Barry weakens, douses Florida with needed rains
Tropical Storm Barry is steadily weakening as it races towards the Florida coast. Winds have decreased to 40 mph, as observed by the 9:30am EDT Hurricane Hunter report, which found winds at 1,500 altitude of 47 mph. The pressure has risen 2 mb in the past two hours, and now stands at 1002 mb. Barry is embedded in a zone of strong wind shear--about 30 knots. This shear ripped away most of Barry's deep thunderstorm activity last night, and pushed these storms over the Florida Peninsula. Satellite loops shows that some heavy thunderstorm activity has returned near the center of circulation, so the shear has not been able to totally destroy the storm yet. As Barry continues today over cooler waters, it should continue to weaken, and residents of Florida should expect only minor wind damage. I doubt any station will experience sustained winds of tropical storm strength (39 mph), although gusts of 50-55 mph are likely. The main threat from Barry will be isolated tornadoes that could spin up in some of the heavier thunderstorms over land. The storm surge may cause minor flooding in the Tampa Bay area. Currently, tides are running a foot or two above normal there, and will increase with a persistent onshore wind to 3 to 5 feet above normal this afternoon from the Tampa Bay area northward to Citrus County and 1 to 3 feet south of Tampa Bay and Levy County.
Barry will do far more good than harm--the storm has already dumped 1-5 inches of rain over most of Florida, with more rain to come. Heavy rain from Barry will affect the Carolinas on Sunday, and could cause some local flooding problems there. However, Barry will lose its tropical storm status after crossing Florida, and is not a threat to reintensify after crossing into the Atlantic Ocean.
Figure 1. Total rainfall from the Tampa Bay radar.
A sign of things to come?
The hurricane season of 2007 is in third place for the earliest year that the second named storm occurred. The record is held by 1887, when the second named storm formed on May 17. Second place is held by 1908, when the second storm of the year formed on May 26.
There is no relationship between high activity early in hurricane season and high activity during the main August-October peak of the season. For example, the 1908 hurricane season turned out to be an ordinary season with 10 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and one intense hurricane.
June outlook
My outlook for the first two weeks of June was posted yesterday.
Radio play
National Public Radio's The Story program aired a 30-minute interview with me yesterday about my flight into Hurricane Hugo in 1989. The MP3 of the interview is at http://thestory.org/archive/the_story_263_Hunting _Hurricanes.mp3.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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quick question...how do i gp to annaonmin's blog I dont know how to spell it thanks
But since it did and still does contain frontal system with it(look at yesterdays sats and obs), one could argue that it never was a tropical system. I could argue that it was subtropical because it met most of the criteria needed to be classified as a tropical system. According to the definition which is on NOAA by the way: a tropical system does not contain fronts.
non-frontal is the classification quality; not 'does not contain fronts'
Your twisting the truth, many systems, esp. early season, spin up from lows near frontal systems.
Can some one show me how to give a link.
copy the url (address) of the site you wanna link
in your comment click the link button above the box where your typing your comment
paste the link url into the popup box
tada
The terms "hurricane" and "typhoon" are regionally specific names for a strong "tropical cyclone". A tropical cyclone is the generic term for a non-frontal synoptic scale low-pressure system over tropical or sub-tropical waters with organized convection (i.e. thunderstorm activity) and definite cyclonic surface wind circulation (Holland 1993).
This definition comes from one of the most knowledgeable tropical cyclone experts in the field, so go argue with him. Maybe drop him an email. landsea@aoml.noaa.gov
WTF man, pay attention. LOL
quick question...how do i gp to annaonmin's blog I dont know how to spell it thanks....or get to her tropics fourm
Behold the cold front associated with Barry
?...I don't see anything.
1) a link or something? or
2) the fact that your an idiot?
Thanks for teaching me
No Prob
KTLH 020253Z 34003KT 6SM BR FEW049 OVC250 22/20 A2995 RMK AO2 RAB0155E23 SLP142
P0000 60000 T02170200 53003=
