OrangeRoses's WunderBlog

Sun 022612

By: OrangeRoses, 3:41 PM GMT on February 26, 2012



Gibbeuse Ascendante- Waxing Gibbous 96% Moon Rise: + 4:50pm cst Set: - 5:50am cst
Full Moon on the rise March 8 2012 at 3:41 am




Et quand l'Agneau ouvrit le septième sceau, le silence couvert le ciel




Get MoonRise and Sunrise times http://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs/RS_OneDay.php


Les yeux de la vérité sont toujours vous surveille
Et quand l'Agneau ouvrit le septième sceau, le silence couvert le ciel




No rain, no thunder, no storms so far. It is overcast, 67°, the air pressure fell 10 mb in 24 hours, and there is nothing on the radar anywhere. 4:07 pm 2/28

And this is a nextday W3dnesday reporting: NO rain at all, no thunder period! It is like the weathermen live on another planet some times!!

By the time the temp reaches a high of 77° the chances of rain fall below Zer0, like the forecast should have been last night!
There were tornadoes north of us overnite with watches and warnings in 6 states NE of here.

March 1st 8am
Let us focus today on an easy forecast. 'Twill be around 80 in 7-8 hours from right now.
Is already 45, so 35 degree warmup is quite possible.

● Evening Followup. Temp climbed to 80° at 2pm & stayed the same for 2 hours.

●● the next morning March 2
Winds gusting all night starting with 20 mph at 2 am and increasing to 28 mph at 6. There is some mention of rain in the forecast but I think (after they were so DEAD WRONG again) the NWS in GuessCast Shreveport got gunshy.


Take a walk●● park the truck●● learn to walk upon the Earth instead of trying to destroy it with your low●●mileage rumblebox.

Our cold air here is coming from the North. Overnight low 38 for early Sat Morning and
30 Sunday Morning winds W 5-10. Now for the windchil. T 30 wind 5 is 25 W.C.

try calculating it yourself

Sat. 3/3/12†
4:30 AM overnite low temp 36 windchill 36

With the windchill effect Princess Glaciera, who knows better than most forcastors (lol), will most likely appear once again.



Forgetful? There is no forgiving fools





Sunday iv Martius MMXII
by 4:15 AM the temp dropped below freezing with a wind speed of 3 mph an hour later resulting in a 26° windchill— the "apparent" overnight low.

NOAA NWS ALERTS
Effective: 03:52 CST on 03-06-2012
Expires: 16:00 CST on 03-06-2012

Event: Lake Wind Advisory

Octo Post Meridiem Martius quattuor I would be very surprised if the forecasted low of 30° occured. That would mean a 40 degree change in temperature from this afternoon, or a 27 degree drop in 8 hours(it's 8 PM) which I do not believe will happen. we shall see. I do know Glaciera would love to taunt some more foo-uls again.



301 am CST Monday Mar 5 2012
08z [2am] analysis this morning shows a weak cold ront extending from
NE OK into north Arkansas and north MS. Seeing SW surface flow ahead of this
boundary across much of our region which is helping to hold
temperatures up a little despite clear skies. This boundary will
backdoor its way into the region before washing out as southeast
winds are expected across the entire region by this afternoon.
An increasing pressure gradient and high clouds streaming ovhd
tonight will continue to hold overnight min temperatures up slightly as
we say goodbye to the cool nights for a while.
This explains the 38 degree overnight low temperature, when 30 was in the guesscast, I guess.

Tiw's-Day 6 Mar.
78 in the forecast this afternoon. See the National Weather Service Discussion for more infomation.
35 mph windgusts may move some trucks sideways. We pray for headon collisions, those of us who think gashog rumbleboxes and brainless wannabe cowboy drivers need some prayers.

The link just underneath opens in a small popup window.
Real-Time Weather Data Station K4O4 from National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)

comprenez-vous??





mwhaaa
βετανψ









Updated: 7:36 PM GMT on March 06, 2012

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Tue 022112

By: OrangeRoses, 4:50 PM GMT on February 21, 2012


It's hard to believe the very warm temperatures forecasted for tomorrow and the next day.


