Moderate Risk of tornadoes for Kansas; 1-year Super Outbreak anniversary

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:21 PM GMT on April 27, 2012

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A dangerous severe weather threat is developing for Kansas today, where a small but potent storm system in the western part of the state will intensify and move east. By late this afternoon, the storm will spawn supercell thunderstorms capable of bringing large hail and strong tornadoes to eastern Kansas and extreme western Missouri. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed this region in its "Moderate Risk" area for severe weather, the second highest level of alert. Cities in the Moderate Risk area include Topeka, Kansas, and Kansas City, Missouri.


Figure 1. Severe weather outlook for April 27, 2012, from our severe weather page.

One-year anniversary of the April 27, 2011 Super Tornado Outbreak
One year ago today, an astonishing outbreak of atmospheric violence unparalleled in world history hit the Southeast U.S. A total of 199 tornadoes touched down, including eleven violent EF-4s and four maximum-strength EF-5s. The 4-day period April 25 - 28 was the largest and most damaging severe weather outbreak in world history, with a total of 358 tornadoes, $10.4 billion in damage, and 321 deaths.


Video 1. Remarkable video of the tornado that hit Tuscaloosa, Alabama on April 27, 2011. Fast forward to 4:15 to see the worst of the storm.


Video 2. CBS42 meteorologist Mark Prater tracks the Tuscaloosa, Alabama tornado of April 27, 2011.


Video 3. Five-minute look at the Tuscaloosa tornado of April 27, 2011 and the damage it wrought.

Jeff Masters

As Is (teach50)
My husband and I were visiting my parents in Birmingham, Alabama. We decided to take a day trip to Tuscaloosa to see the damage from the April 27 tornado. It was a sight that I will never forget. Blocks and blocks of flattened houses and stores. This area has not been touched in 2 months. It was so moving that I started to cry thinking of all these poor people.
As Is

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12Z GFS, Bahamas get soaked. 4-day total PCPN


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting bohonkweatherman:
80 percent chance of tornadoes in southeast Kansas this afternoon and evening, be safe in Kansas.
Is this from TWC?
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3851
Quoting nigel20:
later fellow bloggers
Have a good day, stay safe.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3851
later fellow bloggers
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8418
Quoting MTWX:
Slight Risk Upgrade for Georgia and South Carolina!! Mesoscale Discussion 604
Gah, just to my east.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3851
'Damaging' is another word I'd have a quibble with. It needs a modifier such as "economic damage"
Frankly if severe weather were to destroy only McMansions, I'd count the damage as less-than-zero; more as major improvements to the neighborhoods.

Whereas loss of regular folks' homes and especially mementos -- special-gift knick-knacks, photos&videos, the door frame markings of the kids' heights, the tree planted on a birthday, etc -- would be major damage.

And the emotional damage due to the loss of those homes would be the same; whether to a shack, to a trailer, or to a ranch house.

Then there's injury and loss of life. Sorry, but a thousand deaths in Bangladesh is more than hundreds in the US.
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77. MTWX
Visual on our Carribean Disturbance. Link

Definitely being persistant given the conditions!
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Quoting ScottLincoln:


It's one thing to use an objective classification like "most tornadoes in a 24hr period" or "most damage from tornadoes in 24hrs" but the wording used... most violent in world history, is much more subjective. Implication seems to be that it could mean most violent series of tornadoes, or that it could mean all of world history. The latter begs all sorts of questions... just official records? unofficial records? an assumption that we've never had such a large outbreak sequence since humans started inhabiting the planet?

Lots of purple prose on the blog today.
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Quoting hydrus:
Like I said yesterday, if this was hurricane season, that could be serious trouble for folks down there.

It is a blob to watch for all the moisture it could bring. It could fuel some super cells later on. Meanwhile a lot of moisture streamed up off it into NE Canada the past few days.
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74. MTWX
Slight Risk Upgrade for Georgia and South Carolina!! Mesoscale Discussion 604
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Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55616
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55616
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55616
Quoting nigel20:
Seems as if the NAO is going negative soon


Maybe why some of the models want to make things interesting around FL next week.
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Seems as if the NAO is going negative soon
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8418
80 percent chance of tornadoes in southeast Kansas this afternoon and evening, be safe in Kansas.
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April 26, 2011

April 26, 2012
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8418
66. MTWX
Video 1. Remarkable video of the tornado that hit Tuscaloosa, Alabama on April 27, 2011. Fast forward to 4:15 to see the worst of the storm.

