tropical storn debby

By: ilovehurricanes12 , 11:30 PM GMT on February 17, 2012

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78. ilovehurricanes12
9:31 PM GMT on June 25, 2012
WTNT34 KNHC 252051
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012
400 PM CDT MON JUN 25 2012

...FLOOD THREAT TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 85.1W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA GULF COAST FROM DESTIN TO ENGLEWOOD

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
DEBBY IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINS OCCURRING AT LARGE DISTANCES FROM THE CENTER.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST. DEBBY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A SLOW MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA GULF COAST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

STORM SURGE...ALTHOUGH DEBBY HAS WEAKENED SOME TODAY...COASTAL
FLOODING IS NOT YET DIMINISHING. THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE
AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE
FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING
DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND AT THE TIME OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS
EVENING...

APALACHEE BAY TO WACCASASSA BAY...3 TO 5 FT
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF WACCASASSA BAY...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...DEBBY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE THE FOLLOWING ADDITIONAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...6 TO 12 INCHES
ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA...4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA AND
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND 3 TO 5 INCHES IN SOUTH FLORIDA
AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTH FLORIDA.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT
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77. albertomaster
9:07 PM GMT on June 25, 2012
Jason stop posting videos and pictures on dr.m blog pls.
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76. ilovehurricanes12
5:17 AM GMT on June 25, 2012
Now I am very intrigued to see what Debby does on the other side of Florida should it get there. How surreal would it be if it was blocked and then shoved back westward. LOL.
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75. ilovehurricanes12
1:28 AM GMT on June 25, 2012
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012
700 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...DEBBY REMAINS STATIONARY...HEAVY SQUALLS AFFECTING THE
COASTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 86.0W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER
FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO ENGLEWOOD FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST. DEBBY HAS
BEEN STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. LITTLE MOVEMENT IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT THIS FORECAST REMAINS
UNCERTAIN DUE TO WEAK STEERING CURRENTS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
FROM THE CENTER. SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS HAVE BEEN
REPORTED AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WEST OF
APALACHICOLA DURING THE PAST HOUR. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM
FORCE HAVE BEEN REPORTED ALONG THE ALABAMA COAST AND ALSO ALONG THE
WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
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74. ilovehurricanes12
1:20 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Looks like the next vortex message will be northeast of the previous....DEBBY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD
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73. ilovehurricanes12
1:17 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
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72. ilovehurricanes12
11:34 AM GMT on June 24, 2012
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012
400 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...DEBBY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 87.3W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LOUISIANA FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER WESTWARD
TO MORGAN CITY...NOT INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS OR LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
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71. ilovehurricanes12
11:33 AM GMT on June 24, 2012
DEBBY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN
4:00 AM CDT Sun Jun 24
Location: 27.3°N 87.3°W
Moving: N at 3 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 50 mph
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70. JasonCoolMan2007
3:29 AM GMT on June 24, 2012
WOW!!
69. ilovehurricanes12
3:15 AM GMT on June 24, 2012
tropical storn debby is here!!
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68. ilovehurricanes12
11:58 AM GMT on June 23, 2012
800 AM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO APPEARS TO BE BECOMING BETTER DEFINED ABOUT 275
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IN
ADDITION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING OVER THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND A NOAA BUOY LOCATED ABOUT 130 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER HAS PRODUCED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS WITHIN THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...OR
MORE LIKELY A TROPICAL STORM...COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT IF
THE DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUES. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...
90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST OVER THE WEEKEND...AND INTERESTS IN THIS
AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS LOW. HEAVY
RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...WESTERN CUBA...AND MUCH OF FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON
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67. ilovehurricanes12
8:56 AM GMT on June 23, 2012
Best Track Position and Intensity as of:
Saturday, June 23, 2012 6:00 Z

Location at the time:
394 statue miles (634 km) to the W (264°) from Key West, FL, USA.

