1530. Patrap 11:57 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
History shows again and again how nature points up the folly of man
Godzilla!


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1531. WxGeekVA 11:58 PM GMT on April 22, 2012    
Not even my generation and barely my dad's generation. But that is still a great song!
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1532. Patrap 12:00 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Saw BOC opening for Judas Priest at Houston University in 79,..


British Steel Tour


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1533. PlazaRed 12:00 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Quoting Patrap:
History shows again and again how nature points up the folly of man
Godzilla!



Pat, Where did you get that picture from?
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1534. nigel20 12:00 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Well the tsunami could technically happen. You would need a land mass displacement equal to that of the entire nation of India falling into the ocean at once. Or you can always go with a massive meteor/comet impacting the ocean. Everything they showed is possible but not with the correct forces being applied to cause the events. The only thing that was not possible in the movie was the ash flow making it all the way to LA and the magnitude 10 earthquake.

Yeah, but close to the end they were saying that only some new mountains in Africa were not covered by water....this is also very unlikely or not possible
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1535. GeoffreyWPB 12:02 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Quoting Grothar:


Oh,yeah. That will cheer anybody up.


You are right. Dr. Strangelove is on also. Peter Sellers always made me laugh.
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1536. 1900hurricane 12:04 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Quoting PedleyCA:


The calendar for those 2 cities shows a 99 for 04/02/2012

If you are using Weather Underground, the Zapata monthly data redirects to Laredo, and I wasn't able to find any of the actual Zapata data.
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1537. Patrap 12:04 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Quoting PlazaRed:

Pat, Where did you get that picture from?



Google Images, HERE
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1538. hydrus 12:07 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
12 hour precip w/ freeze line..
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1539. hydrus 12:11 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Water vapor 24 hour forecast..
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1540. PlazaRed 12:12 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Quoting Patrap:



Google Images, HERE

Thanks Pat,
There are some Narsty looking things on there!
Glad you don't have any of them this weekend!
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1541. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 12:14 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
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1542. Patrap 12:15 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Quoting PlazaRed:

Thanks Pat,
There are some Narsty looking things on there!
Glad you don't have any of them this weekend!


You bet,dem Nadoe's can turn ones life upside down in a flash.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
1543. washingtonian115 12:15 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Quoting nigel20:

Just like most hollywood movies....2012 had a lot of fake stuff and some people that watched the movie where asking if what occured in the movie will happen in reality
I don't think that really is going to happen.Unless something really weird goes on in the earths center.
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1544. BahaHurican 12:15 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Back again. I went out for something, and while gone decided to detour through the area allegedly hit by a tornado. I observed one house with about 1/2 of its roof being replaced, another where an add-on porch seemed to have been wind-shredded, and evidence of high winds in the form of uprooted trees, downed limbs and in the case of larger trees, leaves completely missing. One tree looked like post-cat 2 damage. I didn't get any photos, though.

I dunno how expert our mets are at judging tornado damage; it's not really an area of expertise they woul have concentrated on in their training. I certainly don't have any extensive experience myself. But aside from the roof damage, most of what I saw could have been done by straight line winds over a period of time and given moist soil.

The roof damage looked like tornado, not hurricane. The western side of the roof was perfectly fine; the eastern side was gone.
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1545. PlazaRed 12:17 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Well You've got:-
Storms, blizzards, heat waves and even had a 91L off your coast!
All we have got is a boring French National election and the standard cold blustery low over the UK.
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1546. TropicalAnalystwx13 12:22 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Fake or not, 2012 was an excellent movie.

A is my grade for it.
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1547. trHUrrIXC5MMX 12:34 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
good rain for bad drought
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1548. MississippiWx 12:38 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Fake or not, 2012 was an excellent movie.

A is my grade for it.


...Not sure if serious.
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1549. nigel20 12:39 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Fake or not, 2012 was an excellent movie.

A is my grade for it.

Yes it was a good. Movie
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1550. ncstorm 12:40 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
If you guys want to watch a good movie about the end of the world..rent "The Knowing" with Nicolas Cage.. People who think the sun will be our demise will appreciate it.
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1551. bappit 12:41 AM GMT on April 23, 2012    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Next up on FX....2012


Apocalypse Theater
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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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