Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Tomorrow? Those storms are going to be in NW Fla in probably 3 to 4 hours.
As it moves through La it will probably get close enough to the GOM to draw moisture.
This doesn't look like a typical afternoon pop up type of storm to me.

I bet before this is over some where in N.C will be 10inches.

I'm in West Palm and received 9 inches of rain, the back yard started flooding. It is sloped so that was expected.

keep waiting for the pressure to bottom out..... at 29.36 currently in Myrtle Beach.......

I have goten 3.5 inches from Barry in Western N.C. Looks like mountains around me have 4-5 according to radar.

I dont see why the banks have flood watches and the mountains dont. But they are beside a ocean though.

Honeymooned in Boone,N.C. in 91

The thermometer reads 91, with a SW wind around
10 MPH, pressure around 1009, with partly cloudy skies. (West Palm Beach)

I just wanted to note that my forecast for Barry was near or on target lol. The only thing i did not percieve was the amount of rain fall for south Florida. Especially in the Palm Beach County area.

I think most of us detected the early NE motion.

lol yea but i heard most of you guys saying. move you line north, or its moving more NNE. thats what i remember lol.

WAVETRAK Link

Still reporting moderate to heavy rain.Link

lol yea but i heard most of you guys saying. move you line north, or its moving more NNE. thats what i remember lol.

Thats why I said most. I thought you were correct. You could see that there was a NE motion.

are they any other tropical systems out there at the monment to watch

urgent - immediate broadcast requested
Tornado Watch number 338
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
125 PM CDT sun Jun 3 2007

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
Tornado Watch for portions of

southeast New Mexico
southwest Texas

Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 125 PM until
1000 PM CDT.

Tornadoes... hail to 3 inches in diameter... thunderstorm wind
gusts to 70 mph... and dangerous lightning are possible in these
areas.

The Tornado Watch area is approximately along and 80 statute
miles north and south of a line from 45 miles southwest of
Carlsbad New Mexico to 60 miles south southeast of Midland Texas.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (wous64 kwns wou8).

Remember... a Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

Other watch information... continue... ww 336... ww 337...

Discussion... initial convective development is occurring near and
just E of high terrain in se nm in advance of a srn stream shortwave
trough that is moving ewd... while the low levels continue to
warm/destabilize farther E/se into W/SW TX. A separate WNW-ESE
oriented surface boundary is drifting swd to near Midland. Strong
instability /MLCAPE values near 3000 j/kg / and a weakening cap is
expected across this area this afternoon... and vertical shear will
gradually become more favorable for splitting supercells with very
large hail. Though low-level moisture and shear are not particularly
strong... the expected supercell structures and presence of surface
boundaries may support a few tornadoes. Otherwise... convection will
likely grow upscale into a severe MCS this evening as the storms
move esewd along the instability axis.

Aviation... tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface
wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to
550. Mean storm motion vector 29025.

Anything new brewing out there?

Gonu headed for Oman.

Hey Drak, stick around this year...... you'll have plenty of time to be wrong! Nature of the beast! ;)

Any thing that could threaten U.S.A? Like any low pressure or waves?

TWC was a good and only TV/media source for a while.Like in the mid 80s.

In the 80s TWC only put info up about tropical weather if it was going to hit the US. All other things aside, I think their coverage of ATL tropical systems has radically improved.

For what they do, they're not too bad. At least they mostly TRY to be accurate LOL.

I change my forcasts of 10 ,i think 8.

If you go with 10 minute winds on Gonu it is still a Tropical Storm on the SS Scale. If you go with 1 minute winds then it is a Hurricane.

CIMSS MIMIC GONU Vmax 57kts Link

Has every one gave up on what was use to be Berry.

Berry is forming a eye! lol to late nowLink

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...33.2NORTH...79.4 WEST...MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT APPROXIMATELY 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT 40 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB. Link

Patrap,
The rain seems to be building on the south end. You might get wet. You're right there in the SW coast aren't you?

Front over the Bahamas in 7 days. Link
If anything develops it would probably be like Beryl last year. Link Unless that high pressure says otherwise.

PINHOLE EYE

Wheres taz....

Posted By: thelmores at 7:00 PM GMT on June 03, 2007.

Hey Drak, stick around this year...... you'll have plenty of time to be wrong! Nature of the beast! ;)

LOL. I will i always come here during hurricane season. Then post little after that.

Posted By: WPBHurricane05 at 6:56 PM GMT on June 03, 2007.

lol yea but i heard most of you guys saying. move you line north, or its moving more NNE. thats what i remember lol.

Thats why I said most. I thought you were correct. You could see that there was a NE motion.

yes there was a period when i went almost ENE then back to NNE which allowed it to make landfall somewhere near tampa.
Also i want to note that the waves coming of Africa now would probably become tropical systems if it were later in the season. That being said i think that this is only mroe evidence of an active season.

Patrap is west of New Orleans Downtown by 7 miles.Near Airport.In these crosshairs. Link

Pat,

It says a lot about u that you would choose Boone as a honeymoon spot . . .

LOL Good ole Boone . . .

the current placement of the high pressure would bring any moisture from east to west over Florida for now.

Freind has Home 4500 feet up in a Nice Valley. Built Block and Firebrick Barbeque for him that week.He a good friend.

979 mb is not that impressive but the system may be going under rapid intensification

i dont remember JP i think 2... not that good on memory when it comes to this.

how many CAT5 storms formed during the 2005 hurricane season

3

4--Emily, Katrina, Rita, Wilma

4--Em, Kat, Rit, and Wil

ah its four looks through archive..

Wow RL3AO that weird.....