Wind (1 min. avg.):
30 knots (~35 mph | 15 m/s | 56 km/h)

Pressure:
1004 mb (29.65 inHg | 1004 hPa)

Coordinates:

24.0N 88W

Source:
National Hurricane Center's (NHC) Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting (ATCF) System and not from any available advisory data
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66. ilovehurricanes12
7:07 AM GMT on June 23, 2012
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65. ilovehurricanes12
8:01 PM GMT on June 22, 2012
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64. ilovehurricanes12
7:48 PM GMT on June 22, 2012
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63. ilovehurricanes12
9:58 AM GMT on June 22, 2012
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62. ilovehurricanes12
3:57 AM GMT on June 21, 2012
Chris expected to become a Post-tropical cyclone later today...


summary of 500 am AST...0900 UTC...information
----------------------------------------------
location...44.8n 44.5w
about 435 mi...700 km ESE of Cape Race Newfoundland
maximum sustained winds...50 mph...85 km/h
present movement...NW or 315 degrees at 14 mph...22 km/h
minimum central pressure...989 mb...29.21 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am AST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Chris was
located near latitude 44.8 north...longitude 44.5 west. Chris is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph...22 km/h. The cyclone is
forecast to slow down and turn to the southwest and then south
during the next day or so.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph...85
km/h...with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast...and
Chris is expected to become a Post-tropical cyclone later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles...280 km
from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb...29.21 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
none


next advisory
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61. ilovehurricanes12
11:37 AM GMT on June 20, 2012
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032012
500 AM AST WED JUN 20 2012

...CHRIS MOVING OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.2N 53.5W
ABOUT 590 MI...945 KM S OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 100 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.5 WEST. CHRIS IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE
EAST-NORTHEAST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. CHRIS IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
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60. ilovehurricanes12
11:34 AM GMT on June 20, 2012
CHRIS MOVING OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH
5:00 AM AST Wed Jun 20
Location: 38.2°N 53.5°W
Moving: E at 17 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph
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59. ilovehurricanes12
11:33 AM GMT on June 20, 2012
date 6/20/2012!!!Ok, I think I'm caught up now. If there is anyone up or who knows who I'm talking about, Greg Bostwick, on KFDM said the Caribbean blob is looking better tonight. And he expects it to move up into the central gulf. He said it may be taken off NE across Florida but he said with a ridge all the way to Atlanta he thinks it might just get stuck under that ridge and may not move at all. When asked how long our up coming dry spell would last he said we have to watch what happens in the gulf. Ok, please don't shoot the messenger anyone. Just thought it was interesting that it might get stuck. Haven't heard that yet. :)
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58. ilovehurricanes12
1:02 AM GMT on June 16, 2012
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57. ilovehurricanes12
4:46 AM GMT on June 15, 2012
...CARLOTTA EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY
8:00 PM PDT Thu Jun 14
Location: 12.5°N 94.7°W
Moving: NNW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 994 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph
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56. ilovehurricanes12
10:00 AM GMT on June 14, 2012
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55. ilovehurricanes12
3:24 AM GMT on June 14, 2012
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54. ilovehurricanes12
3:15 AM GMT on June 14, 2012
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032012
800 PM PDT WED JUN 13 2012

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS AND EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...HURRICANE
WATCH ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.4N 92.4W
ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM SSE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM BARRA DE TONALA WESTWARD TO PUNTA
MALDONADO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE TONALA TO PUNTA MALDONADO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS
EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND
THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE PACIFIC COAST
OF MEXICO.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
MORNING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
Member Since: February 17, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 331
53. ilovehurricanes12
3:15 AM GMT on June 14, 2012
Tropical Depression THREE-E Storm Archive
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS AND EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

8:00 PM PDT Wed Jun 13
Location: 9.4°N 92.4°W
Moving: NW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 1004 mb
Max sustained: 35 mph

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52. ilovehurricanes12
12:06 AM GMT on June 14, 2012
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED JUN 13 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTH OF THE BORDER OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA
HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS
SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR THURSDAY
AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE. A TROPICAL STORM
OR HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF MEXICO BY THURSDAY MORNING.