At that point in the video, the tornado tore through the shopping complex next to the mall. Thank the higher powers that it did not hit on a Saturday!! The businesses in that complex were completely leveled, one of which was a Chuck E Cheese...

In minutes 2:33-2:39 of Video 3 you can see the destruction of the center. the first building in the strip on the right was the Chuck E Cheese, and the large square building in the back of the lot was a Hobby Lobby (I have a coworker who was trapped in that store on that day and emerged unscathed with about 30 others who were shopping there that day!).
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Quoting LargoFl:
really flaring up now with the heat of the day

Yeah, that's quite a blob
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8418
Quoting StormTracker2K:
Gotta love how some like to question Doc's post. I think his post is right on the money in regards to last years Tornado Outbreak.

From Doc.
One year ago today, an astonishing outbreak of atmospheric violence unparalleled in world history hit the Southeast U.S. A total of 199 tornadoes touched down, including eleven violent EF-4s and four maximum-strength EF-5s. The 4-day period April 25 - 28 was the largest and most damaging severe weather outbreak in world history, with a total of 358 tornadoes, $10.4 billion in damage, and 321 deaths.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1974_Super_Outbreak
"The 1974 Super Outbreak is the second largest tornado outbreak on record for a single 24-hour period, just behind the 2011 Super Outbreak. It was also the most violent tornado outbreak ever recorded, with 30 F4/F5 tornadoes reported."

That is twice the number from the entire 2011 tornado outbreak sequence.

I do not think you understand what I am getting at in my post. Perhaps you will if you take a deep breath and re-read. The 2011 April 27th outbreak, and the April 25-28 outbreak sequence was clearly a big deal. There are numerous objective measures that indicate this. That is my point... subjectivity isn't exactly the best way to put it when there is so many firm, objective statistics to use.
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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
933 AM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054 -058-059-064-141-
144-147-280000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
933 AM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
A PERSISTENT DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN A HIGH FIRE DANGER IN EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY...ESPECIALLY INLAND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL SLOWLY MOISTEN THE ATMOSPHERE THIS
WEEKEND...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SOUTH OF ORLANDO AND CAPE CANAVERAL. THESE SMALL CHANCES SHOULD THEN
GRADUALLY ENCOMPASS MORE OF THE AREA DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART
OF NEXT WEEK.

A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA STRAITS LATE IN THE WEEKEND. DETERIORATING MARINE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED IN THE SOUTH BY LATE SUNDAY...THEN ACROSS MUCH OF
THE WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

RL
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Quoting nigel20:

Some pretty cold cloud tops. Nice, but not really anything that has a strong chance of development. If it scoots over to the EPAC, there might be some better chances for development.
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Quoting nigel20:
really flaring up now with the heat of the day
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Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8418
Gotta love how some like to question Doc's post. I think his post is right on the money in regards to last years Tornado Outbreak.

From Doc.
One year ago today, an astonishing outbreak of atmospheric violence unparalleled in world history hit the Southeast U.S. A total of 199 tornadoes touched down, including eleven violent EF-4s and four maximum-strength EF-5s. The 4-day period April 25 - 28 was the largest and most damaging severe weather outbreak in world history, with a total of 358 tornadoes, $10.4 billion in damage, and 321 deaths.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
COC011-061-099-280100-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
COLORADO EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY PUEBLO COLORADO
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
859 AM MDT FRI APR 27 2012

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE
COLORADO EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY PUEBLO COLORADO.

ONE OR MORE TORNADOES SWEPT THROUGH PORTIONS OF PROWERS...KIOWA
AND POSSIBLY BENT COUNTIES OVERNIGHT...BETWEEN APPROXIMATELY
12 AM AND 3 AM MDT. THE TORNADOES HAVE CAUSED CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE
TO HOMES...POWER SUPPLY SYSTEMS AND OTHER INFRASTRUCTURE ACROSS
THE AREA. THE POWER IS EXPECTED TO BE OUT THROUGH THE END OF THE
DAY...AND POSSIBLY LONGER IN SOME LOCATIONS. POWER LINES ARE LYING
ACROSS ROADWAYS AND SHOULD BE CONSIDERED DANGEROUS.