KTLH 020353Z 00000KT 5SM BR FEW050 OVC120 22/20 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP140 T02170200=
KTLH 020453Z 08005KT 8SM OVC110 22/19 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP138 T02170189 402720206=
KTLH 020553Z 08008KT 9SM BKN095 OVC110 21/19 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP128 60000
T02110189 10222 20211 58013=
KTLH 020653Z 10006KT 8SM OVC085 21/18 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP122 T02060183=
KTLH 020753Z 08005KT 8SM OVC075 21/18 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP118 T02060183=
KTLH 020821Z 07005KT 8SM BKN019 BKN023 OVC075 20/18 A2987 RMK AO2=
KTLH 020853Z 10005KT 9SM SCT015 BKN023 OVC075 21/18 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP117
T02060178 56012=
KTLH 020914Z 11004KT 9SM OVC012 20/18 A2987 RMK AO2=
KTLH 020953Z 05003KT 6SM -RA BR BKN014 BKN024 OVC047 20/18 A2987 RMK AO2 RAB16
SLP113 P0000 T02000178=
KTLH 021036Z 05006KT 6SM -RA BR FEW024 OVC060 19/17 A2985 RMK AO2 P0000=
KTLH 021053Z 04006KT 5SM -RA BR BKN060 OVC100 19/18 A2984 RMK AO2 SLP104 P0001
T01890178=
KTLH 021131Z 02006KT 4SM -RA BR SCT009 BKN060 OVC070 19/18 A2982 RMK AO2 P0000=
KTLH 021149Z 01005KT 1 3/4SM RA BR FEW009 BKN012 OVC060 19/18 A2982 RMK AO2
SLP097 P0003 60004 70024 T01890178 10211 20189 58020=
KTLH 021156Z 01005KT 1 1/2SM RA BR BKN009 BKN017 OVC041 19/18 A2982 RMK AO2
P0004=
KTLH 021149Z 01005KT 1 3/4SM RA BR FEW009 BKN012 OVC060 19/18 A2982 RMK AO2
SLP097 P0003 60004 70024 T01890178 10211 20189 58020=
KTLH 021159Z 36010KT 2SM -RA BR SCT009 OVC017 19/18 A2982 RMK AO2 P0005=
KTLH 021204Z 36009KT 3SM -RA BR BKN011 OVC017 19/18 A2982 RMK AO2 P0005=
KTLH 021240Z 36008KT 2SM RA BR BKN009 OVC014 19/18 A2982 RMK AO2 CIG 006V012
P0009=
KTLH 021250Z 36006KT 1 3/4SM RA BR BKN009 BKN014 OVC019 19/18 A2982 RMK AO2 CIG
006V013 P0012=
KTLH 021253Z 36009KT 1 3/4SM -RA BR BKN009 BKN014 OVC019 19/18 A2982 RMK AO2
CIG 006V012 SLP096 P0013 T01940183=
KTLH 021257Z 36007KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR SCT009 BKN014 OVC018 19/18 A2982 RMK AO2
P0000=
KTLH 021253Z 36009KT 1 3/4SM -RA BR BKN009 BKN014 OVC019 19/18 A2982 RMK AO2
CIG 006V012 SLP096 P0013 T01940183=
KTLH 021259Z 36007KT 3SM -RA BR BKN009 OVC016 19/18 A2982 RMK AO2 CIG 006V013
P0000=
KTLH 021253Z 36009KT 1 3/4SM -RA BR BKN009 BKN014 OVC019 19/18 A2982=
KTLH 021345Z AUTO 03012G19KT 3SM BR SCT009 OVC016 19/18 A2981 RMK AO2 RAE30
P0001=
KTLH 021353Z 02010G17KT 4SM BR FEW010 BKN016 OVC027 20/18 A2981 RMK AO2 RAE30
SLP092 P0001 T02000183=
KTLH 021411Z 02008KT 4SM BR BKN013 BKN019 OVC026 20/18 A2981 RMK AO2 RAB01E11
P0000=
KTLH 021436Z 02009G18KT 5SM -RA BKN015 OVC021 20/17 A2980 RMK AO2 RAB01E11B27
P0000=
KTLH 021453Z 02011G22KT 10SM OVC017 19/17 A2979 RMK AO2 RAB01E11B27E40 SLP087
P0000 60014 T01940172 58009=
KTLH 021553Z 01013G17KT 7SM -RA BKN015 BKN020 OVC037 20/18 A2978 RMK AO2 RAB43
SLP082 P0000 T02000178=
KTLH 021607Z 01011KT 4SM -RA BR FEW015 BKN030 OVC036 20/18 A2977 RMK AO2 P0000=
KTLH 021615Z 36011G18KT 10SM -RA FEW015 BKN023 OVC036 19/18 A2977 RMK AO2 P0000=
KTLH 021653Z 36010G17KT 10SM FEW012 BKN018 OVC023 20/18 A2976 RMK AO2 RAE22
SLP077 P0000 T02000178=
KTLH 021753Z 02010G22KT 350V050 10SM FEW015 BKN020 OVC026 21/17 A2974 RMK AO2
SLP070 60014 T02110172 10211 20194 58017=
KTLH 021853Z 36012G21KT 10SM OVC017 21/17 A2973 RMK AO2 SLP067 T02110167=
KTLH 021953Z 36011G22KT 10SM OVC019 21/16 A2971 RMK AO2 SLP060 T02110161=
KTLH 022053Z 33017G24KT 10SM OVC021 22/17 A2971 RMK AO2 SLP059 T02220167 56012=
KTLH 022153Z 35011G25KT 10SM OVC019 21/16 A2970 RMK AO2 SLP058 T02110161=
KTLH 022253Z 32013KT 10SM OVC019 21/17 A2971 RMK AO2 SLP059 T02060167=
KTLH 022353Z 33014G19KT 10SM OVC017 20/16 A2972 RMK AO2 SLP061 T02000161 10222
20200 53002 $=
KTLH 022353Z 33014G19KT 10SM OVC017 20/16 A2972 RMK AO2 SLPplqjH&&L0161 10222
20200 53002 $=
KTLH 022353Z 33014G19KT 10SM OVC017 20/16 A2972 RMK AO2 SLP061 T02000161 10222
20200 53002 $=
KTLH 030053Z 31010KT 10SM OVC021 20/16 A2972 RMK AO2 SLP064 T02000156 $=
KTLH 030153Z 31010KT 10SM OVC023 20/15 A2974 RMK AO2 SLP068 T02000150 $=
KTLH 030253Z 30008KT 10SM OVC025 20/16 A2974 RMK AO2 SLP069 T02000156 51008 $=
Check out the dewpoint drop as the cold front of so called Barry passed thru northern Florida. That is FROPA. The dewpont in TLH is 60 right now, last night it was 68.
The NW winds on the backside pulled in some drier air.Big deal.The same happened after Wilma,was that subtropical?
Oh no...another cold front is coming our way from the south Carribean!!!
LOL
changed could it.
Temp isn't the only thing affecting dewpoints.
Viewing: 451 - 501
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