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51. ilovehurricanes12
4:12 AM GMT on May 25, 2012
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50. ilovehurricanes12
12:15 PM GMT on May 24, 2012
HURRICANE BUD INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022012
500 AM PDT THU MAY 24 2012

CORRECTED SPELLING OF PUNTA SAN TELMO IN WATCH/WARNING SECTION

...BUD STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 107.0W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO WESTWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO WESTWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.0 WEST. BUD IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...AND THIS NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BUD IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO LATE FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BUD IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST TODAY. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY
FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA BY LATE
FRIDAY.

RAINFALL...BUD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE
STATES OF MICHOACAN...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND SOUTHERN NAYARIT...
WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY BUD WILL BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF MEXICO TODAY. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
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49. ilovehurricanes12
5:41 AM GMT on May 24, 2012
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48. ilovehurricanes12
3:48 AM GMT on May 24, 2012
WATCHING INVEST 94l
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47. ilovehurricanes12
1:11 AM GMT on May 21, 2012
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46. ilovehurricanes12
1:09 AM GMT on May 21, 2012
500 PM PDT SUN MAY 20 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUE TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED...AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM TONIGHT OR MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
Member Since: February 17, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 331
45. ilovehurricanes12
1:02 PM GMT on May 19, 2012
We have 93L

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al932012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201205191237
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
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44. ilovehurricanes12
4:56 AM GMT on May 11, 2012
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43. ilovehurricanes12
4:27 AM GMT on May 08, 2012
Link my new video
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42. ilovehurricanes12
6:35 AM GMT on May 04, 2012
Torn ACL puts Mariano's future in doubt may 4 2012!! bad news here!!

Yankees closer Mariano Rivera tore the ACL in his right knee during BP on Thursday and may be lost for the season.
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41. ilovehurricanes12
9:02 PM GMT on May 01, 2012
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40. ilovehurricanes12
6:51 AM GMT on April 26, 2012

Nearby Airports
New Haven | 42 °F | Clear
Meriden | 34 °F | Fog
Bridgeport | 45 °F | Clear
Chester | 41 °F | Clear

Wrong location? Nearby Weather Stations
Beacon Hill/Lake Saltonstall - Branford | 39.1 °F
DopplerDon.com | 38.3 °F
Branford Shoreline | 42.5 °F
Yale, Kline Geology Lab | 40.7 °F on april 26 2012!
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39. ilovehurricanes12
7:06 PM GMT on April 24, 2012
Yankees vs Rangers at Tuesday 4/24, 8:05 PM ET at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington
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38. ilovehurricanes12
12:45 AM GMT on April 24, 2012
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37. ilovehurricanes12
12:41 AM GMT on April 24, 2012
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36. ilovehurricanes12
2:50 PM GMT on April 23, 2012
Rangers 3, Tigers 2 F ON APRIL 22 2012!!
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35. ilovehurricanes12
4:13 PM GMT on April 22, 2012
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34. ilovehurricanes12
7:19 PM GMT on April 21, 2012
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33. ilovehurricanes12
1:59 PM GMT on April 20, 2012
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32. ilovehurricanes12
3:39 AM GMT on April 20, 2012
The Grandy Man can, can, can

Curtis Granderson became the first player to hit three home runs in the new Yankee Stadium, going deep in his first three at-bats and singling in his next two for a 5-for-5 night
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31. ilovehurricanes12
3:12 AM GMT on April 20, 2012
Link 100 MPH
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30. ilovehurricanes12
3:43 AM GMT on April 15, 2012
Plains Brace for Dangerous Night of Significant Tornado Threats


The potent mix of severe weather ingredients continues after darkness, putting several Midwestern and Plains states on high alert.

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29. ilovehurricanes12
6:08 AM GMT on March 31, 2012
new weather update sooon
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28. ilovehurricanes12
6:45 AM GMT on March 25, 2012
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