AS A RESULT OF THE HAZARDOUS NATURE OF THE SITUATION...THE EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT OF PROWERS COUNTY HAS REQUESTED THAT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE NOTIFY ALL PERSONS IN AND AROUND PROWERS...KIOWA
AND BENT COUNTIES TO EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION.

EMERGENCY SERVICES ARE WORKING AS FAST AS POSSIBLE TO RESTORE THE
LOCAL INFRASTRUCTURE. PLEASE BE PATIENT.

$$
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


What Doc I believe was referring to was the fact these tornadoes hit fairly big metro areas and as a result killed hundreds.


Tornadoes have hit metro areas before. Tornado outbreaks and outbreak sequences have killed hundreds before.
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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1120 AM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

GMZ054-072>074-271630-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE
20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
1120 AM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

.NOW...
THROUGH NOON...WIDELY SEPARATED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL
IMPACT THE OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 20 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE LOWER AND
MIDDLE KEYS...FROM 25 TO 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TENNESSEE REEF LIGHT TO
20 TO 60 MILES SOUTH OF BIG PINE SHOAL AND THE WESTERN DRY ROCKS.
MOVEMENT OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MPH. THE STRONGER CELLS WILL BE FOUND BEYOND 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE
ISLAND CHAIN. THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY WILL CUT VISIBILITY TO BELOW 4
MILES IN MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...GENERATE GUSTY WINDS NEAR 25 KNOTS
AND A FEW CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING STRIKES.

$$
APA
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Quoting hydrus:
Winds so powerful, that is can literally damage the streets...
amazing pic there, even took the road away as it swept past, tar and all
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
1974:

* $3.5 billion (2005 USD)
* 319 fatalities.
* 6 EF5s (record).
* 148 tornadoes in a 24-hour period.

2011:

* 208 tornadoes in a 24-hour period (record).
* ~11 billion (2011 USD) in damage (record).
* 4 EF5s
* 321 fatalities


Thanks man you just beat me!
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Portlight update on the Tolbert Home.


Everything is underway at the Tolbert House! Volunteers have been working together whole heartily to transform this house into a home for Rita and her three beautiful girls (ages; 5, 3, 17mo).

Our volunteers are doing everything in their power to get this house into livable condition so the Tolbert family can begin the move in process. There are still numerous tasks to complete, and your help is still needed.

We are expecting volunteer work and productivity to rapidly progress as our volunteer coordinator Dylan Stanek will be returning from college in Grand Rapids, MI and will begin volunteering full time for the Tolbert House Project. He will return to Harrisburg, IL on May 4th and plans to remain there until the project is complete. I am thrilled to report that our incredible volunteers have accomplished approximately 55-60% of the demolition work (floor removal, plaster removal, basic preparations needed to begin reconstruction, etc.).

We are blessed and more than grateful for their hard work. The electrical reconstruction process has began and we anticipate that plumbing reconstruction will follow closely after. The completion of electrical and plumbing reconstruction is estimated to happen soon. Project donations are still needed in the form of supplies, labor, money, etc.

We specifically need donations of electrical, plumbing, carpentry, and dry-wall labor and supplies and are also in need of other miscellaneous skills, trades and supplies. If you would like to donate or volunteer to this project please contact us. You can contact Dylan Stanek regarding any questions, donations, and how to get get involved volunteering at: dylan@portlight.org. We appreciate all of your donations, support, help, and prayers.

On behalf of the Tolbert family, the town of Harrisburg, IL, and our volunteers, Portlight Strategies Inc. would like to extend our thanks and gratitude to you. Your support is a key element in our abilty to continue helping anyone. Please keep checking in to our blog and website (www.portlight.org) as more updates will be on the way.
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Quoting ScottLincoln:


It's one thing to use an objective classification like "most tornadoes in a 24hr period" or "most damage from tornadoes in 24hrs" but the wording used... most violent in world history, is much more subjective. Implication seems to be that it could mean most violent series of tornadoes, or that it could mean all of world history. The latter begs all sorts of questions... just official records? unofficial records? an assumption that we've never had such a large outbreak sequence since humans started inhabiting the planet?


What Doc I believe was referring to was the fact these tornadoes hit fairly big metro areas and as a result killed hundreds.
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1974:

* $3.5 billion (2005 USD)
* 319 fatalities.
* 6 EF5s (record).
* 148 tornadoes in a 24-hour period.