Woden's Day. will be 10° Warmer 73°
Origin of WEDNESDAY
Middle English, from Old English wōdnesdæg (akin to Old Norse ōthinsdagr Wednesday); akin to Old English Wōden Odin and dæg day
Source:
Merriam-Webster.com

&

Thor's Day will be 20° warmer 80°




Our little area was the warmest in the state today, and as of this writing[7pm Thursday] we are still the warmest in the entire state: 70° with a 34.5 mph wind gust too!
The temp is falling rapidly now [10pm] and the winds from the NW are 15/20 mph steady/gusts. It is supposed to cool down 20° tomorrow and possibly be at the freezing point Saturday night. Looks like the outdoor barbeque weather is over after just 1 day.

Overnight Friday: Partly cloudy, with a low around 30. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

We know now when the skies are clear overnight the forecasted lows will be lower.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. South wind around 5 mph.

I miss Princess Glaciera. Perhaps she shall bless us once again with colder weather the next 2-nites.

Saturn's Day 7:16 AM T 30.2 °F WC 26.7 °F




Waxing Crescent Moon Rise: + 8:31 AM CST Set: - 9:58 PM CST



to understand or if you don't
if you believe or if you doubt
there's a universal justice
and the eyes of truth are always watching
you

credits: ©1993 Michael Cretu - Enigma




mwhaaa
βετανψ Φ






Updated: 3:35 PM GMT on February 25, 2012

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Th 021612

By: OrangeRoses, 3:25 AM GMT on February 17, 2012




Terminal Doppler Weather Radar

Friday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. East wind between 5 and 10 mph
No Rain at all today. 9:30PM Now

Friday Night: A 60 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after Midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 45. East wind around 5 mph.

No Rain Friday Night



Saturday: A 90 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

It did rain 0.02 in. — 2 hundredths of an inch this morning 8:15 - 9:15.

And right now at 6:20 PM rain total has reached 0.2 in. Using a 10 hour duration of on/off again very light gentle showers, it failed to rain 8 of those hours. This means it rained only 20% of the time, a minor amount not worth reporting.



Saturday Night: Rain likely-before midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 36. North wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 50% changed to 100% by NWS at 4 PM.


642 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

Short Term Forecast

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS COVERING ALL OF NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...WILL CONTINUE MOVING INTO
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA THROUGHOUT THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
AVERAGE NEAR ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH PER HOUR...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS...NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR
THROUGH 8 PM.


Accum Rainfall 0.48 inches in previous 48 hours. It stopped raining 12:01 AM Feb 19.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36.

Monday President's Day Holiday Lake Wind Advisory for all you avid boaters.

48 Hour Forecast Table Should the Weather Table link become unlinked click here. You will see the wind, wind gusts and other things each hour 24/2 (not 24/7)


Courtesy GooseLakeWeather.com

And finally to close this for the evening:

8:45 PM
NW Wind Gust 35 mph — strongest all day with a Wind Advisory; at the same time(8:45 PM) it began to rain 0.33 inches in 5 minutes. There was a fast moving, rotating thunderstorm causing all of this which had two thunderclaps and left the area 5 minutes later



Updated: 4:20 AM GMT on February 21, 2012

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Fri 021012

By: OrangeRoses, 3:57 AM GMT on February 11, 2012



Earlier in the day the National Weather Service issued a Special Weather Statement about the cold winter weather coming Sunday evening and Monday. Read about the snow and frozen rain. Right now we are just starting to see the beginnings of this Arctic Chillout.



Observations 9 PM Friday Feb. 10, 2012

Source: Mesonet
Temp rapidly dropping. Currently 35° at 8:55 PM and should go below freezing within 1 hour.

6:45 PM windchill 32° gust 27 mph North
8:55 PM windchill 26° gust 25 mph North

Source: Local Airport

Temp dropped 6 degrees in 2 hours. Currently 34°

6:55 PM windchill 26° gust 31 mph North
8:55 PM windchill 24° gust 15 mph North

Observations 1 PM Saturday Feb. 11, 2012

It's all•about windchill.
14° WC at 10 AM. Temp currently 30°, WC 20° at 111. I don't believe the forecasted high of 36° will happen, which brings us to the cold weather about to get colder along with some precipitation approaching, coming in the form of frozen rain, sleet and even snow.

