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Hurricane Irene A Threat For The Bahamas, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast U.S.
Posted by: weatherguy03, 12:45 AM GMT on August 24, 2011 +1
Bob's Official 2011 Tropical Atlantic Numbers:
16-18 Named Storms
7-9 Hurricanes
4-6 Major Hurricanes

Areas Most At Risk This Season:
1.)Eastern U.S Coastline
2.)Central and South Florida
3.)Northern Gulf Coast from Mississippi to Western Florida Panhandle.


2011 Atlantic Current Numbers:
9 Named Storm
1 Hurricanes
0 Major Hurricanes







In the video above I review my latest forecast track for Irene. My danger zone for Irene sits from Wilmington, NC to Maine! All interests from North Carolina to Maine should be making preparation for a land falling Hurricane at this time. Irene will be making a move Paralleling the East Coast of the U.S and could be threatening some of the Major Cities in the Northeast.



NHC Official Forecast Track:




Hurricane Irene Satellite View:




Hurricane Irene Model Runs:




Hurricane Irene Model Runs:







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Categories: Hurricane Tropics
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1. collinsfarm 12:48 AM GMT on August 24, 2011    
Bob,
Not looking too sporty for the East Coast.
Thank you for the update.
Member Since: September 1, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 1337
2. weatherguy03 12:53 AM GMT on August 24, 2011    
Right now I love the Euro track. Its been the best with Irene so far. What this means is the strongest winds will be along the North Carolina OBX to Jersey Shore to Long Island and then through New England. Watch to see where the Euro goes the next 24 hours.
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 581 Comments: 29680
3. Levi32 1:02 AM GMT on August 24, 2011    
I agree about the Euro...it's probably the model to watch at this point. Even a miss at North Carolina could still result in a very bad situation in New England. Folks shouldn't take their eyes off of this. Thanks Bob.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 587 Comments: 25462
5. weatherguy03 1:09 AM GMT on August 24, 2011    
Quoting Levi32:
I agree about the Euro...it's probably the model to watch at this point. Even a miss at North Carolina could still result in a very bad situation in New England. Folks shouldn't take their eyes off of this. Thanks Bob.


YW Levi!! Good Job as well keeping the people informed! I agree!
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 581 Comments: 29680
6. CosmicEvents 1:45 AM GMT on August 24, 2011    
Thank you Bob.
I'm sending out the warning to everyone I know in the area, and there's plenty. I grew up in the Long Beach, NY area...
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 5099
7. atmosweather 2:09 AM GMT on August 24, 2011    
Very well explained reasoning Bob. Think the current NHC track is just about on the money. Still puzzled at the Euro, GFDL and HWRF continuing to call for a Category 4 storm near landfall/brushing of N Carolina. Not sure the environment is that conducive once the influence of the longwave trough imparts SW-erly shear on her.
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9255
8. weatherguy03 2:24 AM GMT on August 24, 2011    
Quoting atmosweather:
Very well explained reasoning Bob. Think the current NHC track is just about on the money. Still puzzled at the Euro, GFDL and HWRF continuing to call for a Category 4 storm near landfall/brushing of N Carolina. Not sure the environment is that conducive once the influence of the longwave trough imparts SW-erly shear on her.


Thanks! Hey we can "see" you!..LOL I would think a Cat 2 at landfall for North Carolina.
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 581 Comments: 29680
9. weatherguy03 2:44 AM GMT on August 24, 2011    
For all you Florida East Coast surfers out there. Model predicting 4 to 6 foot surf across Central and North Florida by Friday morning.

Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 581 Comments: 29680
10. weatherguy03 11:14 AM GMT on August 24, 2011    
Hurricane Irene Strengthening Across The Central Bahamas Today. Could Be A Major Hurricane By The End Of The Day. Forecast Models Have Shifted Slightly East Overnite Putting The North Carolina OBX, Long Island and New England in the Greatest Threat Area.
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 581 Comments: 29680
11. weatherguy03 10:54 PM GMT on August 24, 2011    
Models trending West a bit today, especially once Irene gets past North Carolina, this puts the entire East Coast from North Carolina to New England in the gut of this storm. Irene could impact the major cities from Washington to Philly to NYC to Boston this weekend. We could see one landfall across the North Carolina OBX and then another one on Long Island.
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 581 Comments: 29680

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