2011:

* 208 tornadoes in a 24-hour period (record).
* ~11 billion (2011 USD) in damage (record).
* 4 EF5s
* 321 fatalities
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32703
Quoting hydrus:
Hard to believe its been a year already. EF5 damage in Smithville MS
OMG, i cannot imagine..living there and this, damn total destruction,geez right down to the slab, everything you worked so hard for..gone..they sure need to wake up, building code wise and start redesigning how homes are built out there in tornado alley,this isnt a once in a lifetime event, its every year..concrete homes, bunker style, gee
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

How so?


It's one thing to use an objective classification like "most tornadoes in a 24hr period" or "most damage from tornadoes in 24hrs" but the wording used... most violent in world history, is much more subjective. Implication seems to be that it could mean most violent series of tornadoes, or that it could mean all of world history. The latter begs all sorts of questions... just official records? unofficial records? an assumption that we've never had such a large outbreak sequence since humans started inhabiting the planet?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0603
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1015 AM CDT FRI APR 27 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL KS...FAR N-CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 271515Z - 271715Z

SUPERCELLS SHOULD FORM ALONG EWD SURGING DRYLINE IN CNTRL KS TO
PERHAPS N-CNTRL OK BY EARLY AFTERNOON. STRONG LOW/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
COMBINED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AMIDST MODERATELY LARGE
BUOYANCY WILL LIKELY YIELD PRIMARY INITIAL THREATS OF LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES. THE PROBABILITY OF A TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE IS 95
PERCENT.

15Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED A 996 MB CYCLONE AROUND 30 SE GLD WITH A
SLOWLY ADVANCING WARM FRONT ARCING SEWD TOWARDS THE OZARK PLATEAU
AND A SURGING DRYLINE EXTENDING SWD INTO WRN OK. SHOWERS AND TSTMS
HAVE BEEN PREVALENT NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT WITH ABUNDANT STRATUS IN
THE WARM/MOIST SECTOR OVER MUCH OF KS. HOWEVER...STRONGER HEATING IS
OCCURRING IN NRN OK WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE LOWER TO
MIDDLE 70S AND CLOUD BREAKS APPEAR TO BE OCCURRING IN A NARROW
CORRIDOR FROM COMANCHE TO PAWNEE COUNTIES IN SWRN KS. MODIFIED 12Z
DDC RAOB AND MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT EVEN WITH MODEST
HEATING...THE STRENGTH OF THE FORCING WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR MINIMAL
INHIBITION ALONG THE DRYLINE BY MIDDAY.

ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL SLYS HAVE COMMENCED WEAKENING WITH SRN EXTENT IN
THE WARM/MOIST SECTOR /PER TIME SERIES OF HAVILAND KS
PROFILER/...0-1 KM SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN AOA 15 KT WITH STRONGER
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR RELEGATED ALONG AND NE OF THE WARM FRONT. WITH
EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 40-50 KT AND MLCAPE EXPECTED TO APPROACH 2500
J/KG IN S-CNTRL KS/N-CNTRL OK...THIS SETUP WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH THREATS OF LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES PRIMARILY IN
CNTRL KS.

..GRAMS.. 04/27/2012


ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...G LD...

LAT...LON 39169987 39399982 39589935 39659873 39489790 38899712
38099678 36939674 36729711 36659744 36759810 36989874
37689902 38369933 39059982 39169987
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Texas Storm Chasers
A busy severe weather day is expected in Central/Eastern Kansas into Western Missouri. All modes of severe weather are likely, including tornadoes. Further south into much of Oklahoma and Texas, the cap will remain in place preventing any storms. We're chasing today and will have live video up shortly at www.texasstormchasers.com/live
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Quoting MTWX:


I actually drove past there! It is in Downtown Cullman! I will never forget it, the scene just down the block was quite grim and heartbreaking, as multitudes of individuals worked by hand to remove large fallen trees off of and reposition the fallen tombstones of loved ones in a cemetary the tornado tore through... I had to pull over to wipe my eyes before continuing with my load of supplies to deliver.


Here's a pic of the Cullman Tornado.
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I can officially say, we are approaching the time to watch for our first Tropical wave of the season...
Earliest time for a tropical wave to emerge is May 2.
Start watching Mid-Africa over the weekend and into next week.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

That's a big jump, but well-warranted. I underestimated the serverity of this event.

Jim Reed
Strong tornadoes and destructive hail are possible across much of Kansas today, including Wichita. Be on the alert!!
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

How so?


That was my question as well.
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Quoting MTWX:


I actually drove past there! It is in Downtown Cullman! I will never forget it, the scene just down the block was quite grim and heartbreaking, as multitudes of individuals worked by hand to remove large fallen trees off of and reposition the fallen tombstones of loved ones in a cemetary the tornado tore through... I had to pull over to wipe my eyes before continuing with my load of supplies to deliver.
I can understand. I have had moments like that( especially after Katrina ).I will never be able to erase from my mind some of the horrors I have seen.
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May there be peace in our hearts and minds as we continue our journey. Blessings, Fred L Hammond.

April 27 2011, Tuscaloosa, AL

After—the “Oh My God’s,” after—the tears,
After—the fears, unfounded and founded,
After—the adrenaline rush,
emerge the vacant eyes that stare
into the vortex of nothing
where something else once stood.
We—start the slow pace walks

through the thick black strap molasses of time.
Was it this morning—last week—yesterday?
that I—that you—that he—that she
asked, Is there life after all this?
Beneath convoluted rubble
is there hope of returning
to Eden’s garden?

The birds sing songs of life’s affirmation.
The flowers offer a rainbow’s promise.
Still some things take more than three days
to resurrect to their glory.
Tell me the songbirds’ song is true.
Tell me the flowers
are honest in their beauty.
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Quoting AussieStorm:
Mike Bettes
‎*INSIDER INFO* Just spoke with @twcdrforbes. He's upping the TORCON to 8 for Southeast Kansas. Stay alert & be prepared.

That's a big jump, but well-warranted. I underestimated the serverity of this event.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32703
38. MTWX
Quoting Tribucanes:
Watching the 5:40 video, it's amazing how much emotion still bubbles to the surface. I'm not the overly emotional type and have been hardened by the harsh realities of life; as many of us have, and yet this brings my empathy right back to the surface. I'm sure we all have ample reason to complain about life at times, but at least we get to get up tomorrow and try again. Seize the day, because in the blink of an eye it can all be gone.


You and me both brother!
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Quoting nigel20:

That was a crazy outbreak...what's up hydrus?
Hard to believe its been a year already. EF5 damage in Smithville MS
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Link

In honor of the anniversary of the April 27, 2011, Tornado Outbreak, the staff of the NWS Huntsville, Ala., Weather Forecast Office put together a special Web page and video presentation looking back on the event. The Web page includes updated information about storms surveys and event statistics, a page honoring those lost to the storms, and links to videos of interviews with NWS Huntsville staff, describing their experiences during the event.

As we mark the anniversary of this devastating event — and the first-ever National Severe Weather Preparedness Week, please take a moment to remember the lessons learned from last year’s storms, as well as those who lost their lives.
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Met Service of Jamaica

NEWS RELEASE

April 27, 2012 at 7:00 a.m.

*** FLASH FLOOD WATCH DISCONTINUED BUT RAINS TO CONTINUE ***

Although rainfall is expected to continue over sections of Jamaica into the weekend, the Meteorological Service has discontinued the Flash Flood Watch for low-lying and flood-prone areas of all parishes with immediate effect.

Satellite imagery and rainfall data indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with the Trough that moved across Jamaica and is now west of island, has decreased significantly overnight. Generally cloudy conditions however remain across the island. The forecast is for scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms to affect mainly central and western parishes particularly during the afternoon today.

The Trough is expected to linger west of Jamaica and is likely to produce occasional rainfall across the island especially on Sunday and Monday.

Strong winds should persist mainly over southern parishes and offshore waters. As a result the Small Craft Warning remains in effect for offshore areas of the south coast.


vtj
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8418
Watching the 5:40 video, it's amazing how much emotion still bubbles to the surface. I'm not the overly emotional type and have been hardened by the harsh realities of life; as many of us have, and yet this brings my empathy right back to the surface. I'm sure we all have ample reason to complain about life at times, but at least we get to get up tomorrow and try again. Seize the day, because in the blink of an eye it can all be gone.
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Quoting hydrus:
Like I said yesterday, if this was hurricane season, that could be serious trouble for folks down there.

Agreed
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8418

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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