When?
Sunday after sunset(6 PM CST), all night, and Monday all day.

¤ Long awaited at last
The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch
and Now on Sunday
A Winter Weather Advisory

for a mix of snow, sleet and ice which is in effect from midnight tonight to noon CST Monday. The Winter Storm Watch is, of course, no longer in effect.

National Weather Service 3:41 pm CST Feb 12, 2012

Tonight: A chance of snow and sleet before midnight, then snow and freezing rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. Total nighttime snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Monday: Snow, freezing rain, and sleet before noon, then rain. High near 42. Southeast wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.3 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.



Monday Feb Thirteen The temperature and dewpoint have remained exactly 32° Fahrenheit all night, since 1 AM this morning until now 9:30 AM. Are the thermometers frozen? I have no way of verifying this data other than peeking outside to witness the incredible beauty of 2-4 inches of snow covering last week's green grass, the rooftops, but not the roads so quiet, icefree, noisefree, the way it should be.

The winter advisory is canceled(1149 AM), Windchill ranged from a High of 31 at midnight to 21 just before sunrise, and rain is now forecasted-'This wintry mix should changeover to all rain across southeast
OK by 12 Noon with widespread rain showers expected to persist through the afternoon.'

Snowfall ended before dawn but the ice coated branches on trees and frozen snow sticking to evergreens and pines has slowly melted. Half the snow on the ground is melted but still visible, and the same on trees. A steady drip, drip, drip all day from overhead snowmelt. What is surprising is 0.4 inches of rain fell in 8 hours, and tonight a fog is predicted, but 400 foot overhead clouds evidently do not qualify as fog to the NWS. Dewpoint and temperature remained the same at 32° each — 100% Relative Humidity— for 18 hours now.










I come at night and leave before Sunrise...
You will listen, this time.

For I may return during the day time...


Snow doth bite the foot that's slow
With dogs unheard all howling lowe

Until the warming I shall watch

Their eyes do not know what they see...









And if you feel that you can't go on
And your will's sinking low
Just believe and you can't go wrong
In the light you will find the road
You'll find the road






Rain Tomorrow and Thunderstorms 6 am to 4 pm with higher chances after Noon.

It rained 0.21 in. from 6:30 to 10:30 AM with no thunderstorms at all, so far. Overcast, temp around 50 and dewpoint 48, so this is another humid overcast drippy dippy day.


Updated: 12:31 AM GMT on February 16, 2012

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Thur 020212

By: OrangeRoses, 3:14 PM GMT on February 02, 2012


Some rain is in the forecast, starting as early as tonight. The WunderMap feature on
w under ground dot com has some new features, helpful for hourly forecasting: Future hourly settings for radar, satellite cloud cover, and several others, including tornado. It seems to display changes every 2-3 hours, which would follow the NWS reports in many areas. I will use it tonight (if I can) when rain is imminent.

• Observations Feb ΙΙΙ MMX11

dayday ∑ O.87 inches rain since 4 AM. 4 hundredths in the past hour. 13 hundredths in the last 15 minutes. Later...0.69 inches The Anti-matter cloud is working well.


Courtesy CERN

btw ∑ is the Greek and Mathematical symbol sigma for Sum, or Sum Total. In case you're wondering about the missing 1 hundredth of an inch in the totals above, it evaporated! Š actually, it rained a slight amount around 4 AM, if you could even measure 0.01 inch of rain.

• CERN is derived from the acronym for the French
Conseil
Européen
pour la
Recherche
Nucléaire
or European Council for Nuclear Research, a provisional body founded in 1952 with the mandate of establishing a world-class fundamental physics research organization in Europe; home of the Large Hadron Collider.


Observations
It is now 1040 CDT Sunday. There was a 32° windchill at 9:20 AM accompanied by a N | NW gust of 22 mph. Completely cloudy-overcast. Temp has risen One Degree since the 0713 CDT supposed sunrise. After the NWS [national weather service] noticed they issued this 1038 AM discussion:: "As a result of these trends...I will back off the becoming partly cloudy wording...and ride mostly cloudy for the rest of the day."
♀ ♀ Just in 1130 Windchills are in the lower 30's all over OK | N TX but not in LA.
Source: NWS link U.S. Wind Chill Observations High Resolution

Monday February 6 MMX11

WindChill went below freezing this morning at 3:50, dropped to 29° at 6:15 and remains brrry now. A nice link for surface weather conditions updated hourly with high resolution options as well. HiRes uses zoom, displays the weather station initials plus windspeed|direction, cloud cover, temp, and dewpoint. Will blog more, possibly later Š


NWS Forecast for: Shults OK
Issued by: National Weather Service Shreveport, LA
Last Update: 3:10 pm CST Feb 6, 2012

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 55. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. North wind around 5 mph.

Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 54.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30.

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 59.

Friday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 51.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 29.

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 58.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 35.

Monday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 59.


Compare NWS Forecast with the Mesonet Results

Feb 7th 2012 It appears we need to update yesterday's forecast. Click Here. It rained 0.11 in. and the overnight low was 9° higher than forecasted. Also, even the Weather Underground Best Forecast showed a 10% chance of rain at 6 AM—when it surprisingly rained! Must be oneoutof ten is better than none, as shown on yesterday's 3:10 PM NWS forecast above.


The rain fell slow, down on all the roofs of uncertainty
I thought of you and the years and all the sadness fell away from me
And did you know....



(from Poles Apart)
© 1994 pink floyd music
lyrics: gilmour/samson/laird-clowes








Perhaps Princess Glaciera will return soon, at least by Saturday, Feb 11th.

I come at night and leave before Sunrise...
You will listen, this time.


Thursday FEB 9, 2O12

There are conflicting forecasts between WU Best Forecast and NWS for tonight.

2 AM Friday Morning Update

There were conflicting forecasts earlier. That has changed, as all weather forecasts and forecasters do. I went to bed, very early...with the chickens...as is the expression for rural people living rural lives with rural livestock. But I am not rural— justa cosmopolite hiding in a 'rural mural'.
Mural: "Chisholm Trail Cattle Drive" Yukon, Oklahoma waymarking.com


WU: Overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 41°F. Winds from the ESE at 5-10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

http://loadstorm.com/files/Beautiful_capture_of_r aindrops.jpg

WU: Tonight 39°F Rain 80% chance of precipitation

Friday: Overcast with thunderstorms and rain showers, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 55°F. Winds from the ESE at 5-15 mph shifting to the NNW in the afternoon. Chance of rain 80%.
Friday Night: Clear in the evening, then overcast. Low of 25°F. Winds from the NNW at 10-15 mph.

NWS: Tonight: Rain, mainly after midnight. Low around 40. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Friday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a chance of showers. High near 51. Calm wind becoming northwest between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

11 AM Now rain chances are 10% It rained lightly already 0.14 inches in the 8 hours from 3 - 11 AM.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.(this was changed less than an hour ago)

Both forecasts are similar were similar for Friday. Wunderground.Com is lagging a bit and should notice the 11 AM NWS forecast discussion and the major decrease in precip. prob.



Please read the Feb 9th 3:57 PM and Feb 8th 4:05 AM NWS Forecast Discussions for relevant details

• Here


Updated: 7:58 PM GMT on February 10, 2012

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About OrangeRoses

The sixth angel poured out her bowl on the great river Euphrates and its water was dried up to prepare the way for the Kings and Queens from the East

Personal Weather Stations

Fuller Farms
Haworth, OK
Elevation: 433 ft
Temperature: 78.1 °F
Dew Point: 64.5 °F
Humidity: 63%
Wind: 7.0 mph from the SW
Wind Gust: 7.0 mph
Updated: 2:52 PM CDT on April 24, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations